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Valuist
11-16-2005, 10:37 AM
3-4 last week, 30-26-1 on season

I'd be the first to admit it hasn't been a great year, but I'm actually satisfied considering favorites have been tearing up the league (58%) and I tend to play dogs and totals.

Caro/Chicago UNDER 34 1/2--Don't know if the Bears are going to win the game but I think they win the tempo battle. Carolina's 30 pts last week was very deceptive; both Delhomme and the running game had poor games. They only had 10 pts going into the 4th quarter and a bunch of Jet turnovers paved the way for the deceptive score. Possible rain and/or snow showers will not help the passing games. Bear's pass D has been nothing short of tremendous.

Arizona/St. Louis OVER 48--two over teams here. In 4 road games, Arizona has given up 42, 37, 34 and 29 pts. The Rams definitely have the offensive firepower to exploit that poor Arizona defense. On offense Arizona will probably rack up 250-300 pass yards on the Ram D.

GREEN BAY -3 1/2---bet this Sunday night when it came out. Minny off maybe the luckiest win in recent years. All 3 TDs coming on returns, outgained 405 to 137, outfirst downed 24-11. This is like a horse going unopposed in :52 to the half then strolling home. Green Bay's win was legit. They jumped up 14-0 early, saw Atlanta tie it back up, then spurted away. Not really sure how they are doing it; guess the defense is better than was given credit for.

BetHorses!
11-18-2005, 09:45 PM
but I'm actually satisfied considering favorites have been tearing up the league (58%) and I tend to play dogs and totals.




Me too. In this forum I have selected 13 Favorites and 23 Dogs and 3 totals I'll have to check the records but I've had plenty of shorts that covered.

Valuist
11-20-2005, 01:30 AM
NO/NE OVER 47 1/2

A pair of bad pass defenses here. Opposing QBs have a near 100 rating against both defenses. I think only turnovers could keep this one under.

freeneasy
11-20-2005, 06:49 AM
i put my numbers on 7 teams and so far except for indi my total has come pretty close to the vegas number for each of these games, only difference being that the sides my numbers produced for each of these games have given me some potentially good looking plays

indi 30.3 cinci 13.15
indi -17 tot 43.5
spread indi -6 tot 47 1/2

n eng 33.45 n orleans 15.75
n eng -17.65 tot 49.2
spread n eng -9 tot 47 1/2

jacks 25 tenn 16.7
jacks -8.3 tot 41.7
spread jack -4 tot 38 1/2

pitt 22.9 balt 12.05
pitt -10.85 tot 34.9
spread pitt -3 1/2 tot 33

Valuist
11-22-2005, 12:14 PM
2-2 on week 32-28-1 season