Mohawk Selections Tonight

[sq764]

With Woodbine ending (finally), I can start wagering on Canada again.. Here are a few races I am looking at tonight: (I cannot format these posts for $hit, so it may come out jarbled)


Race 2 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
7 FOURS GOOD 55.1 56.1 84.4 4/1 1.9
6 BETS AT BIGS 55.4 56.5 85.0 8/1 2.7
5 LOGICAL DIRECTI 55.6 56.5 85.0 8/1 2.9
1 DAYLON CLASSIC 56.1 56.4 85.9 2/1 3.9


Race 4 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
2 KEYSTONE RESIDE 55.2 56.2 84.5 9/2 0.9
3 VILLAGE JIGGLE 56.9 56.0 85.7 9/2 3.1
8 LOOK AT ME WIN 57.3 56.1 85.8 5/2 15.0
5 DONT FIGHT THE L58.0 55.5 85.4 5/1 15.0


Race 5 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
6 CASH HALL 55.9 56.7 86.3 7/1 2.0
4 STILETTO 55.9 56.8 86.4 4/1 2.2
2 SHAKIN WILLOW 56.1 56.8 86.5 10/1 3.3
1 WILL HE 55.6 57.5 86.3 10/1 6.0


Race 7 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
5 TIDEWATER 54.1 55.5 83.6 9/2 1.5
3 ALL THE WEAPONS 55.5 55.6 84.7 5/1 3.8
2 PRESIDENTIAL AL 56.1 55.2 84.1 6/1 4.5
8 ELM GROVE SAM 56.1 55.4 84.2 10/1 5.5


Race 8 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
1 QUALITY IMPORT 55.3 56.3 85.0 6/1 1.7
2 MATTY MCGEE 56.2 56.5 86.1 7/2 3.1
9 GREAT BALLDINI 56.5 56.9 86.2 9/2 3.2
3 SPUDCAM 56.5 56.5 85.2 12/1 3.9
5 PACIFIC OKEY DO 55.7 57.9 86.9 5/2 6.5


Race 10 Horse Half Final 3Q ML Acceptable Odds
9 BEND IT 56.4 56.1 84.7 7/1 1.6
2 SURE DUFFY 56.3 56.7 85.9 5/1 2.3
8 ACCEPTABLE RISK 55.6 57.6 86.6 12/1 3.2
6 TROUBALL 55.8 57.9 87.0 4/1 7.5

[PaceAdvantage]

Ok, the key to lining things up relies on two things:

a) you must use the proper font. I have found that Fixedsys works best, although I think Courier might work as well

b) you have to surround the text you want to format with the CODE tags. If you click the # sign button in the toolbar directly above where you are typing your reply, you will see it will place the CODE tags in your post. You then place whatever text you wish to format between the opening and closing CODE tags, and change the font to Fixedsys.

You may have to fiddle with it a tad to touch it up in places, as some of your horse names were too long and went over into the next field, but such is life...

[melman]

R5 Winner Cash Hall $17.10 :) Whatever the format what a great price on that one. :jump:

[sq764]

very nice night.. Tidewater breaking KILLED me.. Difference between a nice night and a monster night.. oh well, who needs the pick 4 too :-)

[I LOVE THIS GAME]

what program are you using to get these figures?

[sq764]

My own..

[traynor]

It seems your ratings are "lowest is best"? That is, the preferred order of finish in each races is in the order you list them? Looks like a great application.
:) Good Luck!

[traynor]

Sorry, I just realized that you are probably truncating a projected final time in the final column (dropping the minute). Naturally, smaller would be better! I spend too much time staring at computer screens filled with pace figures--it sometimes causes me to miss the obvious.
:) Good Luck!

[sq764]

Well, just to clarify, the ratings show:

Horse #
Horse Name
Projected raw first half
Projected raw last half
Projected raw last 3Q
M/L
Oddsline

I find the raw fractions to be one of the few edges 'we' have as harness handicappers anymore. You can uncover some strong hidden fractions this way that lead to the 6/1 to 10/1 shots..

Hope that explains the figures..

[fouroneone]

lets see more pics for tonight! :jump:

[sq764]

lets see more pics for tonight! :jump:
Can't tonight Have to spend time with the wife tonight, going to Phils/Yanks game tomorrow night.. Will post Mohawk or Meadowlands for Thurs night.

[traynor]

sq764 wrote:
<Projected raw first half
Projected raw last half
Projected raw last 3Q>

Are you using raw times going in, or just coming out? Specifically, are you using variant adjusted times to make the "raw" time projections, or are you using all raw times?

This is a huge issue in harness racing; a lot of experts say all the "variant adjustments" do is aim everything back to a meaningless mean, while others swear that "accurate variants" are essential (with little agreement on how to derive them). I am not asking you to give away the candy store, or the company secrets--I am only asking if you actively use daily variants in making your calculations for the "raw time" projections.
:) Good Luck!

[fouroneone]

Can't tonight Have to spend time with the wife tonight, going to Phils/Yanks game tomorrow night.. Will post Mohawk or Meadowlands for Thurs night.



Still waiting :)

[sq764]

sq764 wrote:
<Projected raw first half
Projected raw last half
Projected raw last 3Q>

Are you using raw times going in, or just coming out? Specifically, are you using variant adjusted times to make the "raw" time projections, or are you using all raw times?

This is a huge issue in harness racing; a lot of experts say all the "variant adjustments" do is aim everything back to a meaningless mean, while others swear that "accurate variants" are essential (with little agreement on how to derive them). I am not asking you to give away the candy store, or the company secrets--I am only asking if you actively use daily variants in making your calculations for the "raw time" projections.
:) Good Luck!


I do not use variants at all. I never have and I have done many comparisons on results with and without and I have found not using them are more reliable.

That's me, some other's might feel otherwise.