spot plays requirements

[nativenova]

Need your guys opinion, how many races in your data base would you have to say would constitute a spot play? I am not sure if I will be phrasing this properly but lets give it a go,
if you were to have 30 days data per track win 70 % ,lets say 10 races 7 winners roi over 1.60, roll with it until it proves otherwise,or would you need more races in your data base to call it a spot play ..
the reason I ask right now I have acouple of tracks that meet certain critia hitting at least 70% past 30-90 days,but at some tracks drops to around 45% over one year period. strike while the iron is hot?

here is an example AQU
570 races 43 plays 42 % ROI 1.17
past 90 days 35 plays 49% ROI 1.31
past 30 days 15 plays 67% ROI 1.45

[Hosshead]

...here is an example AQU
570 races 43 plays 42 % ROI 1.17
past 90 days 35 plays 49% ROI 1.31
past 30 days 15 plays 67% ROI 1.45It's not the number of races that count. It's the number of plays. In this case you have 35 plays in 90 days. At that rate you'll have 140 plays in 1YR. See what your stats are then. Assuming you have at least a year of back-data to try it out on. I wouldn't even call it a "play", untill it works in the long run.

[shanta]

Need your guys opinion, how many races in your data base would you have to say would constitute a spot play? I am not sure if I will be phrasing this properly but lets give it a go,
if you were to have 30 days data per track win 70 % ,lets say 10 races 7 winners roi over 1.60, roll with it until it proves otherwise,or would you need more races in your data base to call it a spot play ..
the reason I ask right now I have acouple of tracks that meet certain critia hitting at least 70% past 30-90 days,but at some tracks drops to around 45% over one year period. strike while the iron is hot?

here is an example AQU
570 races 43 plays 42 % ROI 1.17
past 90 days 35 plays 49% ROI 1.31
past 30 days 15 plays 67% ROI 1.45

Hi Native,
Listen forget about NAMING it something man. I hope that you are BETTING these guys. That return is just tremendous.

What is interesting to me is over a third of plays that came up in the past 570 days for you have happened in the last 30 days. Along with a jump in the ROI .

Pound the sh*t out of it is my opinion.

Richie
"No one ever has ever bet enough on a winning horse" - Richard Sasuly