BETITANDFORGETIT LONGTERM CAPITAL PLAYS 02-03-2007

[formula_2002]

I added some more models and refined the program just a bit. Found a little glitch and came up with over 60 plays.
Hope I didn't screw something up..


track date race pgno name ml post
GP 20070203 1 4 INTELLIGENT 6 1:10
TAM 20070203 3 2 STAG FILM 30 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TAM 20070203 3 5 FLYMAMBO 5 1:17
TP 20070203 2 2 DERBY VOW 3 1:37
TP 20070203 2 2 DERBY VOW 3 1:37
PHA 20070203 5 5 DIDTHETEST 20 1:53
PHA 20070203 5 7 QUARTERFLAS 12 1:53
PHA 20070203 5 3 LION SONG 5 1:53
PHA 20070203 5 5 DIDTHETEST 20 1:53
PHA 20070203 5 5 DIDTHETEST 20 1:53
FG 20070203 2 2 LIL MAN 5 2:00
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
BEU 20070203 4 1 GENERAL JOS 2.5 2:33
TAM 20070203 6 9 SHE'S DUE F 4 2:36
AQU 20070203 6 13 BETTOR TO R 20 2:51
AQU 20070203 6 4 HOUSTON REQ 3 2:51
AQU 20070203 7 4 PHILLIP X. 5 3:19
AQU 20070203 7 6 POSITIVE GO 15 3:19
PHA 20070203 9 7 TALE OF WOE 8 3:50
PHA 20070203 9 7 TALE OF WOE 8 3:50
BEU 20070203 8 4 ARCHIPPOS 3.5 4:17
BEU 20070203 8 4 ARCHIPPOS 3.5 4:17
BEU 20070203 8 4 ARCHIPPOS 3.5 4:17
SUN 20070203 6 2 A DREAM FOR 20 4:20
TUP 20070203 5 4 FOUR FOUR T 6 4:22
TUP 20070203 5 6 FAMOUS GAL 4 4:22
TUP 20070203 5 6 FAMOUS GAL 4 4:22
LRL 20070203 9 5 CLEVER HERO 10 4:40
LRL 20070203 9 5 CLEVER HERO 10 4:40
FG 20070203 8 5 GO TO THE S 4.5 4:54
TP 20070203 9 5 ESPRIT DU R 3 4:55
TP 20070203 9 5 ESPRIT DU R 3 4:55
TP 20070203 9 5 ESPRIT DU R 3 4:55
SUN 20070203 9 1 NABOKOV 15 5:35
SUN 20070203 10 10 ROLLICKING 12 6:00
SUN 20070203 10 1 GO KITTY GO 15 6:00
SUN 20070203 10 3 TAKIN ISSUE 5 6:00
SUN 20070203 10 3 TAKIN ISSUE 5 6:00
SA 20070203 6 9 OWEN ROE O' 4.5 6:04
SA 20070203 6 12 THE BIG ONE 3.5 6:04
SA 20070203 6 12 THE BIG ONE 3.5 6:04
GG 20070203 6 1 DOOLLEDO 10 6:19
GG 20070203 7 11 VEGAS RON 10 6:50
GG 20070203 7 11 VEGAS RON 10 6:50
MNR 20070203 5 2 VICTORIA'S 3 8:40
MNR 20070203 6 3 GRACIE LOU 20 9:05
MNR 20070203 6 2 SHELBY'S CR 2.5 9:05
MNR 20070203 6 2 SHELBY'S CR 2.5 9:05
MNR 20070203 6 3 GRACIE LOU 20 9:05
MNR 20070203 6 3 GRACIE LOU 20 9:05
CT 20070203 6 5 CHIEF OSCEO 3 9:15
CT 20070203 6 5 CHIEF OSCEO 3 9:15
CT 20070203 6 7 PROUD KING 10 9:15
CT 20070203 6 5 CHIEF OSCEO 3 9:15
CT 20070203 6 5 CHIEF OSCEO 3 9:15
CT 20070203 6 5 CHIEF OSCEO 3 9:15
CT 20070203 8 9 BETWEENENGA 15 10:03

[formula_2002]

so far 21 plays. cost $42, returned $60.0

[formula_2002]

JUST A PARTIAL REVIEW.

42 PLAYS, 13 WINNERS.
$84.00 PLAYED, $64.00 RETURNED

EXPECTED WINNERS =10, ACTUAL WINNERS =13 :jump:

WHEN TOTE BOARD ODDS<=4-1
18 PLAYS, 13 WINS
$36 PLAYED, $60.40 RETURNED :jump:
EXPECTED WINS=8, ACTUAL WINNERS=13 :jump:

[formula_2002]

FINALS:
49 PLAYS, 13 WINNERS.
$98.00 PLAYED, $60.40 RETURNED

EXPECTED WINNERS =9.77, ACTUAL WINNERS =13 :jump:

WHEN TOTE BOARD ODDS<=4-1:
18 PLAYS, 13 WINNERS. $36.00 PLAYED, $60.40
RETURNED. :jump:
----------------------------------------------------------
10 DAY TOTALS
FINALS:
182 PLAYS, 39 WINNERS.
$364.00 PLAYED, $223 RETURNED
(PLACE BETS RETURNED $306.00)

EXPECTED WINNERS =40. ACTUAL WINNERS =39

WHEN TOTE BOARD ODDS<=4-1:
87 PLAYS, 38 WINNERS. $174.00 PLAYED, $212.00
RETURNED.
(PLACE BETS RETURNED $206.00) :jump:

EXPECTED WINNERS =31, ACTUAL WINNERS =38
:jump: