Cause to Believe

[Valuist]

Still seems a bit under the radar. 24-1 currently in Pinnacle's futures. The El Camino Real has turned out to be a key race; Cause to Believe came back to win the Cal Derby, AP Warrior won a SA stake and Wanna Runner won the WinStar Derby. Have to think the price will come down if he wins at Hawthorne this Saturday. Here's the El Camino chart:

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2006/derby_coverage/derby_entrants/cause_to_believe/chart_el_camino_real.pdf

[xfile]

Still seems a bit under the radar. 24-1 currently in Pinnacle's futures. The El Camino Real has turned out to be a key race; Cause to Believe came back to win the Cal Derby, AP Warrior won a SA stake and Wanna Runner won the WinStar Derby. Have to think the price will come down if he wins at Hawthorne this Saturday. Here's the El Camino chart:

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2006/derby_coverage/derby_entrants/cause_to_believe/chart_el_camino_real.pdf

Looked strong versus nocal....saturday will tell

[Valuist]

I think he can be a factor if there is a pace meltdown and that could happen again this year. So what's happened since his win? He goes to Hawthorne, in what turns out to be a paceless race and really doesn't have a chance. The pace was so slow that he was up almost within a length of the lead on the backside, and the 27-1 leader holds on for second as Sweetnorthernsaint basically cantered to the quarter pole and sprinted home. Now, the horse he beat, Sinister Minister, again sets a blistering pace and rides the bias to a Blue Grass win over 3 alleged Derby contenders. The pace should be very fast again this year; think he's very alive to crash the exotics.