ecaroff
03-14-2006, 08:57 PM
Thought you might find this interesting.
OOOPPPS...........Sorry this didn't paste right. I will see if I can find the link where I got this - if not, you'll have to build a table to view it correctly.
Based on our extensive quantitative analysis of past NCAA brackets, we calculate the odds that each 2006 NCAA Tournament team will make it to any round of the tournament.
TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Villanova100%96.08%70.62%50.1%31.21%18.15%10.27%16 Monmouth NJ67.2%3.29%0.53%0.08%0.01%0%0%16 Hampton32.8%0.62%0.05%0%0%0%0%8 Arizona100%48%13.5%6.21%2.25%0.75%0.24%9 Wisconsin100%52%15.3%7.3%2.76%0.95%0.32%5 Nevada100%68%33.29%12.05%4.8%1.75%0.61%12 Montana100%32%10.55%2.42%0.62%0.14%0.03%4 Boston College100%72.88%45.82%19.44%9.08%3.91%1.62%13 Pacific100%27.13%10.36%2.41%0.63%0.15%0.03%TeamR64 R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Florida100%78.9%57.1%33.28%18.39%9.7%4.97%14 South Alabama100%21.1%8.36%2.25%0.58%0.14%0.03%6 Oklahoma100%61.2%22.98%8.68%3.15%1.07%0.35%11 Wisc Milwaukee100%38.8%11.55%3.41%0.96%0.25%0.06%7 Georgetown100%57.5%26.47%13.19%5.93%2.5%1.01%10 Northern Iowa100%42.5%17.14%7.48%2.9%1.05%0.36%2 Ohio St100%85.17%53.27%31.09%16.63%8.48%4.19%15 Davidson100%14.83%3.12%0.64%0.11%0.02%0%TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Connecticut100%92.6%69.86%46.96%32%19.96%11.92%16 Albany NY100%7.4%1.59%0.26%0.04%0.01%0%8 Kentucky100%55%16.39%6.84%2.91%1.06%0.36%9 Uab100%45%12.16%4.58%1.76%0.58%0.18%5 Washington100%68.65%30.43%11.76%5.63%2.33%0.91%12 Utah St100%31.35%9%2.2%0.68%0.18%0.04%4 Illinois100%74.18%49.88%24.47%14.71%7.86%3.99%13 Air Force100%25.82%10.69%2.93%1.01%0.29%0.08%TeamR64R3 2 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 North Carolina100%80.9%53.33%34.86%17.42%9.23%4.64%14 Murray St100%19.1%5.55%1.66%0.34%0.07%0.01%6 Michigan St100%55.5%23.85%12.48%4.7%1.86%0.69%11 George Mason100%44.5%17.26%8.17%2.73%0.96%0.32%7 Wichita St100%56.5%24.87%9.64%3.13%1.07%0.34%10 Seton Hall100%43.5%16.91%5.7%1.6%0.47%0.13%2 Tennessee100%75.6%49.46%25.2%10.88%4.97%2.14%15 Winthrop100%24.4%8.75%2.28%0.48%0.11%0.02%TeamR64R 32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Duke100%96.9%72.8%53.16%36.43%24.24%15.16%16 Southern100%3.1%0.42%0.05%0%0%0%8 Geo Washington100%58%16.65%8.38%3.71%1.55%0.58%9 NC Wilmington100%42%10.14%4.37%1.64%0.58%0.18%5 Syracuse100%50%21.3%6.3%2.44%0.89%0.29%12 Texas AM100%50%21.3%6.3%2.44%0.89%0.29%4 LSU100%72.22%46.51%18.94%9.94%4.95%2.24%13 Iona100%27.78%10.89%2.49%0.76%0.22%0.06%TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Iowa100%74.5%43.28%21.38%9.12%4.34%1.87%14 Northwestern St100%25.5%8.04%2.14%0.47%0.12%0.03%6 West Virginia100%63.2%33.53%15.58%6.23%2.76%1.11%11 Southern Ill100%36.8%15.14%5.32%1.57%0.52%0.15%7 California100%41%13.72%5.44%1.6%0.53%0.16%10 North Carolina St100%59%23.28%11.06%3.98%1.59%0.58%2 Texas100%84.05%58.55%37.98%19.47%11.14%5.87%15 Pennsylvania100%15.95%4.45%1.1%0.19%0.04%0.01%Team R64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Memphis100%86.52%58.9%34.16%22.73%12.31%6.71%16 Oral Roberts100%13.48%3.19%0.57%0.13%0.02%0%8 Arkansas100%63.6%26.4%11.54%6.13%2.51%1.02%9 Bucknell100%36.4%11.51%3.72%1.48%0.44%0.13%5 Pittsburgh100%72.88%37.9%19.69%12.05%5.85%2.84%12 Kent100%27.13%8.02%2.4%0.88%0.24%0.06%4 Kansas100%70.6%42.52%23.82%15.47%8.11%4.27%13 Bradley100%29.4%11.57%4.11%1.79%0.58%0.19%TeamR64R 32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Gonzaga100%64.4%36.41%17.01%6.46%2.4%0.89%14 Xavier100%35.6%14.84%5.05%1.36%0.36%0.09%6 Indiana100%60.8%32.11%14.32%5.16%1.82%0.63%11 San Diego St100%39.2%16.65%5.91%1.67%0.46%0.13%7 Marquette100%61.6%25.93%13.67%4.93%1.73%0.61%10 Alabama100%38.4%12.92%5.33%1.48%0.4%0.11%2 UCLA100%89.4%59.15%38.35%18.23%8.44%3.91%15 Belmont100%10.6%2%0.36%0.04%0%0%
OOOPPPS...........Sorry this didn't paste right. I will see if I can find the link where I got this - if not, you'll have to build a table to view it correctly.
