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Parnell
09-13-2002, 12:45 AM
The "A" horse is our top choice, the "B" horse is our second choice and the "C" horse is our third choice etc. “PN” is the program number (betting number). Our "Bet" line is the minimum odds that you need in order to get proper value. Therefore, by betting horses that are going off at odds that meet or exceed our "Bet" line you should maximize your total profits. “ML" is the morning line (program odds). “Tot” is the total number of points assigned to each horse by our program (the higher, the better). The area to the right – “Win”, “Place”, “Show”, “Exotics” is basically a notepad for keeping track of the payoffs. Good Luck!! Profit-PicksDel Mar Selections
By: Profit-Picks
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FPX0913 Race Number 1 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 2 Dang You Sindy 8 15 8
C 3 Superific Season 7 6 10
4 Frigid Lady 9 30 8
5 Houston's Beauty 8 30 8
6 Casual Smile 11 6 7
A 7 Chica's Due 4 12 15
8 Stately Whisper 11 12 6
B 9 Jewel Case 5 1 13

FPX0913 Race Number 2 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Syns N Fantasies 9 8 9
B 2 Breathless 5 1 14
3 Mikelmagillicutty 11 5 8
4 Never Say Nunca 14 30 6
C 5 Black Team 6 8 13
6 Perissos 12 30 7
7 Pay The Fiddler 9 12 9
A 8 A Real King 4 3 17
9 Continentalcolone 12 10 7
10 Erimo's Big Haul 14 30 6

FPX0913 Race Number 3 9.0 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Starter Allowance

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Taylorman 5 3 11
2 Winning Fever 14 10 4
A 3 Fun Meeting You 1 2 24
B 4 Buster B Bimbo 3 1 16
C 5 Sky Strider 3 4 16

FPX0913 Race Number 4 8.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Keep 'em Rolling 5 3 11
2 Magic Secret 8 6 7
A 3 Cookie Cutouts 3 2 14
B 4 Captain's Surpris 4 4 13
C 5 Foggerinthevalley 5 3 11
6 Skippingtomontana 13 15 5
7 Liberty Cat 8 15 7

FPX0913 Race Number 5 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Poly Powered 8 30 10
B 2 Jagged Ice 5 2 15
3 Gabriel's Pat 17 30 5
4 Bonny Johnny 16 30 5
5 Stage It 13 10 7
6 Houston To Marily 13 30 6
7 Skater Dude 10 30 8
A 8 Bronx 4 2 18
9 Sarah's Beau 11 1 7
C 10 Loose Force 6 20 13

FPX0913 Race Number 6 6.0 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
B 1 Give Away Joe 5 3 15
2 One Bad Storm 8 10 10
3 Storm Cash 11 30 8
4 Shoeco City 15 15 6
D 5 Always Remember 6 15 13
6 Hair Jordan 7 10 13
C 7 A Colt For David 6 2 14
A 8 Truckee River 3 1 23

FPX0913 Race Number 7 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
B 1 Ultro 4 10 18
2 What Say 24 30 3
3 Fun Times Ahead 11 8 7
4 Whining Jacob 14 15 6
5 Paster's Baby 11 4 7
6 Flores Dancer 11 30 7
C 7 Danceascore 7 2 12
8 Undercover Guy 11 15 7
A 9 Bringdownthehouse 4 3 18
D 10 Cosmic High 9 6 9

FPX0913 Race Number 8 8.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
C 1 Huggy Boy 4 6 19
2 Further 7 1 11
B 3 Yazzero 3 2 22
4 Golden Ticket 99 12 1
A 5 Jekyll And Hyde 2 5 29
D 6 Dixie Thrill 4 4 19

FPX0913 Race Number 9 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Sp weight

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 Buttertart 8 1 9
A 2 Miss Lucky Molar 4 5 15
B 3 Pitufa 7 6 10
4 Tahoe Bay 13 20 6
C 5 Madisen Kay 7 8 10
6 Royal Twister 9 30 8
7 Lucky Turk 9 15 8
8 Bertrando's Dare 9 10 8
D 9 Dotted Swiss 7 10 10

FPX0913 Race Number 10 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Nongraded Stake

