mamaluke
05-05-2006, 08:42 PM
Handicapping
The Oaks - (toocool505) 05-04-06 - 11:15 PM [Msgid=1017884]
1. BALANCE--I guess I'll have to throw out that last race with the ~12 cover up that race and she looks very tough to beat.
2. TOP NOTCH LADY--Got better at the end of two and took some time off ( why? ) but did fire right back to her top and with about 6 weeks rest she could move forward and hit the board.
3. EX CAELIS--11+ top at two and only one race this year and that was 2pts off the 11+ looks to have no say in here.
4. LAST ROMANCE--Has a nice foward moving line this year, I'll toss the G18 being a wind day and she got right back and ran a new top last out, the bads are she has moved 5pts from her 2yr year and the good is she has 6 weeks rest so a pair up could happen and might give her a on the board run.
5. QUIET KIM--Looks to be in the making of a 0-2-X pattern, but I would want another 4 weeks for her to run that top. Just three weeks rest from the last, looks to run in the 11 to 13 level. Looks like a 6-8 will get the job done for this year Oaks.
6. BUSHFIRE--11 top at two and now ran a 8" in her last only 2 1/2pts of move, has really done nothing wrong, but with every move comes the fear of a backward move and at best she might pair up the 8", but I'll past on her for now.
7. MISS NORMAN--Ugly 2yr old year and jumps ups and bore out in her last looks to have no impact here.
8. WAIT A WHILE--I don't know how others use Turf #'s with Dirt #'s but I don't like using them together. So with that said WAW got down the the 7+ two races back and bounced only 4pts in the Kee ~11+ race and has the time to fire the 7+ on Friday nice timing and WAW looks to run well.
9. DIPLOMAT LADY--Ran the pair of 8" at two and then had some trouble getting threw them( meaning why didn't she fire the 8 or better 2nd race out at 3yr and ran the 12 ) until last out where she ran a 1pt new top, off that hard time she had getting past those 8's I'll take her to bounce and toss her.
10. ITTY BITTY PRETTY-- http://www.bulletinboards.com/gif/smile_blush.gif Overall at two she got good at the end of the year and pair that right up and then moved 2pts to the 9+, had alot of time coming into the Kee race where she got a ~15 do we throw out that last race and look for her to run a 9+ again? I'll do that.
11. RED CHERRIES SPIN--Has never bounced, but has only 3 weeks rest for this one and looks at best to pair up the 10".
12. ERMINE--Last race she runs a 1 1/2pt new top over her two year old top and has 6 weeks rest into this one, at worse she'll run another 8 and could move to a new level for the Oaks.
13. WONDER LADY ANNE L--Has also had alot of time into this race but this one is coming off a 5pt move from her 2yr top. I'll take her to back off that 7".
14. LEMONS FOREVER--14+ top at 2, bounces to a 16 and then fires a 6pt new top to a 8, then she done what most would do she bounced to a s14. Here comes the fun part, I don't think she's ready to run a new top, but she could fire right back into the 8 level and put her right in the mix.
My picks for this race will be--1st=Lemons, with ERMINE and BALANCE.
================================================== =
copied from the rogazin board,the sheets.com
great pick. A wheel in the Kentucky Derby must be in the thousands
for a $2 wheel
The Oaks - (toocool505) 05-04-06 - 11:15 PM [Msgid=1017884]
1. BALANCE--I guess I'll have to throw out that last race with the ~12 cover up that race and she looks very tough to beat.
2. TOP NOTCH LADY--Got better at the end of two and took some time off ( why? ) but did fire right back to her top and with about 6 weeks rest she could move forward and hit the board.
3. EX CAELIS--11+ top at two and only one race this year and that was 2pts off the 11+ looks to have no say in here.
4. LAST ROMANCE--Has a nice foward moving line this year, I'll toss the G18 being a wind day and she got right back and ran a new top last out, the bads are she has moved 5pts from her 2yr year and the good is she has 6 weeks rest so a pair up could happen and might give her a on the board run.
5. QUIET KIM--Looks to be in the making of a 0-2-X pattern, but I would want another 4 weeks for her to run that top. Just three weeks rest from the last, looks to run in the 11 to 13 level. Looks like a 6-8 will get the job done for this year Oaks.
6. BUSHFIRE--11 top at two and now ran a 8" in her last only 2 1/2pts of move, has really done nothing wrong, but with every move comes the fear of a backward move and at best she might pair up the 8", but I'll past on her for now.
7. MISS NORMAN--Ugly 2yr old year and jumps ups and bore out in her last looks to have no impact here.
8. WAIT A WHILE--I don't know how others use Turf #'s with Dirt #'s but I don't like using them together. So with that said WAW got down the the 7+ two races back and bounced only 4pts in the Kee ~11+ race and has the time to fire the 7+ on Friday nice timing and WAW looks to run well.
9. DIPLOMAT LADY--Ran the pair of 8" at two and then had some trouble getting threw them( meaning why didn't she fire the 8 or better 2nd race out at 3yr and ran the 12 ) until last out where she ran a 1pt new top, off that hard time she had getting past those 8's I'll take her to bounce and toss her.
10. ITTY BITTY PRETTY-- http://www.bulletinboards.com/gif/smile_blush.gif Overall at two she got good at the end of the year and pair that right up and then moved 2pts to the 9+, had alot of time coming into the Kee race where she got a ~15 do we throw out that last race and look for her to run a 9+ again? I'll do that.
11. RED CHERRIES SPIN--Has never bounced, but has only 3 weeks rest for this one and looks at best to pair up the 10".
12. ERMINE--Last race she runs a 1 1/2pt new top over her two year old top and has 6 weeks rest into this one, at worse she'll run another 8 and could move to a new level for the Oaks.
13. WONDER LADY ANNE L--Has also had alot of time into this race but this one is coming off a 5pt move from her 2yr top. I'll take her to back off that 7".
14. LEMONS FOREVER--14+ top at 2, bounces to a 16 and then fires a 6pt new top to a 8, then she done what most would do she bounced to a s14. Here comes the fun part, I don't think she's ready to run a new top, but she could fire right back into the 8 level and put her right in the mix.
My picks for this race will be--1st=Lemons, with ERMINE and BALANCE.
================================================== =
copied from the rogazin board,the sheets.com
great pick. A wheel in the Kentucky Derby must be in the thousands
for a $2 wheel