QUANTUM PICKS BETCRIS MATCHUPS 07/02/2006

[formula_2002]

date track race name line pg# "E" SURF play
7/2/2006 BEL R4 IN NO TIME 130 8 0.42 t
7/2/2006 BEL R4 EXECUTIVE -150 10 0.58 t play

7/2/2006 BEL R8 WILLARD ST 120 5 0.438 T
7/2/2006 BEL R8 AROUND THE -140 6 0.562 T play*

7/2/2006 CD R7 SHESANIDEM 130 7 0.42 T
7/2/2006 CD R7 PINE SHELT -150 6 0.58 T play

7/2/2006 CD R8 HUNTIN GEN -110 6 0.5 D
7/2/2006 CD R8 KINGS CHAL -110 7 0.5 D play

7/2/2006 HOL R3 PROPOSED 120 4 0.438 D
7/2/2006 HOL R3 STAR PARAD -140 5 0.562 D play

[formula_2002]

Take the 4th at Bel, the 8 went off at 25-1
the 10 went at 7-1
Those win pool odds "could" translate into match play book percentages of 23% for the 8 and 76% for the 10.
78%= dollar odds of .28 cents to 1$.
Betcris line offered .58% which ='s dollar odds of .72 cents to $1.

In order to find the "real" value, some adjustment is needed for the track take and Betcris vig and statistical variance, but a 44 cent spread in my favor is a good place to start.
If only it happened all the time. ;) (and won)

[formula_2002]

finals for betcris.

Nice start off
3 wins in 4 plays, +$160, $550 played.

2.2 expected wins.
the only one to lose was the (*) play..