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View Full Version : MonteCarloProb Play of The Day 12-14-06


cccorona
12-14-2006, 10:47 AM
Today's featured race is the 7th from Hollywood Park. There are three horses
that are contenders when blending the Prime Power odds line and the Speed
Rating odds line and focusing on horses 6/1 or less. The pp's can be viewed
at:
http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/vinery_63430.pdf


Race Number = 7 Prime Power
Pgm# Ratings StdDev Prob Odds Blended Odds
1 118 10 .154346........... 5.48........4
3 115.5 10 .1021 8.79
4 105 10 .046018 20.73
5 111.5 10 .06063 15.49
6 124 10 .242649............ 3.12........2.5
7 115.5 10 .09941 9.06
9 115.5 10 .106671 8.37
10 114.5 10 .079511 11.58
11 116 10 .10945 ........... 8.14........5

Race Number = 7 Speed Rating Par=88
Pgm# Ratings StdDev Prob Odds
1 86 12 .289929 2.45
6 90 12 .426885 1.34
11 86 12 .2833 2.53

cccorona
12-14-2006, 08:03 PM
1............MC line 4/1........actual 3.5.........underlay




6............MC line 2.5........actual 3.5.........overlay / winner $9.20




11...........MC line 5/1.......actual 2.5.........underlay




#6 overlay and wager profit +9.20-2.00= +$7.20