EmpowerISV
04-24-2005, 09:26 PM
Racing information for 25 April 2005 - www.empowerisv.com (http://www.empowerisv.com)
12.45PM AEST - Randwick R1 No3 Pocketfullofdreams - 1.0% Win - Went with the superbly bred and unraced Danehill filly Pocketfullofdreams. From the Waterhouse yard which is firing at present and should be suited to the 1400m trip. This is a relatively weak race for the class and despite not winning a trial has shown enough to suggest can mix it with the best of these on class alone. Waterhouse obviously pleased enough with work to send straight to town and with the right run in transit which is likely will give this a big shake. Empower ISV Factor - 75%
1.10PM AEST - Gosford R1 No2 Notorious - 2.0% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the well bred and lightly raced Thunder Gulch 3yo filly from the Waterhouse yard. Resuming and has trialled twice in pereperation for this and also gets blinkers 1st time for today's assignment over 1100m. Likely to go forward and race on pace trying to didctate wire to wire and gets every chance drawn in the 2 alley. Go on big 2nd 2 back beaten only 1.3 lengths by Ceberano. The class runner and best chance to break maiden so far. Value the main query. Empower ISV Factor - 92%
1.40PM AEST - Flemington R2 No3 Emlozza - 1.5% Win - Decided to lean towards the well bred Encosta De Lago filly Emlozza in this. Well suited 1st up on back of good win 3 back when coming off a 28 day freshen up. That day won Caulfield 1200m stake race defeating Miss Mooney Mooney and Tahni Girl. Very strong form reference for this. Drawn wide but has exceptional gate speed so will find forward position without working too hard. Should close off to best of ability from there with Sojustrememberthis the light weighted query likely to challenge it but after the good run mid race Emlozza should have too much closing power and hold sway. Empower ISV Factor - 75%
1.50PM AEST - Victoria Park R2 No1 Little Doutes - 3.0% Win - Just can't go past or deny the chances of the well bred Little Doutes in this 1000m sprint. Resuming from a spell here for McEvoy and broke maiden at Werribee 1st up over 1400m last preperation by 2.3 lengths defeating Tully Spur and Sunland. Also ran 2nd to Show Us Your Legs beaten 0.7 lengths over 1000m here 5 back and was slightly unlucky not to win. Repeat of eithero f those performances which is likely will see it win here. Class runner, weight no query, will go wire to wire against these as the biggest certainty of the day. Empower ISV Factor - 98%
2.15PM AEST - Flemington R3 No2 Apache Cat - 1.5% Win - Hard to dismiss the chances of the lightly raced improving 2yo apache Cat in this. From the Greg Eurell yard and won only career start so far 1000m 2yor1mw at Sandown 1.3*1 length over Abbey Star and Ready For Catherine with further big margins back through the field. Drawn wide here but can go forward and either lead or race on pace without too much pressure. With repeat of turn of foot shown last start will sprint too quickly in the closing stages and hold sway on the closers. Empower ISV Factor - 86%
2.20PM AEST - Gosford R3 No12 Rationalize - 2.0% Win - Went with Rationalize in this weak 1200m maiden sprint event. From the smart Waterhouse yard and is superbly bred by European champion son of Last Tycoon, Marju. Won a 1250m trial on 25/10/2004 by 1.4 lengths over Fangio than franked that running 2nd to Magsaya in a 1050m trial. Trial form is very strong around open quality horses and on that will prove very hard to beat in this weak maiden. Upside to trial form is very obvious so value may be the query but if goes straight should win this. Empower ISV Factor - 88%
2.35PM AEST - Randwick R4 No7 Sir Ernesto - 1.0% Win - Decided to lean towards the Danehill 3yo gelding Sir Ernesto from the Hawkes yard in this. Coming off a 40 day freshen and has been shipped from Brisbane for this. Gets in well weighted with only 53.5kgs and go on very good maiden win 5 back by 7 lengths at Kembla Grange over 1300m. 3 back rated 2.5k below Weceslas Square and gets 3.5k from it at the weights today. Well drawn to go forward and secure a good run in transit 2nd or 3rd with the run of the race under an even tempo. Should sprint quickly from there and with the weight pull prove hard to run down. Empower ISV Factor - 74%
