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View Full Version : 4/4 Tuesday 2006. Selections for a few tracks, but winners for most (I hope) !!!!


2000_ls1
04-03-2006, 09:25 PM
BEULAH
R1-6
R4-1
R5-7
R7-2
R8-5/8/9

HAWTHORNE
R4-5
R5-1/3

MOUNTAINEER
R1-1/7/8
R2-1
R4-2/3
R5-7
R6-4
R9-1/10
R10-8

PHILADELPHIA
R2-10
R5-7
R7-10
R8-2
R9-3

SUNLAND
R5-3
R12-6

TAMBA BAY
R10-5

TURF PARADISE
R2-4
R8-8

AMNT OF WAGERS MADE = $162.00
AMNT OF WGRS RETURNED = $TBD
AMOUNT OF PROFIT FROM WAGERS = $TBD

THANKS FOR LOOKING, HOPE TO HAVE A BETTER DAY TODAY!!!

If you don't know, where have you been???, the whole point of this thread (and the past 6 days) has been to determine if a person or noobie (me) could come into this game and make a consistant profit without PP's, speed ratings, selections. or anything else needing to be paid for, just looking at one thing and one thing only to make wagers, the owners and their stats at the track (owner history at the track is free vai www.thorostats.com (http://www.thorostats.com/)). So far it has been pretty profitable, an average of 30% up until yesterday (yesterday is today right now and yet to finally figured) but right now we are at a rate of -$5.00 or so. The stats per day can be found in my threads started history. It's easy to get to. the max so far = 72% profit, and the lowest is 4%.

Goodluck, if you would like more info on the wagering process here, send me a pm and I will be glad to show you. I have a list made up with a formula in it and I'd be glad to send it your way. I have until Friday to continue checking this so in the end it will have 10 days of research in all.

I think it may a good start for beginners, or the "part-time" player who doesn't know how to handicap, I do not know how so do not think I am an expert of any sorts. I have just found a system I am content with for the time being, I do not pay for PP's nor do I want to at this point. I have a hard time making and researching the wagers I make without having to spend another 2-3 hours looking at PP's plus it would be impossible when I am working. That's the reason I am doing this. If a person wanted to take the system to the next level, include jockeys or trainer or both, it would be very easy to do.

If I can be of any assistance, let me know.

2000

P.S. If you are here to start trouble or act like a little *****, (MR. CAPS), try to intimidate or discourage, save the time you'd take to type it all out and go somewhere else and do it. It will not be aknowledged in this thread. Plus it's stupid and a waste of time for anyone, including myself, to read. THANKS

2000_ls1
04-03-2006, 10:58 PM
4/3 = -1%
4/2 = 4%
4/1 = 9%
3/31 = 42%
3/30 = 22%
3/29 = 72%

AVERAGE OF 25% ROI

WE'LL TRY TO KEEP THAT FROM DROPPING TODAY. I HAVE SAID IT BEFORE BUT SUNDAY TO TUESDAY ISN'T THE TIME TO BE USING THIS SYSTEM, AS YOU CAN SEE. 4/1 WAS SUNDAY, SEE THE DROP?ON 3/31 THE AVERAGE WAS 45% AND HAS SINCE SHARPLY DECLINED.

Murph
04-04-2006, 06:53 AM
The early week races don't perform as well as the weekend races using your criteria. Why do you think this is true 2000?

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 07:22 AM
The early week races don't perform as well as the weekend races using your criteria. Why do you think this is true 2000?

Well, for one thing I am betting owners, nothing else. If you were an owner, would you rather have your better horses race on Monday in a 15k event or on Friday/Saturday in a 30k event? Not saying there aren't 30k events on Sun-Tues though. And another thing would be that most of the races that the owners I watch run in early in the week are claiming races. This doesn't do well with claiming races. After all, they are trying to get rid of the horse. Does great with allowance races though and first time runners as well even in a claiming race. I am hesitant about bettin on Sun-Thurs really, but on Wednesday and Thursday it seems to start picking up. On a Thursday, however, I had my best day using this this system.

