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View Full Version : Saratoga Race 4 & Pick three Saturday 8-3


Suff
08-02-2002, 07:52 PM
This is a "winning day" race... .. If you hit this race you will have a winning day. Its just such a tough race to hit. There will be value here.. on the front and middle of the pick threes... and the winner and exoctic tickets. I've looked hard at this race... its my swing race of the day...I play the rest of the day with house money if I can get the winner and get alive in the Pick three's here.... Its raining hard here in The North East... I expect the track.. even if listed as "fast" tommorrow..to play a lil soft... Maybe later in the day ,, but not by the 4th race will this track be favoring speed.

Allowance 47 grand N1X... another 10 grand for a NY bred.. and there are two NY Breds in here. 7 furlong sprint... Three are carrying high wieght of 121 and spotting 9 pounds to the Entry.. but only 4 to the field.

#2 Vow... Ok.. coulda spent 45 mins trying to figure this horse out.. I gave up after 20. Breaks first from Post TEN last two races...then in last race.. absolutley disappears back 8 lenghths.. comes again and miss's by a length to a strong field... Looking back to 8/01 .. same thing Breaks first from 12 hole... rates back.. comes again and just miss's...... The few times he's drawn inside.. he has'nt got close to getting the lead...11/01 from the 2 hole breaks 11th.. 3 hole -breaks 6th... 2 hole- Breaks 5th
Does have a very nice Work last week on the surface... But as much as I respect NJ state bred allwo. company... I don't see this horse getting the early lead.. and I don't see his closing kick enough for these Open Company types. He's out.

Soviern Sweep... 3rd at N2L last out.. but five horse field... Not impressed... That 6/02 race was full of junk.. The race was full of run and gun deadbeats.. I looked at it... Cannot see him getting the same soft trip he got here.
http://www.nyra.com/chart/dailyresults.asp?track=B&chartdate=6/8/2002


#4 Unanimous Decision... First time against winners.. took him nine tries to beat maidens... Only race he was ever in with a fast first quater was his last.. and he did win.. Does'nt show enough early foot.. does'nt show any real tactical gear.. and he pass's very few horses after the 1/4 pole... He's out

#5 Seattle Glory. Out of Seatle Slew.. Paid 300 Grand for this horse. He has been behind and not embarased by some nice horses.. Peppermint kid.. One tough Fox.. Crittendon Gyrflacon. I like a horse that wins at first asking.. But the way this horse did it was pretty impressive... Broke 12th (Dead Last)from the 4 hole... Chased Lightning Fractions of 21.4 and and 45... 5 furlongs in 57 and closed a tired field to win by one in a 6 furlong sprint... First out winners are usually good,, But when they win in a 12 horse field,, when they win from breaking last.. when they win chasing quick fractions,, They are "RUNNERS" Plectcher Velezquez team,,, He's got a nice 350 tomlinson on a wet track.. Think the price will be fair,, 9-2 to 7-1... I like the horse to WIN this race... Forget that last turf expirment.. the horse(Gyrflalcon) that won that race? Well he was the back end of a 9 dollar double and the back end of a 22 dollar pick three. Yes he was 4-1.. But he was the fourth favorite in an 8 horse field. Seattle Glory was up against it in that affair.. he takes these horses to school today.

#6.. Dank schoen.. He'll be bet... But.. Winning a Texas state bred (8-1)just does'nt get me excited. I like Asmussen and Like Meche.. And I can see this horse getting a piece with a good trip... They only paid $3500 for the horse... and he'd need to run way over his pedigree to beat these... Note 400 Tommy on Wet though.

#7 One bad race against open foes in last... Took to the slop in sate bred simlaiar level last year and won at 24-1.. Does show a Mddle move.. But thats as far he'll get here.. he's out. Ny Bred qualifies for the Bonus..

#8.. 1/2 to Seattle slew.. Paid 250K for him.. Last out was pretty impressive,, In the tri all 4 starts... Has some very nice workouts... I see him Right there at the 1/8 pole,, But that 8 lenght backwards move two back makes me think when he gets a load of these in the stretch he gives it up... Off him...

#9 Trumpster... No chance..this will be his 23'rd crack at something these horses are trying in thier 2nd 3rd and 4th .. he'll need a softer field to get his first Allowance win...

#10....37 starts,, still fiddling around at this level.. thanks for coming.. we have a nice parting gift for you.

#11 True Genius,,, after 7 tries on grass without a win, they went back to dirt to see if they could jolt him.. and it worked,, 20-1 at this level ran second to a run away winner.. First three were ten clear of the field. I don't think that many will give up in this one. Has the Walden/Day team going for him.. Check out those times on his last race 21.2 44.3 Six furlongs in 108.3 Don;t get much better than that.. He's My second horse. Nice Tommy of 330 and a 97 beyer in his resume

#12 Stone Age... Very important part of race.. Because they will bet this horse.. and this horse will not be on the ticket... Horse needs the lead.. will not get it from this hole and even if he does,, will have nothing left.. Money Burner...

Entry 1/1A... Carrero on the 1... 1A ...first race since Jan...getting 9 pounds.. 2nd to Governer Hickel. Beat PUCK,, who is running in Haskel on Sun. 2 for 1.. Like one of them third.


Here is how I see them 5-11-1

I'm keying the 5 in the following pick three tikets from race three....

1,3,7/5/5,7,9,11

and playing a $5.00 pick three in the third... 3/5/5,11

and keying the 5 in the 4th with pick three tickets

5/9/1,9
5/all/1
5/11,7/9,1