2.43PM AEST - Eagle Farm R4 No1 Coalesce - 1.5% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the sujperbly bred and lightly raced improving 4yo gelding by Zabeel, Coalesce. From the powerful Hawkes yard and broke maiden status last start over 1810m in Class 6 company in what is shaping as a very good form reference for this. Steps to 2154m today and on last start win will totally relish the trip and from the 4 alley is destined for a perfect trip midfield. Repeat of closing effort last start will see it overhaul the leaders in the stretch and win with a bit to spare. Empower ISV Factor - 83%
2.55PM AEST - Gosford R4 No4 The Huckster - 1.0% Win - This is a race with three main chance who are all lightly raced well bred improvers. Decided to lean towards The Huckster who gets in on the minimum and has won last two on end including 2 back when breaking maiden over 2000m by 2.5l then franked that form with equally good win last start over 2000m defeating Queensland Derby contender Royal Ninja. Drops back to 1600m and drawn very well to secure a good run on pace and with an easy trip mid race should produce the late race speed needed to hold sway in the run to the wire . Empower ISV Factor - 77%
3.00PM AEST - Victoria Park R4 No1 Vivonne Bay - 2.0% Win - This shapes as a race in 2 between Vivonne Bay and Stone Queen, both last start winners. Decided to go with the McEvoy trained Vivonne Bay over the improving Stone Queen. Vivonne Bay through 2 different formlines holds a 1 length advantage here over Stone Queen at the weights and is likely to get the better run in transit on pace compared to Stone Queen who will go back under an unsuitable tempo. McEvoy stable firing at present and this can add to their tally as Vivonne Bay goes 2 on end here. Empower ISV Factor - 87%
3.14PM AEST - Moe R4 No4 Sweet Shani - 2.5% Win - Leant towards the lightly raced improver by the good New Zealand based sire Kashani in this. Coming off a 62 day let up for this and broke maiden 4 back at 1st up start over 1600m last preperation. Impressive winner that day 1.5*2.5l and gets exposed form reference to major seen chance Juan Carlos through Wikld Design who finished 3rd that day. Likely for a good run in transit compared to Juan Carlos who is drawn wide and with a good run in transit the pull in the weights should get it home here. With Juan Carlos now scratched Sweet Shani becomes even harder to beat. Empower ISV Factor - 91%
3.30PM AEST - Gosford R5 No3 Green Fellas - 1.5% Win - Decided to go with the speedy type Greenfellas in this. Gets in well weighted against likely favourite Andre Marcel with a 2.5k pull at the weightsd today on their last meeting over 900m. Green Fellas is likely to go straight to the front with exceptional gate speed and try to go wire to wire. The big query will be the last 100m and is yet to win in 5 attempts at the distance. Well weighted to produce it's best over 1000m here and steal this from the late closers. Empower ISV Factor - 77%
3.35PM AEST - Victoria Park R5 No6 Meneef - 1.0% Win - This shapes as a rather weak race for the class and the 2 McEvoy runners are sure to figure in the finish. Leant towards the lightly raced Zabeel 3yo colt Meneef who will relish the step to 200m today 3rd up and gets the bonus of blinkers off and noseband on which will help it settle better. If the gear change works it should win here going on win 4 back over 1600m at Morphettville over Chloe Blue Eyes and Idelargo. Likely good value and worth the punt under the conditions. Empower ISV Factor - 70%
3.45PM AEST - Randwick R6 No1 No Penalty - 3.0% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the well bred 4yo Zabeel mare from the Waterhouse yard, No Penalty here. Gets blinkers 1st time for today's assignment over 2400m after last start finishing a close 2nd to Zingam when nailed in the last 30m holding all other challengers at bay. Form references out of that race suggest No Penalty should be very hard to beat at the weights today and is likely to get the run of the race in 2nd or 3rd behind Danzarber who is the query runner. Empower ISV Factor - 90%
3.53PM AEST - Eagle Farm R6 No9 Tipulater - 1.0% Win - Have decided to lean towards the Kiwi import Tipulater in this. Won a trial at Doomben over 1040m in preperation for this beating decent types and comes over from New Zealand with an excellent record of 7-3-3-0 and gets into this race very well weighted on only 53kgs. Impreeive winner over 1400m at Riccarton 3 back and franked that with equally good win by 2.3l over 1200m at Reiccarton next start when coming off a 35 day freshen. Perfectly drawn and shoud go forward for a perfect trip on pace and give this a big shake at decent odds. Empower ISV Factor - 73%
