midnight
05-13-2005, 12:14 PM
I buy many methods and systems out there. I don't expect to make money with them. Racing isn't so simple as to be quantified into four-rule systems. What I'm hoping to find is a bit of information that I hadn't considered properly, or a different way of looking at something that I might incorporate into my own handicapping. If I find anything of value, the $10 or $25 that I spend will pay for itself down the road.
While I don't usually pay for high-priced methods authored by unknowns, I shelled out $50 over a year ago for the Bet-Won method, because it offered a way of playing that didn't involve handicapping, and I was curious to see what the author had in mind. The seller offered a money-back guarantee to anybody who could prove that the method didn't work over a 45 day trial at any race track, and he also mentioned that the results could be verified for at least one year using an unnamed internet site (which turned out to be the archives of Racingchannel.com). Of course, sellers know that most people won't go to the trouble (I personally wouldn't), and I also figured that there might be some back-fitting involved. But I was curious anyway.
The Bet-Won method came as an E-Book. The beginning of the E-Book lauded the method as though the buyer were still reading an ad about it. It promised profits and proclaimed that once the reader learned the method, he/she would want to kiss the author. It went on grandly about this for a lot longer than it needed to.
Unfortunately, about the only thing I learned from the Bet-Won method is that there are still charlatans out there who will fleece the public: something I already knew.
I can't get into great detail about the method, because it's so superficial and flimsy that to talk much about it at all would give the entire (worthless, in my opinion) method away. To be brief and ambigous enough to protect the copyright, the method is based on checking the results files for each track for the past 30 to 45 days and back-fitting the results to one primitive factor. The reader is then supposed to play that factor forwardly and expect it to continue to work. The 'guarantee' is also not as it appears, as it's similarly backfit (in addition to requiring much work to prove or disprove).
Put it bluntly: This is a piece of garbage, in my opinion, and I'd be surprised if anybody got anything of value out of it. I notice that the author also sells other systems and methods on his site. Caveat Emptor here.
While I don't usually pay for high-priced methods authored by unknowns, I shelled out $50 over a year ago for the Bet-Won method, because it offered a way of playing that didn't involve handicapping, and I was curious to see what the author had in mind. The seller offered a money-back guarantee to anybody who could prove that the method didn't work over a 45 day trial at any race track, and he also mentioned that the results could be verified for at least one year using an unnamed internet site (which turned out to be the archives of Racingchannel.com). Of course, sellers know that most people won't go to the trouble (I personally wouldn't), and I also figured that there might be some back-fitting involved. But I was curious anyway.
The Bet-Won method came as an E-Book. The beginning of the E-Book lauded the method as though the buyer were still reading an ad about it. It promised profits and proclaimed that once the reader learned the method, he/she would want to kiss the author. It went on grandly about this for a lot longer than it needed to.
Unfortunately, about the only thing I learned from the Bet-Won method is that there are still charlatans out there who will fleece the public: something I already knew.
I can't get into great detail about the method, because it's so superficial and flimsy that to talk much about it at all would give the entire (worthless, in my opinion) method away. To be brief and ambigous enough to protect the copyright, the method is based on checking the results files for each track for the past 30 to 45 days and back-fitting the results to one primitive factor. The reader is then supposed to play that factor forwardly and expect it to continue to work. The 'guarantee' is also not as it appears, as it's similarly backfit (in addition to requiring much work to prove or disprove).
Put it bluntly: This is a piece of garbage, in my opinion, and I'd be surprised if anybody got anything of value out of it. I notice that the author also sells other systems and methods on his site. Caveat Emptor here.