Bubbles
07-26-2005, 11:43 AM
Analysis for Wednesday is as follows...
1st: Steeplechase. No way.
2nd: Can't see any value. Not worth it.
3rd: The 1 entry (full brother to Ghostzapper) seems to be the class of the field, but underneath, the 9 might provide some exotics value, with Bailey aboard at 8-1 ML odds.
4th: The 4 will be overbet, and should bounce off a big-time time at BEL last out. A hot pace should result from a ton of speed, and the 1 should close from the rail to snatch it. For value, watch the 5, at 10-1 ML, to make a good effort while cutting back in distance.
5th: Wide-open 2YO maiden race. Nothing enticing that I can see, except for Velasquez and Pletcher teaming up on the 10. However, those works he has are not particularly enticing. Skip.
6th: A lot of inconsistency in this field. I like the 4, 5, and 6, and all three offer decent value in this turfer.
7th: Two big wildcard horses, the 1 and 2, coming off long layoffs ruin this race for me. Skip.
8th: This could be a stakes race at most tracks around the country. The 6 is dangerous, when you consider Velasquez/Pletcher and that runaway Jim Dandy win over this track last year. If the 1, at 6-1 ML, can handle the jump in class, he could pose a pace threat and produce nice prices underneath the winner.
9th: I like one part of the 1 entry to step up and win this stakes race. If one of the favorites is overbet, and the entry goes off anywhere around the ML value of 7/2, it's worth a bet.
10th: The Velasquez/Pletcher entry will be drastically overbet and is a false favorite despite his back class. I like the 3 and the 5, both at very nice odds (6-1 and 8-1). With a little luck, some money can be made by betting against the hot jockey/trainer combo.
Good luck all!
1st: Steeplechase. No way.
2nd: Can't see any value. Not worth it.
3rd: The 1 entry (full brother to Ghostzapper) seems to be the class of the field, but underneath, the 9 might provide some exotics value, with Bailey aboard at 8-1 ML odds.
4th: The 4 will be overbet, and should bounce off a big-time time at BEL last out. A hot pace should result from a ton of speed, and the 1 should close from the rail to snatch it. For value, watch the 5, at 10-1 ML, to make a good effort while cutting back in distance.
5th: Wide-open 2YO maiden race. Nothing enticing that I can see, except for Velasquez and Pletcher teaming up on the 10. However, those works he has are not particularly enticing. Skip.
6th: A lot of inconsistency in this field. I like the 4, 5, and 6, and all three offer decent value in this turfer.
7th: Two big wildcard horses, the 1 and 2, coming off long layoffs ruin this race for me. Skip.
8th: This could be a stakes race at most tracks around the country. The 6 is dangerous, when you consider Velasquez/Pletcher and that runaway Jim Dandy win over this track last year. If the 1, at 6-1 ML, can handle the jump in class, he could pose a pace threat and produce nice prices underneath the winner.
9th: I like one part of the 1 entry to step up and win this stakes race. If one of the favorites is overbet, and the entry goes off anywhere around the ML value of 7/2, it's worth a bet.
10th: The Velasquez/Pletcher entry will be drastically overbet and is a false favorite despite his back class. I like the 3 and the 5, both at very nice odds (6-1 and 8-1). With a little luck, some money can be made by betting against the hot jockey/trainer combo.
Good luck all!