4.01PM AEST - Flemington R6 No2 Pure Silence - 1.5% Win - This shapes as a high quality staying race for future reference with plenty of lightly raced, well bred improvers engaged. Decided to lean towards the Sunday Silence 3yo colt from the Freedman camp Pure Silence. Winner last two on end including last start 2400m Sandown Class 6 win defeating Jump The Que and Quintinella. Big advantage here is well drawn to go forward and dominate on pace with the run of the race. Has the ability to reel off slick last 600m sectionals with right tempo and likely to get that here. Under the conditions will prove hard to run down. Empower ISV Factor - 76%
4.37PM AEST - Flemington R7 No10 Dowry - 2.0% Win - This could end up one of the best value bets of the day. Went with the proven Group 1 winner over this distance Dowry in this event and as is often the way with staying events "class should prevail". Found near best form last start over 2000m running 0.3 lengths 2nd to Tickle in Listed company at Awapuni beating some smart types home by impressive margins along the way. this time last year won 2500m 3yof Group 1 in Adelaide defeating Tingirana and Dane Belltar coming from near last at the 800m mark. In form, totally suited by the trip, will love Flemington and is by a proven producer of stayers Bahhare. Empower ISV Factor - 82%
4.43PM AEST - Gosford R7 No8 Love You Honey - 3.0% Win - Gai Waterhouse looks to have yet another race on the Gosford card in her keeping with Love You Honey here. Comes into this 2nd up from a spell now and ready to make it two on end now after last start 1st up disposing of Medowie Jewel and Price Zarassy over 1100m (same distance today) in impressive fashion. Will be suject to further improvement for that effort but already holds a big 5-6k weight pull over Wizard Princess the likely query ruuner. Well bred by Red Ransom and drawn perfectly to secure a good run in transit to win. Empower ISV Factor - 89%
4.46PM AEST - Victoria Park R7 No10 Wyndam Power - 1.5% Win - Went with the lightly raced improver from the McEvoy camp Wyndam Power in this and should represent good value failing 2 of 3 runs this preperation but both can be forgotten. Go on good win in between when 2nd up 2 back winning Oakbank 1100m handicap by 0.3 lengths over Prancelot and Lily Lane in a good form race for today. The query may come from Charas down the bottom of the weights who beat Wyndam Power in a barrier trial before resuming. Wyndam Power is better suited though and on win 2 back will prove hard to beat here. Empower ISV Factor - 78%
4.58PM AEST - Randwick R8 No7 Sob Story - 1.5% Win - A good quality type staying ev ent greets us here and have decided to lean towards the well bred, well weighted lightly rfaced improver Sob Story. By Zabeel from the Gai Waterhouse yard and was impressive winning last start over 1600m at Kembla Grange by 1.8 lengths. Step to 1800m sure to suit and should be able to go forward from the 9 alley with average pace and get a good run in transit. From there should kick hard in the stretch and prove hard to run down in the stretch after the good run mid race. Empower ISV Factor - 77%
5.13PM AEST - Flemington R8 No9 Candy Vale - 2.0% Win - Hard to dismiss the chances of the lightly raced improver Candy Vale in this. Comes in well weighted 3rd run back from a spell on back of winning impressively last two on end including last start Caulfield 1400m 1.3*0.1 lengths over Solar Secret and Caller One. Zankel finished 4th that day and came out in Adelaide and won over 1800m on Saturday very impressively franking the form. Has a big weight pull on Under Command the likely query and with the big long straight at flemington will have every chance to let down from worse than midfield and overhaul the leaders with superior closing pars over the 1700m trip today. Empower ISV Factor - 80%
Understanding the Empower ISV Factor
The Empower ISV factor is a confidence rating out of 100% that is only applicable to the particular selection nominated under the associated race conditions and field it meets in that race. It is determined through The Empower ISV base program along with the associated video analysis of past races undertaken by our video watchers.
