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View Full Version : QUANTUM PICKS PINNACLE MATCHUPS 07/01/06


formula_2002
07-01-2006, 05:04 AM
date track r# name line PGNO surf
7/1/2006 BEL R8 BUSHFIRE -125 2 D
7/1/2006 BEL R8 JOINT EFFOR 109 6 D PLAY

7/1/2006 BEL R9 WILD DESERT 134 1 D
7/1/2006 BEL R9 INVASOR -150 6 D PLAY*

7/1/2006 CD R10 PLACE COWBO -163 2 T PLAY
7/1/2006 CD R10 ON THE BORD 147 5 T

7/1/2006 CD R10 FREE THINKI -108 3 T
7/1/2006 CD R10 THERECOMESA -108 6 T PLAY

7/1/2006 CD R9 BOOTS ARE W 129 2 D
7/1/2006 CD R9 HALOS TIGER -145 4 D PLAY

7/1/2006 HOL R3 SOMETHINABO -101 2 D PLAY*
7/1/2006 HOL R3 MARYFIELD -115 5 D

7/1/2006 HOL R6 SHINING ENE -106 3 T PLAY
7/1/2006 HOL R6 SWEET TALKE -110 5 T

7/1/2006 HOL R6 CAMBIOCORSA 101 1 T PLAY
7/1/2006 HOL R6 DANCE IN TH -117 9 T

WHEN QUANTUM NOTES A PLAY WITH "*", IT COULD BE THE MOST POWERFUL PLAY EVER.
Even a gainst a 17% win pool track take-out, it returns a small profit.

formula_2002
07-01-2006, 08:40 PM
FINALS;
4 WINS IN 4 PLAYS, $14 LOSS, $970 PLYAED
*** BOTH (*) PICKS NOT ONLY WON THEIR MATCH UP'S, THEY ALSO WON THE RACE!!

This is a powerful play


date track r# name line PGNO surf WIN LOST BET
7/1/2006 BEL R8 BUSHFIRE -125 2 D
7/1/2006 BEL R8 JOINT EFFOR 109 6 D PLAY 100 100

7/1/2006 BEL R9 WILD DESERT 134 1 D
7/1/2006 BEL R9 INVASOR -150 6 D PLAY* 100 150

7/1/2006 CD R10 PLACE COWBO -163 2 T PLAY 100 163
7/1/2006 CD R10 ON THE BORD 147 5 T

7/1/2006 CD R10 FREE THINKI -108 3 T
7/1/2006 CD R10 THERECOMESA -108 6 T PLAY 108 108

7/1/2006 CD R9 BOOTS ARE W 129 2 D
7/1/2006 CD R9 HALOS TIGER -145 4 D PLAY 100 145

7/1/2006 HOL R3 SOMETHINABO -101 2 D PLAY* 100 101
7/1/2006 HOL R3 MARYFIELD -115 5 D

7/1/2006 HOL R6 SHINING ENE -106 3 T PLAY 105 106
7/1/2006 HOL R6 SWEET TALKE -110 5 T

7/1/2006 HOL R6 CAMBIOCORSA 101 1 T PLAY 100 100
7/1/2006 HOL R6 DANCE IN TH -117 9 T
400 413 973

formula_2002
07-01-2006, 09:47 PM
that should read 4 wins in 8 plays

formula_2002
07-02-2006, 09:02 AM
I hope to be adding one more bit of informtion in the results report, "E", expected winners.
expected winners = 1/(pinnacle odds line+1).
where the pinnacle odds line is normalized.

Whenever actual winners/ expected winners>1.03 a profit will be acheived.

In this post "E"= 4.085 AND "A"=4
4/4.085 = .979.
1.03-.979= 5% dutch play loss, compared to a flat bet loss of 1.44%.

I rely upon the dutch play roi as a more telling indicator of how well the picks are performing.