nobeyerspls
08-19-2005, 07:54 AM
Three of the Seven Reasons to Bet a Racehorse are gender-specific. Differences in physiology produce different ways to identify live longshots.
Freshened Fillies
This angle has produced some real nice winners for me for over the past twenty years. You can verify it in real time or just page through the past performances in the printed Form.
Here are some of the rules.
1. Focus on sprints (one turn mile races can be included).
2. The freshening period should be at least four weeks, the longer the better.
3. The filly may show that she has won off a layoff before. That's nice but others will see it and the odds will be lower.
4. She should be working well with at least one work at 4f or longer. Very slow works by fillies with fast early speed can be a contray indicator.
5. Don't be influenced by trainer stats. A guy can be 0 for 3 with time-off horses but some of them could be males.
6. Restricted races (maidens, nw2) are the best. A 55-1 winner from this angle was a non-winner of 2.
So remember the simple mantra "Fresh Fillies/Cold Colts" and bet these at 10-1 or 20-1 with the same confidence that you have with those even money stickouts.
"May you dance with the Seven Sweet Sisters of Success, may they warmly embrace you, may all knowledge be thine in the fullness of time."
Freshened Fillies
This angle has produced some real nice winners for me for over the past twenty years. You can verify it in real time or just page through the past performances in the printed Form.
Here are some of the rules.
1. Focus on sprints (one turn mile races can be included).
2. The freshening period should be at least four weeks, the longer the better.
3. The filly may show that she has won off a layoff before. That's nice but others will see it and the odds will be lower.
4. She should be working well with at least one work at 4f or longer. Very slow works by fillies with fast early speed can be a contray indicator.
5. Don't be influenced by trainer stats. A guy can be 0 for 3 with time-off horses but some of them could be males.
6. Restricted races (maidens, nw2) are the best. A 55-1 winner from this angle was a non-winner of 2.
So remember the simple mantra "Fresh Fillies/Cold Colts" and bet these at 10-1 or 20-1 with the same confidence that you have with those even money stickouts.
"May you dance with the Seven Sweet Sisters of Success, may they warmly embrace you, may all knowledge be thine in the fullness of time."