some ncaa pks for thursday

[freeneasy]

well after getting a 2team push in a 2team parlay last night , iam back for s'more

louisville -7 got em by 18**
villanova -5 by 9 with the under at 131
denver -3 by 7 1/2
ul lafayette under 141
oregon under 156
gonzaga under 153 1/2
duke -12 1/2 by 20** over 147 1/2
utah st -14 by 19 1/2 over 126 1/2
cattanooga -5 1/2 by 10 1/2

most of my numbers on everything else is pretty much to close to play one way or the other

[Valuist]

By all means, do not bet Louisville after Feb 1. That's their midnight hour; that's when they've become wore out from Pitino. They're now 9-24 ATS the past three seasons from Feb 1 onward.

[freeneasy]

duke and louisville i dont even think they will hit the sweet 16

[freeneasy]

had i of known that i probably would have passed on 'ville but my handicapping involves power ratings and stats. i get this paper called the platinum sheet put out by sports eye and its basically this years stats only. no real injury updates, coaching or in depth handicapping reports. just stats. i know numbers aint the only thing that gets you there but when i find a line that offers an advantage of at least 10 points or more up on or down on the line i figure that that should be enough to overcome whatever factors come into play outside the numbers.
i do feel i have a fairly unique design in the way i put my line together and supriseingly a good portion of the time my numbers are within 2 to 3 points of the vegas line, so if the consistancy of my number is that close that often then a 10 point difference should be just as proficient as the rest of my other numbers.
friday i got harvard +4 1/2 to win by 9 to 10 1/2 points. thats a 13 1/2 to 14 1/2 point advantage. unless they fall apart and lose they souldnt lose by more then 4 1/2 points
i got pennsylvania -7 to win by 14 to 18 1/2 points. the 18 1/2 gives me an 11 1/2 point advantage but the 14 points only gives me a 7 point advantage.
its good but not good enough. penn is 7-0, 4-3 as the rd. fav while brown is 2-4 and 2-1 as the hm. dg. and penn. will certainly not show any mercy if they can help it as they beat em by 20 at home last time when favored by 11. they should get the -7 cover and maybe the reason for the shorter line this time is because the game is at brown this time but probably shouldnt matter as i predict the score to be 71 1/2 to 55 1/2 penn. by 16 or so.

[Valuist]

I believe Las Vegas' power ratings are still well behind the curve with Louisville. They still have some losable games left: Memphis, DePaul and Charlotte.