JPinMaryland
10-02-2004, 03:16 PM
Only about an hour to until the big races go off at Belmont. I am not at the track so I can only give my impressions based on info I have read etc. Have no idea of the weather either so....
I have little take on the Flower Bowl, one of the m.l. fav's had some sort of minor accident (Commercante) so it be interesting to see if these odds change. I wonder if anyone feels the French horse, Aubon is an overlay at 5:1...
Vosburgh. THis could become another great race in a race with a famous history. Bet the chalk here, CJ? These two, Pico/Speightstown figure to go head to head. Forgot to check Speightstown recent workouts, Leaning toward Pico. This is the kind of speed race where one might find some value in a closer. Does Pohave run with this class? If so I might look for value here on a place bet. Watchem Smokey might attract attention as a closer who coudl pick up pieces. I tend to doubt it. Cajun Beat, value pick? or living on reputation?
Joe HIrsch. Would think Magisteri should be set up for this. I am leery of the other chalk, Kittens Joy, who stretches out to 12f. Polish Summer may have value, m.l. 8-1, my guess is this line is dropping, if I was at BEL I'd watch the tote on him...
J.C.G.C. Wow! This is one I want to see. Funny Cide appears to still have the desire, in fact I think for sure his desire is still there just not sure if he has the final kick. He should attract a lot of money. One would have to think he will be overbet just based on sentiment. Seen different m.l.'s on him; 2:1 and 3:1. That's interesting, I think his ml will have to climb through the afternoon. Hell, he'll probably scratch anyhow. I dont think he wil be a value pick. Which leaves us w/ Cliffs Edge and Evening Attire every time I get interested in Cliff he loses his shoes or something. Not sure how consistent Evening attire is probably should hvae checked his PPs.
Maybe Zito will pull it off, w/ Cliff. He's beed doing well of late, I think? This would really add to his resume if he could pull it off especially as a 3 yr old. Are any of the others 3? DOmestic Dispute doesnt seem consistent enuf to me.
Anyhow, just some random thoughts running through my head. I'd tbe different if I was there watching the early races, watchign the tote etc.
I have little take on the Flower Bowl, one of the m.l. fav's had some sort of minor accident (Commercante) so it be interesting to see if these odds change. I wonder if anyone feels the French horse, Aubon is an overlay at 5:1...
Vosburgh. THis could become another great race in a race with a famous history. Bet the chalk here, CJ? These two, Pico/Speightstown figure to go head to head. Forgot to check Speightstown recent workouts, Leaning toward Pico. This is the kind of speed race where one might find some value in a closer. Does Pohave run with this class? If so I might look for value here on a place bet. Watchem Smokey might attract attention as a closer who coudl pick up pieces. I tend to doubt it. Cajun Beat, value pick? or living on reputation?
Joe HIrsch. Would think Magisteri should be set up for this. I am leery of the other chalk, Kittens Joy, who stretches out to 12f. Polish Summer may have value, m.l. 8-1, my guess is this line is dropping, if I was at BEL I'd watch the tote on him...
J.C.G.C. Wow! This is one I want to see. Funny Cide appears to still have the desire, in fact I think for sure his desire is still there just not sure if he has the final kick. He should attract a lot of money. One would have to think he will be overbet just based on sentiment. Seen different m.l.'s on him; 2:1 and 3:1. That's interesting, I think his ml will have to climb through the afternoon. Hell, he'll probably scratch anyhow. I dont think he wil be a value pick. Which leaves us w/ Cliffs Edge and Evening Attire every time I get interested in Cliff he loses his shoes or something. Not sure how consistent Evening attire is probably should hvae checked his PPs.
Maybe Zito will pull it off, w/ Cliff. He's beed doing well of late, I think? This would really add to his resume if he could pull it off especially as a 3 yr old. Are any of the others 3? DOmestic Dispute doesnt seem consistent enuf to me.
Anyhow, just some random thoughts running through my head. I'd tbe different if I was there watching the early races, watchign the tote etc.