PlanB
09-30-2006, 11:13 AM
I received David Johnson's book, Value Betting ...... I'll abbreviate it as VB ....
on Friday. I ordered it by CC on the Web on Wednesday, so they must
have used JET EXPRESS, but I was real pleased since I had Friday off. I just
finished reading it & if it's not too redundant, here's my impressions.
In Total, I enjoyed it very much. It's clearly written & well-thought out & it's
a definite point-of-view. The author, Dr Johnson, seems very sincere & honest.
I only rarely got the impression of being lured in buying something --- and LOL
I am going to buy some days worth of his ratings.
VB examines: CLASS, CONDITION, PACE, SPEED, CONNECTIONS. These are
its main factors, defined by proprietary formulae with WEIGHTS attached to
aspects of these traits. So, for ex, VB measures CLASS with 8 MONEY BOX
stats ($ WON this Year/ Last Year/Lifetime etc etc) --- and gets a Total
composite measure of Class, at least for older horses.
IOWs, VB isn't just some strategy to create an odds line, but rather it
was a fully-researched SELECTION METHOD first, with factors defined
and combined and weighted AND then PROVEN to work; the ODDS LINE
was then created after all the grunt work.
Yet, it's the ODDS LINE that determines if a system's picks should be bet.
VB gives very good documentaion of its output .... what you can expect
to see if you buy its ratings.
All in all, its the Ainslie COMPREHENSIVE CAPPING + VB's ODDS LINE.
Also, VB's odds line is itself very well researched according to Johnson,
and probably has no equal that he knows of.
Knowing how experienced most of you here are, I've probably just echoed
what you know first hand, maybe even used via TrackMaster etc, but
although I started with the bias against Odds Lines --- which I still have ---
this book seems to work as is, and if VB works as written about, then
I would be foolish to ignore its Odds Line & just bet it's picks.
I humbly give VB 1.2 Thumbs UP.
on Friday. I ordered it by CC on the Web on Wednesday, so they must
have used JET EXPRESS, but I was real pleased since I had Friday off. I just
finished reading it & if it's not too redundant, here's my impressions.
In Total, I enjoyed it very much. It's clearly written & well-thought out & it's
a definite point-of-view. The author, Dr Johnson, seems very sincere & honest.
I only rarely got the impression of being lured in buying something --- and LOL
I am going to buy some days worth of his ratings.
VB examines: CLASS, CONDITION, PACE, SPEED, CONNECTIONS. These are
its main factors, defined by proprietary formulae with WEIGHTS attached to
aspects of these traits. So, for ex, VB measures CLASS with 8 MONEY BOX
stats ($ WON this Year/ Last Year/Lifetime etc etc) --- and gets a Total
composite measure of Class, at least for older horses.
IOWs, VB isn't just some strategy to create an odds line, but rather it
was a fully-researched SELECTION METHOD first, with factors defined
and combined and weighted AND then PROVEN to work; the ODDS LINE
was then created after all the grunt work.
Yet, it's the ODDS LINE that determines if a system's picks should be bet.
VB gives very good documentaion of its output .... what you can expect
to see if you buy its ratings.
All in all, its the Ainslie COMPREHENSIVE CAPPING + VB's ODDS LINE.
Also, VB's odds line is itself very well researched according to Johnson,
and probably has no equal that he knows of.
Knowing how experienced most of you here are, I've probably just echoed
what you know first hand, maybe even used via TrackMaster etc, but
although I started with the bias against Odds Lines --- which I still have ---
this book seems to work as is, and if VB works as written about, then
I would be foolish to ignore its Odds Line & just bet it's picks.
I humbly give VB 1.2 Thumbs UP.