MonteCarloProb Race of The Day 12-16-06

[cccorona]

Today's race is the feature race from Hollywood Park, the Hollywood Furturity.
There are three contenders when blending the recent speed rating odds line,within 4 points of par (103), and the prime power odds line.
The pp's can be viewed at:
http://www.brisnet.com/Promo/Free_PPs/brd_comp.pdf


Race Number = 9 Prime Power
Pgm# Ratings StdDev Prob Odds
1 127 12 .0457 20.88
2 138.5 12 .115727 ........ 7.64.........5
3 130.5 12 .064245 14.57
4 148.5 12 .20026 .......... 3.99.........2.5
5 138.5 12 .121912 7.2
6 131 12 .064296 14.55
7 129 12 .053788 17.59
8 148.5 12 .209584 .........3.77.........3
9 126 12 .043926 21.77
10 134.5 12 .08133 11.3

Race Number = 9 Speed Rating Par=103
Pgm# Ratings StdDev Prob Odds
2 103 13 .318691 2.14
4 104 13 .359036 1.79
8 103 13 .3225 2.1

[cccorona]

2............MC line 5/1.........actual 5/1.......underlay



4............MC line 2.5..........actual 3/1......overlay / winner $8.80



8............MC line 3/1..........actual 4.5.......overlay....wager loss




horses #4 & #8 overlay and wager profit +8.80-4.00= +$4.80