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 Laffit 15 20 9
2 Affirm Cat 12 8 11
B 3 Pickled Bay 5 10 22
D 4 Chaos N Confusion 7 12 17
5 Road Grader 9 30 15
A 6 Mighty David 4 3 28
7 From A To Z 11 4 12
8 Saphir Indien 99 15 1
9 Line Rider 8 3 17
C 10 Crooked Key 6 5 20

FPX0913 Race Number 11 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet ML Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 Pas De Chaine 10 15 8
2 La Belle Diamante 10 30 8
3 Miss Muzzy 9 20 9
B 4 My Whole Enchilad 7 12 11
A 5 Stellar Light 5 2 15
6 My Kimberlee Anne 15 8 5
D 7 Culley 8 2 10
8 Best Card 10 3 8
C 9 Yard Sale Slew 8 20 10
10 Purdy Baby 9 30 9

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profit-picks@lycos.com

Parnell
09-14-2002, 04:18 AM
Fairplex Selections
By: Profit-Picks
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FPX0913 Race Number 1 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 Fabulous Lady 9 3 8 3.60 2.60 2.40 Exacta: 8.70
D 2 Dang You Sindy 8 48 8 3.80 2.80 Trifecta: 47.00
C3 3 Superific Season 7 8 10 4.40
4 Frigid Lady 9 34 8
5 Houston's Beauty 8 57 8
6 Casual Smile 11 11 7
A2 7 Chica's Due 4 7 15
8 Stately Whisper 11 15 6
B1 9 Jewel Case 5 1 13

FPX0913 Race Number 2 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Syns N Fantasies 9 15 9 9.80 4.20 2.80 Exacta: 18.50
B 2 Breathless 5 4 14 5.00 3.20 Trifecta: 51.00
2 3 Mikelmagillicutty 11 3 8 2.80
4 Never Say Nunca 14 36 6
C3 5 Black Team 6 2 13
6 Perissos 12 18 7
7 Pay the Fiddler 9 25 9
A1 8 A Real King 4 3 17
9 Continentalcolonel 12 8 7
10 Erimo's Big Haul 14 81 6

FPX0913 Race Number 3 9.0 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Starter Allowance

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D3 1 Taylorman 5 1 11 8.40 3.40 2.10 Exacta: 14.10
2 Winning Fever 14 15 4 3.80 2.20
A2 3 Fun Meeting You 1 2 24 2.10
B1 4 Buster B Bimbo 3 3 16 Pick Three: 30.00
C 5 Sky Strider 3 5 16

FPX0913 Race Number 4 8.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D 1 Keep 'em Rolling 5 4 11 11.40 3.60 3.20 Exacta: 11.80
2 Magic Secret 8 8 7 2.60 2.60 Trifecta: 165.00
A2 3 Cookie Cutouts 3 1 14 5.60
B 4 Captain's Surprise 4 3 13 Pick Three: 70.00
C1 5 Foggerinthevalley 5 4 11
6 Dq-skippingtomonta 13 19 5
3 7 Liberty Cat 8 27 7

FPX0913 Race Number 5 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
B1 2 Jagged Ice 4 1 15 5.80 2.80 2.40 Exacta: 6.50
3 Gabriel's Pat 15 69 5 3.00 2.40 Trifecta: 24.00
4 Bonny Johnny 14 54 5 3.00
3 5 Stage It 11 9 7 Pick Three: 60.00
6 Houston to Marilyn 12 42 6
D 7 Skater Dude 9 39 8
A2 8 Bronx 3 1 18
9 Sarah's Beau 10 2 7
C 10 Loose Force 5 23 13

FPX0913 Race Number 6 6.0 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
B 1 Give Away Joe 5 3 15 26.80 9.40 4.00 Exacta: 47.70
2 One Bad Storm 8 8 10 3.80 2.60 Trifecta: 110.00
3 Storm Cash 11 51 8 3.00 Double: 70.00
4 Shoeco City 15 21 6 Pick Three: 190.00
D 5 Always Remember 6 11 13
1 6 Hair Jordan 7 12 13
C3 7 A Colt for David 6 2 14
A2 8 Truckee River 3 2 23

FPX0913 Race Number 7 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
B 1 Ultro 4 3 18 8.40 4.40 3.60 Exacta: 17.50
2 What Say 24 73 3 3.40 2.80 Trifecta: 86.00
3 Fun Times Ahead 11 11 7 4.20
4 Whining Jacob 14 9 6 Pick Three: 190.00
1 5 Paster's Baby 11 3 7
6 Flores Dancer 11 95 7
C2 7 Danceascore 7 2 12
8 Undercover Guy 11 48 7
A3 9 Bringdownthehouse 4 7 18
D 10 Cosmic High 9 8 9