A result newsletter email will be issued by the end of business on Sunday detailing the week of results in full.
12.45PM AEST - Randwick R1 No3 Pocketfullofdreams - 1.0% Win - Went with the superbly bred and unraced Danehill filly Pocketfullofdreams. From the Waterhouse yard which is firing at present and should be suited to the 1400m trip. This is a relatively weak race for the class and despite not winning a trial has shown enough to suggest can mix it with the best of these on class alone. Waterhouse obviously pleased enough with work to send straight to town and with the right run in transit which is likely will give this a big shake. Empower ISV Factor - 75%
1.10PM AEST - Gosford R1 No2 Notorious - 2.0% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the well bred and lightly raced Thunder Gulch 3yo filly from the Waterhouse yard. Resuming and has trialled twice in pereperation for this and also gets blinkers 1st time for today's assignment over 1100m. Likely to go forward and race on pace trying to didctate wire to wire and gets every chance drawn in the 2 alley. Go on big 2nd 2 back beaten only 1.3 lengths by Ceberano. The class runner and best chance to break maiden so far. Value the main query. Empower ISV Factor - 92%
1.40PM AEST - Flemington R2 No3 Emlozza - 1.5% Win - Decided to lean towards the well bred Encosta De Lago filly Emlozza in this. Well suited 1st up on back of good win 3 back when coming off a 28 day freshen up. That day won Caulfield 1200m stake race defeating Miss Mooney Mooney and Tahni Girl. Very strong form reference for this. Drawn wide but has exceptional gate speed so will find forward position without working too hard. Should close off to best of ability from there with Sojustrememberthis the light weighted query likely to challenge it but after the good run mid race Emlozza should have too much closing power and hold sway. Empower ISV Factor - 75%
1.50PM AEST - Victoria Park R2 No1 Little Doutes - 3.0% Win - Just can't go past or deny the chances of the well bred Little Doutes in this 1000m sprint. Resuming from a spell here for McEvoy and broke maiden at Werribee 1st up over 1400m last preperation by 2.3 lengths defeating Tully Spur and Sunland. Also ran 2nd to Show Us Your Legs beaten 0.7 lengths over 1000m here 5 back and was slightly unlucky not to win. Repeat of eithero f those performances which is likely will see it win here. Class runner, weight no query, will go wire to wire against these as the biggest certainty of the day. Empower ISV Factor - 98%
2.15PM AEST - Flemington R3 No2 Apache Cat - 1.5% Win - Hard to dismiss the chances of the lightly raced improving 2yo apache Cat in this. From the Greg Eurell yard and won only career start so far 1000m 2yor1mw at Sandown 1.3*1 length over Abbey Star and Ready For Catherine with further big margins back through the field. Drawn wide here but can go forward and either lead or race on pace without too much pressure. With repeat of turn of foot shown last start will sprint too quickly in the closing stages and hold sway on the closers. Empower ISV Factor - 86%
2.20PM AEST - Gosford R3 No12 Rationalize - 2.0% Win - Went with Rationalize in this weak 1200m maiden sprint event. From the smart Waterhouse yard and is superbly bred by European champion son of Last Tycoon, Marju. Won a 1250m trial on 25/10/2004 by 1.4 lengths over Fangio than franked that running 2nd to Magsaya in a 1050m trial. Trial form is very strong around open quality horses and on that will prove very hard to beat in this weak maiden. Upside to trial form is very obvious so value may be the query but if goes straight should win this. Empower ISV Factor - 88%
2.35PM AEST - Randwick R4 No7 Sir Ernesto - 1.0% Win - Decided to lean towards the Danehill 3yo gelding Sir Ernesto from the Hawkes yard in this. Coming off a 40 day freshen and has been shipped from Brisbane for this. Gets in well weighted with only 53.5kgs and go on very good maiden win 5 back by 7 lengths at Kembla Grange over 1300m. 3 back rated 2.5k below Weceslas Square and gets 3.5k from it at the weights today. Well drawn to go forward and secure a good run in transit 2nd or 3rd with the run of the race under an even tempo. Should sprint quickly from there and with the weight pull prove hard to run down. Empower ISV Factor - 74%
