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View Full Version : Perryville at Keeneland


cj
10-13-2004, 04:52 PM
Race has a very deep, talented field, including the return of Eurosilver. Fire Slam looks like a very weak ML favorite as well, horse is going in the wrong direction.

Tee
10-13-2004, 06:47 PM
After taking a quick glance - Two Down Automatic doesn't look bad to me at all.

Zaf
10-13-2004, 08:59 PM
I think if Eurosilver is ready he will take this bunch.

ZAFONIC

Equineer
10-14-2004, 03:47 AM
Assumptions: No scratches.
Track at least listed fast.

Handicapped Morning
Pari-Mutuel Line
Odds Odds
1 Wimplestiltskin 30.10 30.00
2 Eurosilver 3.90 5.00
3 Two Down Automatic 8.60 10.00
4 Colonel Day 39.50 30.00
5 Commentator 8.70 4.50
6 Mass Media 8.00 5.00
7 Weigilia 2.10 3.00
8 Level Playingfield 17.70 20.00
9 Caiman 40.90 30.00
10 Fire Slam 3.50 2.50

cj
10-14-2004, 04:08 AM
Just curious, what does "at least listed fast" mean?

Equineer
10-14-2004, 05:08 AM
Bad choice of words.. for the software:
KEE fast-track odds would actually encompass ft, fr, wf, sy.
Off-track odds would encompass my, gd, sl, hy.
Pretty arbitrary since KEE runs so few races (small samples compared to many tracks).
Analyzing conditions throughout the racecard offers better guidance.

OTM Al
10-14-2004, 10:55 AM
Two Down Automatic at 10-1 is a pretty good price here. This is a guy that got within 3/4 of Smarty back in February. Eurosilver is a nice looking horse, but he would have to beat me before I'd consider betting on him again. Just don't have faith in his health and condition

Valuist
10-14-2004, 11:17 AM
I like Weigalia here. I thought he was the best horse in the Kings Bishop. Rail bias day; he got floated wide after dueling thru hot fractions. Pomeroy stalked and came up the great rail. Kentucky bettors are big on pounding names like Day, Zito or a "name" horse like Eurosilver. I think Weigalia is the live value.

Valuist
10-14-2004, 12:02 PM
Track was sloppy for AM workouts and now Fire Slam and Mass Media are scratched out. A great betting race now becomes an ok betting race.

IRISHLADSTABLE
10-14-2004, 12:47 PM
Eurosilver & Two Down Automatic



Jimmy