FPX0913 Race Number 8 8.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
C 1 Huggy Boy 3 4 19 7.60 3.80 3.20 Exacta: 15.20
B 3 Yazzero 3 1 21 3.00 3.40 Trifecta: 80.00
3 4 Golden Ticket 99 14 1 4.80
A2 5 Jekyll and Hyde 2 1 28 Pick Three: 260.00
D1 6 Dixie Thrill 3 2 18

FPX0913 Race Number 9 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Sp weight

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
D1 1 Buttertart 7 1 9 3.20 2.60 2.20 Exacta: 10.70
A 2 Miss Lucky Molar 3 10 15 6.60 4.20 Trifecta: 35.00
B2 3 Pitufa 6 10 10 3.00
4 Tahoe Bay 11 19 6 Pick Three: 30.00
C3 5 Madisen Kay 6 5 10
6 Royal Twister 7 84 8
7 Lucky Turk 7 52 8
8 Bertrando's Dare 7 4 8

FPX0913 Race Number 10 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Nongraded Stake

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 1 Laffit 13 12 9 26.40 11.40 4.60 Exacta: 86.00
2 Affirm Cat 10 7 11 7.20 3.60 Trifecta: 664.00
B 3 Pickled Bay 5 12 22 4.80
5 Road Grader 8 65 15 Pick Three: 140.00
A 6 Mighty David 3 1 28
2 7 From A to Z 10 4 12 Pick Six: 390.00
8 Saphir Indien 99 51 1
D 9 Line Rider 7 4 17
C3 10 Crooked Key 5 6 20

FPX0913 Race Number 1 6.5 Furlongs on dirt Race Class: Maiden Claiming

PN Horse Name Bet Off Tot Win Place Show Exotics
1 Pas de Chaine 10 7 8 8.80 4.80 3.60 Exacta: 15.40
2 La Belle Diamante 10 52 8 4.40 3.40 Trifecta: 52.00
3 Miss Muzzy 9 22 9 3.60 Double: 230.00
B 4 My Whole Enchilada 7 7 11 Pick Three: 120.00
A1 5 Stellar Light 5 3 15
6 My Kimberlee Anne 15 4 5
D2 7 Culley 8 3 10
3 8 Best Card 10 3 8
C 9 Yard Sale Slew 8 52 10
10 Purdy Baby 9 50 9

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profit-picks@lycos.com

hurrikane
09-14-2002, 08:02 PM
Interesting results. It looks like only one race was a play. the 6th at FPX.
Wondering how many of the other horses that you don't list odds on would have been a play?

rrbauer
09-14-2002, 08:41 PM
hurrikane-

I don't understand your conclusion here about the 6th being the only play. Help me out!

hurrikane
09-15-2002, 02:39 PM
Maybe my math is wrong....

1st race winner needed 5-1...off odds 1-2
2ndrace..needed 4-1....looks like the winner came out at 7-2
3rd...needed 3-1. off odds about 3-1.. Ok..this one is also a go
4th needed 5-1. off odds 9-2
5th needed 4-1 off at 3-2
6th needed 7-1 off at 12-1. play
7th needed 11-1 off at 3-1
8th needed 3-1 off at 5-2
9th needed 7-1 off 1-2
10 needed 13-1 off at 12-1
11(says 1 but I assume 11) needed 5-1 off at 3-1

some of these are close and knowing odds change as the horses run quite possibly a couple of these would have made the play.

rrbauer
09-16-2002, 06:15 AM
Based upon the criteria presented, there are any number of plays (where the "off" odds are higher than the "bet" odds) in any number of races if you ignore the rankings. So in race 6, for example, the 3,4,5 and 6 are all overlays. Would you play all four?

I assume that given the A, B, C etc. ranking that the algorithm to determine play/no-play would be play the A-ranked horse if it's an overlay; else, play the B-ranked horse if it's an overlay; else, play the C-ranked horse if it's an overlay; else, play the D-ranked horse if it's an overlay; else, don't play. Based upon that approach there would have been a variety of plays using a ranked horse, but no winning plays. And, in race 6, the play would've been on number 5 (the highest ranked overlay) which lost.