Exit Polls

[sq764]

It took 2 massively incorrect exit polls to initiate reform??

http://www.cnn.com/2005/ALLPOLITICS/01/19/exit.polls/index.html

[boxcar]

I always love how this stuff comes out after the fact. Does everyone remember how much bandwith was consumed around here with all the Left-wing conpiracy theorists whackos clearly suggesting something was surely wrong. The machines were rigged. Bush stole another election...blah, blah, blah. But now we read: :rolleyes: :rolleyes:

************************************************** ****

The report found that the exit polls offered no evidence of widespread fraud.

"Exit polls do not support the allegations of fraud due to rigging of voting equipment. Our analysis of the difference between the vote count and the exit poll at each polling location in our sample has found no systematic differences for precincts using touch screen and optical scan voting equipment," the report found.

The new report shows that exit polls overstated Kerry's support in 26 states, while estimates overstated Bush's support in four states. The problem is not new -- in every presidential election since 1988, exit polls have overstated support for Democrats nationally -- but the discrepancy in 2004 was more pronounced than in previous years.

The report identified several factors that may have contributed to the discrepancy, including:

# Distance restrictions from polling places imposed upon the interviewers by election officials at the state and local level.

# Weather conditions, which lowered completion rates at certain polling locations.

# Multiple precincts voting at the same location as the precinct in the exit poll sample.

# Interviewer characteristics, such as age, which were more often related to the errors last year than in past elections.

[kenwoodallpromos]

Maybe exit polls poll mostly people who do not work so vote in the daytime.

[JustRalph]

"There were certainly motivational factors that are impossible to quantify,"

I don't know.......maybe we can quantify the actions of the Dem participates by saying................... They tried to rig the polls........and it cost them...anyway

Their own voters stayed home more than the Repubs did............when they heard about the polls........

[Tom]

USA Today - story about the polls on page 1 today.