Based on our extensive quantitative analysis of past NCAA brackets, we calculate the odds that each 2006 NCAA Tournament team will make it to any round of the tournament.
TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Villanova100%96.08%70.62%50.1%31.21%18.15%10.27%16 Monmouth NJ67.2%3.29%0.53%0.08%0.01%0%0%16 Hampton32.8%0.62%0.05%0%0%0%0%8 Arizona100%48%13.5%6.21%2.25%0.75%0.24%9 Wisconsin100%52%15.3%7.3%2.76%0.95%0.32%5 Nevada100%68%33.29%12.05%4.8%1.75%0.61%12 Montana100%32%10.55%2.42%0.62%0.14%0.03%4 Boston College100%72.88%45.82%19.44%9.08%3.91%1.62%13 Pacific100%27.13%10.36%2.41%0.63%0.15%0.03%TeamR64 R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Florida100%78.9%57.1%33.28%18.39%9.7%4.97%14 South Alabama100%21.1%8.36%2.25%0.58%0.14%0.03%6 Oklahoma100%61.2%22.98%8.68%3.15%1.07%0.35%11 Wisc Milwaukee100%38.8%11.55%3.41%0.96%0.25%0.06%7 Georgetown100%57.5%26.47%13.19%5.93%2.5%1.01%10 Northern Iowa100%42.5%17.14%7.48%2.9%1.05%0.36%2 Ohio St100%85.17%53.27%31.09%16.63%8.48%4.19%15 Davidson100%14.83%3.12%0.64%0.11%0.02%0%TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Connecticut100%92.6%69.86%46.96%32%19.96%11.92%16 Albany NY100%7.4%1.59%0.26%0.04%0.01%0%8 Kentucky100%55%16.39%6.84%2.91%1.06%0.36%9 Uab100%45%12.16%4.58%1.76%0.58%0.18%5 Washington100%68.65%30.43%11.76%5.63%2.33%0.91%12 Utah St100%31.35%9%2.2%0.68%0.18%0.04%4 Illinois100%74.18%49.88%24.47%14.71%7.86%3.99%13 Air Force100%25.82%10.69%2.93%1.01%0.29%0.08%TeamR64R3 2 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 North Carolina100%80.9%53.33%34.86%17.42%9.23%4.64%14 Murray St100%19.1%5.55%1.66%0.34%0.07%0.01%6 Michigan St100%55.5%23.85%12.48%4.7%1.86%0.69%11 George Mason100%44.5%17.26%8.17%2.73%0.96%0.32%7 Wichita St100%56.5%24.87%9.64%3.13%1.07%0.34%10 Seton Hall100%43.5%16.91%5.7%1.6%0.47%0.13%2 Tennessee100%75.6%49.46%25.2%10.88%4.97%2.14%15 Winthrop100%24.4%8.75%2.28%0.48%0.11%0.02%TeamR64R 32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Duke100%96.9%72.8%53.16%36.43%24.24%15.16%16 Southern100%3.1%0.42%0.05%0%0%0%8 Geo Washington100%58%16.65%8.38%3.71%1.55%0.58%9 NC Wilmington100%42%10.14%4.37%1.64%0.58%0.18%5 Syracuse100%50%21.3%6.3%2.44%0.89%0.29%12 Texas AM100%50%21.3%6.3%2.44%0.89%0.29%4 LSU100%72.22%46.51%18.94%9.94%4.95%2.24%13 Iona100%27.78%10.89%2.49%0.76%0.22%0.06%TeamR64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Iowa100%74.5%43.28%21.38%9.12%4.34%1.87%14 Northwestern St100%25.5%8.04%2.14%0.47%0.12%0.03%6 West Virginia100%63.2%33.53%15.58%6.23%2.76%1.11%11 Southern Ill100%36.8%15.14%5.32%1.57%0.52%0.15%7 California100%41%13.72%5.44%1.6%0.53%0.16%10 North Carolina St100%59%23.28%11.06%3.98%1.59%0.58%2 Texas100%84.05%58.55%37.98%19.47%11.14%5.87%15 Pennsylvania100%15.95%4.45%1.1%0.19%0.04%0.01%Team R64R32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN1 Memphis100%86.52%58.9%34.16%22.73%12.31%6.71%16 Oral Roberts100%13.48%3.19%0.57%0.13%0.02%0%8 Arkansas100%63.6%26.4%11.54%6.13%2.51%1.02%9 Bucknell100%36.4%11.51%3.72%1.48%0.44%0.13%5 Pittsburgh100%72.88%37.9%19.69%12.05%5.85%2.84%12 Kent100%27.13%8.02%2.4%0.88%0.24%0.06%4 Kansas100%70.6%42.52%23.82%15.47%8.11%4.27%13 Bradley100%29.4%11.57%4.11%1.79%0.58%0.19%TeamR64R 32 R16R8Final 4ChampWIN3 Gonzaga100%64.4%36.41%17.01%6.46%2.4%0.89%14 Xavier100%35.6%14.84%5.05%1.36%0.36%0.09%6 Indiana100%60.8%32.11%14.32%5.16%1.82%0.63%11 San Diego St100%39.2%16.65%5.91%1.67%0.46%0.13%7 Marquette100%61.6%25.93%13.67%4.93%1.73%0.61%10 Alabama100%38.4%12.92%5.33%1.48%0.4%0.11%2 UCLA100%89.4%59.15%38.35%18.23%8.44%3.91%15 Belmont100%10.6%2%0.36%0.04%0%0%