MitchS
10-02-2006, 08:53 AM
Todays highlighted race is the 4th at CRC.
PN E1 M1 L1 S1 BT PS C1 T1 SC JP TP P1 TOT 1V 2V ML VL LR SP
4 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 17 1 1 3 4.2 32 EP7
7 4 6 3 2 3 3 6 3 2 3 1 3 39 2 2 2.5 5.7 8 E8
8 7 7 2 4 7 6 7 2 6 1 2 2 53 3 3 4 7.0 8 P4
2 3 2 4 3 3 5 4 5 7 6 8 8 58 6 5 8 8.8 52 E3
1 6 3 6 7 3 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 60 4 7 10 11 10 S2
6 1 1 8 6 8 2 2 8 3 8 7 6 60 5 6 8 10 50 E7
3 5 5 5 5 6 8 3 4 4 7 5 4 61 8 4 6 8.3 3 S0
5 8 8 7 8 2 3 8 7 8 5 6 7 77 7 8 12 18 14 S0
CRC's 4th race is going to be short and sweet. It's a 8.5 furlong race on the turf and as we can see the number 1 ranked horse is a dominate stand out. He has a ranked #1 in almost every category including a #1 V1 and V2 and he has a separation on the field of 22 points. His SP of EP7 sets up well in this race with two other speed horses to set the pace while he lays off them and uses his late speed and turf rating T1 to nail these front runners down the stretch. This is a prime example of not trying to find value in these kinds of races. You need to pick you're spots and this is not the kind of race to be looking to beat the favorite. He could very well get beat but its not a high probability situation for value in this type of race. With his listed VL line of 4.3 we can lower the VL by 2.5 to get an adjusted VL line on this horse for a possible value play. If he goes off at 1.8/1 this horse would be considered a value play. That's it for this race. We will look no further in races like this for value when such a dominate line horse is present.
One thing I forgot to mention on the website in this race is the top rated horse is comming off a fast paced race in his last so look for him to improve with this bunch.
Full chart listed at website.
Have a great day,
Mitch
PN E1 M1 L1 S1 BT PS C1 T1 SC JP TP P1 TOT 1V 2V ML VL LR SP
4 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 17 1 1 3 4.2 32 EP7
7 4 6 3 2 3 3 6 3 2 3 1 3 39 2 2 2.5 5.7 8 E8
8 7 7 2 4 7 6 7 2 6 1 2 2 53 3 3 4 7.0 8 P4
2 3 2 4 3 3 5 4 5 7 6 8 8 58 6 5 8 8.8 52 E3
1 6 3 6 7 3 6 5 6 5 4 4 5 60 4 7 10 11 10 S2
6 1 1 8 6 8 2 2 8 3 8 7 6 60 5 6 8 10 50 E7
3 5 5 5 5 6 8 3 4 4 7 5 4 61 8 4 6 8.3 3 S0
5 8 8 7 8 2 3 8 7 8 5 6 7 77 7 8 12 18 14 S0
CRC's 4th race is going to be short and sweet. It's a 8.5 furlong race on the turf and as we can see the number 1 ranked horse is a dominate stand out. He has a ranked #1 in almost every category including a #1 V1 and V2 and he has a separation on the field of 22 points. His SP of EP7 sets up well in this race with two other speed horses to set the pace while he lays off them and uses his late speed and turf rating T1 to nail these front runners down the stretch. This is a prime example of not trying to find value in these kinds of races. You need to pick you're spots and this is not the kind of race to be looking to beat the favorite. He could very well get beat but its not a high probability situation for value in this type of race. With his listed VL line of 4.3 we can lower the VL by 2.5 to get an adjusted VL line on this horse for a possible value play. If he goes off at 1.8/1 this horse would be considered a value play. That's it for this race. We will look no further in races like this for value when such a dominate line horse is present.
One thing I forgot to mention on the website in this race is the top rated horse is comming off a fast paced race in his last so look for him to improve with this bunch.
Full chart listed at website.
Have a great day,
Mitch