I would say that by Sunday, the trainers (most owners are exclusive to a particular trainer at a track from what I have seen) are tired and get like anyone else would, just waiting for Friday (their friday anyway) to have some time off and take a little break. One owner, Dale Baird for example at MNR, has a horse running in probably 60% of the races there. Don't you know his trainers get tired by Sunday or whenever they work off. And when the races start again, I do not know the schedule for MNR but let's say on Tuesday, on Tuesday, he is coming off of his "off" time and like everyone else is slow on Mondays (his Monday). That may not be right and yes it could apply towards the rest as well but on the other hand, he more than likely has more horses to keep up with. Dogwood stables, for example (another owner/stable I bet) has 78 Horses listed in their stable right now, a lot right? And probably only dispersed out to 3 or 4 tracks so an average of 20 per track thus 20 per trainer, for one owner. That's not counting the other horses that the trainer has. Not all horses at Dogwood stables run though, here is the site. http://www.dogwoodstable.com/asp/roster.asp pretty interesting to me. I would go crazy with that many to keep up with.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 07:24 AM
4/3 = -14%
4/2 = 4%
4/1 = 9%
3/31 = 42%
3/30 = 22%
3/29 = 72%

AVERAGE OF 23% ROI

CORRECTION MADE, SEE 4/3 THREAD FOR DETAILS.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:13 PM
R4-5-PLACED-$9.40
R5-1 WIN, 3 SHOW-$7.30

TOTAL AMOUNT WAGERED = $14.00
TOTAL AMOUNT RETURNED = $16.70
TOTAL AMOUNT PROFIT = $2.70 OR 19% PROFIT

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:18 PM
R2-SHOW-$5.00
R5-OUT-$0.00
R7-OUT-$0.00
R8-SHOW-$2.60
R9-OUT-$0.00

TOTAL AMNT WAGERED = $30.00
TOTAL AMNT RETURNED = $7.60
TOTAL AMOUNT PROFIT = ($22.40) OR (75%)

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:22 PM
R1-PLACED-$5.30
R4-SHOW-$2.20
R5-OUT-$0.00
R7-WIN-$20.20
R8-8 SCRATCH, 9/5 OUT-$0.00

$32.00=TOTAL AMNT WAGERED
$27.70=TOTAL AMNT RETURNED
$4.30=AMOUNT LOST OR 13% LOST

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:48 PM
R5-3 SHOW-$6.60
R12-6 SCRATCHED-NO BET-$0.00

$6.00 BET
$6.60 RETURNED
$0.60 PROFIT OR 10% PROFIT

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:50 PM
R10-5 WIN-$15.20

$6.00 WAGERED
$15.20 RETURNED
$9.20 PROFIT OR 153% PROFIT

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 04:59 PM
AS IT STANDS RIGHT NOW....

$88.00 WAGERED
$93.40 RETURNED
$5.40 PROFIT OR 6% PROFIT

1 WAGER(S) LEFT AT TUP
7 WAGER(S) LEFT AT MNR

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 08:01 PM
R2-4 WIN-$19.60
R8-8 OUT-$0.00

$12.00 TOTAL AMNT WAGERED
$19.60 TOTAL AMNT RETURNED
$7.60 TOTAL PROFIT RETURNED
63% PROFIT FOR TURF PARADISE.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 08:53 PM
CANCEL BETS AT MNR RACE #9

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 10:12 PM
Now watch the 10 come in at MNR R9 at 29/1 odds right now, I'll be kicking myself from now until tomorrow morning....we'll see though.

I'm going to talk myself into it, you just watch.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 10:25 PM
Nope, didn't do it, twas a good cancellation.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 10:59 PM
R1-7 WIN, 8 SHOW-$9.20
R2-1 PLACED-$7.80
R4-3 SCRATCHED, 2 OUT-$0.00
R5-7 WIN-$17.60
R6-4 WIN-$17.20
R9-CANCELLED (SEE POST TITLED "CANCELLATION AT MNR")
R10-8 OUT-$0.00

FOR MNR...

$48.00 WAGERED
$51.80 RETURNED
$3.80 PROFIT
8% PROFIT
NOT A BAD DAY ALL IN ALL, ACTUALLY GOOD FOR ME ON A TUESDAY, FINAL UPDATE COMING SOON.

2000_ls1
04-04-2006, 11:04 PM
$148.00 WAGERED
$145.20 RETURNED
($2.80) PROFIT OR -2%

THANKS FOR PLAYING ALONG TODAY GUYS. A LOT OF SELECTIONS TOMORROW AND THINGS SHOULD START LOOKING UP AS WELL SO BE SURE TO CHECK THEM OUT. ALREADY POSTED BY THE WAY.

THANKS AGAIN GUYS/GALS.

PHILLY WAS THE DOWNFALL TODAY ($22.40) LOSS KILLED ME TODAY. OH WELL, WE'LL DO BETTER TOMORROW.