2.43PM AEST - Eagle Farm R4 No1 Coalesce - 1.5% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the sujperbly bred and lightly raced improving 4yo gelding by Zabeel, Coalesce. From the powerful Hawkes yard and broke maiden status last start over 1810m in Class 6 company in what is shaping as a very good form reference for this. Steps to 2154m today and on last start win will totally relish the trip and from the 4 alley is destined for a perfect trip midfield. Repeat of closing effort last start will see it overhaul the leaders in the stretch and win with a bit to spare. Empower ISV Factor - 83%
2.55PM AEST - Gosford R4 No4 The Huckster - 1.0% Win - This is a race with three main chance who are all lightly raced well bred improvers. Decided to lean towards The Huckster who gets in on the minimum and has won last two on end including 2 back when breaking maiden over 2000m by 2.5l then franked that form with equally good win last start over 2000m defeating Queensland Derby contender Royal Ninja. Drops back to 1600m and drawn very well to secure a good run on pace and with an easy trip mid race should produce the late race speed needed to hold sway in the run to the wire . Empower ISV Factor - 77%
3.00PM AEST - Victoria Park R4 No1 Vivonne Bay - 2.0% Win - This shapes as a race in 2 between Vivonne Bay and Stone Queen, both last start winners. Decided to go with the McEvoy trained Vivonne Bay over the improving Stone Queen. Vivonne Bay through 2 different formlines holds a 1 length advantage here over Stone Queen at the weights and is likely to get the better run in transit on pace compared to Stone Queen who will go back under an unsuitable tempo. McEvoy stable firing at present and this can add to their tally as Vivonne Bay goes 2 on end here. Empower ISV Factor - 87%
3.14PM AEST - Moe R4 No4 Sweet Shani - 2.5% Win - Leant towards the lightly raced improver by the good New Zealand based sire Kashani in this. Coming off a 62 day let up for this and broke maiden 4 back at 1st up start over 1600m last preperation. Impressive winner that day 1.5*2.5l and gets exposed form reference to major seen chance Juan Carlos through Wikld Design who finished 3rd that day. Likely for a good run in transit compared to Juan Carlos who is drawn wide and with a good run in transit the pull in the weights should get it home here. With Juan Carlos now scratched Sweet Shani becomes even harder to beat. Empower ISV Factor - 91%
3.30PM AEST - Gosford R5 No3 Green Fellas - 1.5% Win - Decided to go with the speedy type Greenfellas in this. Gets in well weighted against likely favourite Andre Marcel with a 2.5k pull at the weightsd today on their last meeting over 900m. Green Fellas is likely to go straight to the front with exceptional gate speed and try to go wire to wire. The big query will be the last 100m and is yet to win in 5 attempts at the distance. Well weighted to produce it's best over 1000m here and steal this from the late closers. Empower ISV Factor - 77%
3.35PM AEST - Victoria Park R5 No6 Meneef - 1.0% Win - This shapes as a rather weak race for the class and the 2 McEvoy runners are sure to figure in the finish. Leant towards the lightly raced Zabeel 3yo colt Meneef who will relish the step to 200m today 3rd up and gets the bonus of blinkers off and noseband on which will help it settle better. If the gear change works it should win here going on win 4 back over 1600m at Morphettville over Chloe Blue Eyes and Idelargo. Likely good value and worth the punt under the conditions. Empower ISV Factor - 70%
3.45PM AEST - Randwick R6 No1 No Penalty - 3.0% Win - Very hard to dismiss the chances of the well bred 4yo Zabeel mare from the Waterhouse yard, No Penalty here. Gets blinkers 1st time for today's assignment over 2400m after last start finishing a close 2nd to Zingam when nailed in the last 30m holding all other challengers at bay. Form references out of that race suggest No Penalty should be very hard to beat at the weights today and is likely to get the run of the race in 2nd or 3rd behind Danzarber who is the query runner. Empower ISV Factor - 90%
3.53PM AEST - Eagle Farm R6 No9 Tipulater - 1.0% Win - Have decided to lean towards the Kiwi import Tipulater in this. Won a trial at Doomben over 1040m in preperation for this beating decent types and comes over from New Zealand with an excellent record of 7-3-3-0 and gets into this race very well weighted on only 53kgs. Impreeive winner over 1400m at Riccarton 3 back and franked that with equally good win by 2.3l over 1200m at Reiccarton next start when coming off a 35 day freshen. Perfectly drawn and shoud go forward for a perfect trip on pace and give this a big shake at decent odds. Empower ISV Factor - 73%
