Tampa Bay Downs Tuesday April 12

[rrbauer]

This card does not get me frothy with excitement....I am distracted at the mere mention of a cold beer. That said, I'll see how the early DD goes. I might be back with a couple later races and I might not.....one of those days!

R1
Like the way #1 OUTLANDISH ONE moved forward for Napier. Now he gets a top jock and figures to improve again. #7 THUNDER STRIKE is lightly raced and drops for Ronnie Allen...disregard the rider switch...Mata is off today. #10 TUFFING has no speed but kicked it in late in the last and maybe that's a signal that he's figuring it out. Finally, #2 POINT FEAR showed some interest in a shorter heat last time so maybe the added distance will work for him.

R2
It won't take #2 FORMAL RAISE long to dispose of the need-to-lead BROTHER DARCY. After that it's up to Pompell to nurse this guy right into the winners circle. If Tommy P. gets a little crazy on the front end, then #1 TACTICAL POWER figures to get the perfect trip and is a good fit off the drop. #7 JAMAICAN JUSTICE gets a good jock change and this bunch is a little easier than he's been tackling.

I will do DD's using 1,7,10 with 1,2,7 (extra on the 1/7 in front and extra on the 1/2 in back). Then a little 2-2 saver.

[rrbauer]

With 7MTP #1 is 9-1. If I can get 6-1 on this guy I will have a little taste on the front end.

[melman]

Your live in the DD Richard and with about 8 min to post the one is a nice 22-1 would be a nice one.

[rrbauer]

Had feeling that trainer might be using the #3 as a rabbit to set it up for the #6 but I couldn't fathom her running the #6 above its conditions if she was really serious about winning with it. One more trainer nuance filed away!

[rrbauer]

Now that I've seen how the 3rd and 4th came out, I'm just hanging loose. These low-level, 2-turn events are not my meat anyway. Looking at later races now.

[rrbauer]

R5
Ziadie's #3 PATRIOTIC FLAME is being overbet. The only speed in the race is #1 SEA DOCTOR with a sharp work since raced. The best hoss at the distance is #5 C. R. FLYING STAR. So I will key those two and throw in the #3 for the save.

[rrbauer]

Know what? The inside sucks today. You don't want to be there.

#1 took back and came outside. #5 ran up inside and was history when
the running started. #3 was wide and ran down the #1 late. Got my saver exacta but 1-3 woulda been much better.

[rrbauer]

OK we'll try one more DD.

R6
If I'm right about the inside then #2 is not good. I like the #5 BOXED IN for the consistent efforts at this level. And, the #6 BURST OF DIAMONDS (no speed) adding the hood and dropping in from MSW. Should be flying late.

R7
#4 MIGHT PATRIOT runs well fresh and handles this course well. The one to beat. If the #2 ELLENTON LASS took to this layout she could be up there for quite a while. #7 TAKE A LOOK has a pattern of running some good ones then going sour. Maybe she will rebound but she looks sour to me.

I'll do 5/6 with 2/4/7 and then extra, extra 5/6 with 4 in my DD's

[rrbauer]

9 6 5

Right idea about being outside that's for sure.

[rrbauer]

R8
Like the #5 CIMARRON'S TIME best and then the #8 GOTABEANUREYEV.

R9
Toughie. Six can win this thing: #1, #5, #6, #8, #9, #10.

R10
Like the #12 SANTA STELLA best. Then the #6 SIGNAL CANYON....

R11
Don't have a clue!

[cj]

10th, taking the 1 WP at 16-1.

[rrbauer]

The DQ hurt....about $327 worth:

Wager details for ticket number 37952600-1:

Wager Type: Pick 4
Wager Status: Loss
Base Amount: 1.00 (USD)
Risk / To Win Amount: 36.00 / (USD)
Date Accepted: 12-April-2005
Time Accepted: 12:18:04 PM (Pacific)

Track Race: Tampa Bay; Race #7
Race Date: 12-April-2005
Runners: 2.Ellenton Lass, 4.Mighty Patriot, 7.Take A Look/ 5.Cimarron's Time, 8.Gotabeanureyev/ 1.Amber Note, 5.Bolshoi Ballet, 6.Bella Bella Bailey, 8.Miss Bergdorf, 9.Code Song, 10.Nita Wins Too/ 12.Santa Stella

[cj]

The worse part is, it DID NOT affect the result one iota, the 4 wasn't beating that 12.

[rrbauer]

I think what happened was that Centeno on the 4 did a little "Cordero-wide" number on the 12 coming into the lane. So Houghton decided to teach him a lesson and put him in tight. Real Einstein move.....