4.01PM AEST - Flemington R6 No2 Pure Silence - 1.5% Win - This shapes as a high quality staying race for future reference with plenty of lightly raced, well bred improvers engaged. Decided to lean towards the Sunday Silence 3yo colt from the Freedman camp Pure Silence. Winner last two on end including last start 2400m Sandown Class 6 win defeating Jump The Que and Quintinella. Big advantage here is well drawn to go forward and dominate on pace with the run of the race. Has the ability to reel off slick last 600m sectionals with right tempo and likely to get that here. Under the conditions will prove hard to run down. Empower ISV Factor - 76%
4.37PM AEST - Flemington R7 No10 Dowry - 2.0% Win - This could end up one of the best value bets of the day. Went with the proven Group 1 winner over this distance Dowry in this event and as is often the way with staying events "class should prevail". Found near best form last start over 2000m running 0.3 lengths 2nd to Tickle in Listed company at Awapuni beating some smart types home by impressive margins along the way. this time last year won 2500m 3yof Group 1 in Adelaide defeating Tingirana and Dane Belltar coming from near last at the 800m mark. In form, totally suited by the trip, will love Flemington and is by a proven producer of stayers Bahhare. Empower ISV Factor - 82%
4.43PM AEST - Gosford R7 No8 Love You Honey - 3.0% Win - Gai Waterhouse looks to have yet another race on the Gosford card in her keeping with Love You Honey here. Comes into this 2nd up from a spell now and ready to make it two on end now after last start 1st up disposing of Medowie Jewel and Price Zarassy over 1100m (same distance today) in impressive fashion. Will be suject to further improvement for that effort but already holds a big 5-6k weight pull over Wizard Princess the likely query ruuner. Well bred by Red Ransom and drawn perfectly to secure a good run in transit to win. Empower ISV Factor - 89%
4.46PM AEST - Victoria Park R7 No10 Wyndam Power - 1.5% Win - Went with the lightly raced improver from the McEvoy camp Wyndam Power in this and should represent good value failing 2 of 3 runs this preperation but both can be forgotten. Go on good win in between when 2nd up 2 back winning Oakbank 1100m handicap by 0.3 lengths over Prancelot and Lily Lane in a good form race for today. The query may come from Charas down the bottom of the weights who beat Wyndam Power in a barrier trial before resuming. Wyndam Power is better suited though and on win 2 back will prove hard to beat here. Empower ISV Factor - 78%
4.58PM AEST - Randwick R8 No7 Sob Story - 1.5% Win - A good quality type staying ev ent greets us here and have decided to lean towards the well bred, well weighted lightly rfaced improver Sob Story. By Zabeel from the Gai Waterhouse yard and was impressive winning last start over 1600m at Kembla Grange by 1.8 lengths. Step to 1800m sure to suit and should be able to go forward from the 9 alley with average pace and get a good run in transit. From there should kick hard in the stretch and prove hard to run down in the stretch after the good run mid race. Empower ISV Factor - 77%
5.13PM AEST - Flemington R8 No9 Candy Vale - 2.0% Win - Hard to dismiss the chances of the lightly raced improver Candy Vale in this. Comes in well weighted 3rd run back from a spell on back of winning impressively last two on end including last start Caulfield 1400m 1.3*0.1 lengths over Solar Secret and Caller One. Zankel finished 4th that day and came out in Adelaide and won over 1800m on Saturday very impressively franking the form. Has a big weight pull on Under Command the likely query and with the big long straight at flemington will have every chance to let down from worse than midfield and overhaul the leaders with superior closing pars over the 1700m trip today. Empower ISV Factor - 80%
Understanding the Empower ISV Factor
The Empower ISV factor is a confidence rating out of 100% that is only applicable to the particular selection nominated under the associated race conditions and field it meets in that race. It is determined through The Empower ISV base program along with the associated video analysis of past races undertaken by our video watchers.
A result newsletter email will be issued by the end of business on Sunday detailing the week of results in full.