Santa Anita Showvivor Contest

[ultracapper]

5 categories

Most consecutive ITM
Most consecutive winners
Most winners
Most place finishers
Highest win payoff

60 racing days, pick one horse per day

Anybody know what it took to win each category last year? Or what it generally takes to win? I don't know how long they've been doing this. I've noticed it for a few years anyway. I've never played.

[ultracapper]

I'm also not clear if a winner counts in the place finisher total.

[ultracapper]

60 days, 1 horse a day. Anybody want to speculate what it might take to win the 4 "most" categories?

I'm guessing:

Consecutive ITM- 25-30ish
Consecutive winners- 5ish
Most total winners- 22-27ish
Most exacta finishers- 40ish

Highest win payoff seems to be one you'd have to sacrifice even attempting the others and just chasing it. A standard will be set the first week, maybe like $80 or something, and then shooters will just be certain to use their pick of the day on something that will pay higher if it were to win.

[ultracapper]

Day 1 12/26/18

3rd race :7: I Am the Danger

[Suff]

Race 6
#8 Cathedral Reader
Jockey: Brian Hernandez, Jr.
M/L: 12/1

[illinoisbred]

Race 4) #7 Streak of Luck

[Suff]

2866 Registered Players... Only 13 had the $21.40.
https://i.ibb.co/hFDmtZf/13-people.png (https://ibb.co/YBpLqyZ)

[ultracapper]

I'm trying to figure out how to fit that one category, highest priced winner, into the whole scheme of things. That's the outlier. I noticed that wins don't count in the place category. That changes things also. You can't ride a handful of winners into the place pot.

[ultracapper]

Day 2 12/28/18

5th Race :6: Desired Edge

[NorCalGreg]

One person actually picked #8 Ilha Do Mel in the 4th--ran 2nd and paid $80 to place

[ultracapper]

I saw that race. I thought she was going to make her way up the rail and take it. She was easily 2nd best today.

In the Showvivor, unfortunately, it's not worth anything more than a beaten fav. If she would have got up however, she probably would have taken down the $500 for highest priced winner. In the 2nd day of the competition.

[ultracapper]

She would have paid $266.80 for a $2 win ticket.

[ultracapper]

Waited too long. Didn't get a pick in. I didn't know you had to have them in 10 MTP of 1st race.

Bogus.

[ultracapper]

Well:

Saturday I didn't get my play in
Sunday- Bartlett Hall (S)
Monday- Justin's Quest (P)
Tuesday- Smitten Kitten (W)

Got a little 3 show streak going into next week.

[NorCalGreg]

Good call today, UC. What's your handle there (if you don't mind me asking)? You already know what mine is :cool:

I took Microrithms in the 7th today.

[ultracapper]

Good call today, UC. What's your handle there (if you don't mind me asking)? You already know what mine is :cool:

I took Microrithms in the 7th today.

Yep. You already know mine also.

[ultracapper]

There's gonna be some crash and burn today. 2nd most popular horse of the day ran up the track.

I avoided a streak snapper in the 1st by a head.

[ultracapper]

I very seldom get involved in these "side shows" as I call handicapping tournaments. I don't want them to influence my daily process.

Today I have an interesting horse at a decent price that could light the board, or run up the track. Have another horse in another race that I put at about 90% to hit the board.

I don't want this thing to become a distraction, or to start influencing the way I look at the day ahead. But now it has.

[ultracapper]

1st, 5th, 8th, 10th and 11th most popular horses ran up the track today. More than 1 out of every 4 players that made a selection today went with Baffert's Coliseum in the 9th. The Tapit colt just never looked the 3/5 part today.

[ultracapper]

I very seldom get involved in these "side shows" as I call handicapping tournaments. I don't want them to influence my daily process.

Today I have an interesting horse at a decent price that could light the board, or run up the track. Have another horse in another race that I put at about 90% to hit the board.

I don't want this thing to become a distraction, or to start influencing the way I look at the day ahead. But now it has.

That's the one I ended up going with. Aussie Fox ran 2nd in the 3rd.

[NorCalGreg]

I'm curious who you considered possibly to light up the tote board? I guessed it was either ARMS RUNNER...OR SAVAGERY.

I bet 4 horses --1 winner = SPOKANE EAGLE...2 others lost in the final 2 strides =MY MANDATE & BITTER RING HOME..and the 4th horse didn't hit the board=CAYATE.

Guess which horse I played in the contest?

I hate horse-betting....

See ya tomorrow:lol:

-NCG

[ultracapper]

I'm curious who you considered possibly to light up the tote board? I guessed it was either ARMS RUNNER...OR SAVAGERY.

I bet 4 horses --1 winner = SPOKANE EAGLE...2 others lost in the final 2 strides =MY MANDATE & BITTER RING HOME..and the 4th horse didn't hit the board=CAYATE.

Guess which horse I played in the contest?

I hate horse-betting....

See ya tomorrow:lol:

-NCG

Haha. I feel ya Greg. You aren't gonna like this but I beat you in the 10th with the horse I thought would be a lot more pricey than $26.60. I didn't play Derby Factor in the tournament because I was pretty sure he wasn't going to be a $100 horse, and that's what is needed now for the high payoff. And he could have hung and been just another also ran in that race. I got lucky at the end of the day and ended up doing everything about as well as I could have. I liked the place horse in the 1st race also, so I was in pretty good shape today.

[ultracapper]

Andy Beyer, in one of his books, shared a story about how he brought a lady friend to the track one day, as the day went along, she got bored, so they left early for a dinner date, and he missed hitting a healthy exacta in the last race of the day. From there on out, he kept women and handicapping as far apart as possible.

I didn't get my play in today, and only 2 other people played this horse. A real separator. We have to have our picks in by 12:20 local time. At 10:50 my wife sends me to the store. Has me pick up a few things. Then calls me and asks me to pick up one more thing, and run it to her sister's house, 20 minutes out of my way. Jump on the computer at my sister-in-law's, and can't remember my password to log on to Santa Anita's web site. Call my wife, she can't find the password in my home office. Take a couple guesses on my cell phone. Nope. 11:45, 20 minutes from home. Plenty of time. Wife calls again. Stop at 7-11 for cigs. No prob. Couple minutes. But no. The guy behind the counter, known him for years because this is my neighborhood 7-11, has had a cold for 3 days, and needs to tell me every detail of his weekend bed rest. "Steve, buddy, I gotta get home." Charge into the house with bag of groceries. Leave wife's cigs on car seat. 12:18. Charge out there. Grab cigs. Get into home office. Every page takes forever to load. Finally get to selection page, and, too late.

No play today.

[ultracapper]

Neck away from damning the vile women. :3: Builder in the 5th was selected by only 2 other players today. Just could not hold off the outside stalker. Exciting stretch run. Would have been more so if Builder would have repulsed him. The winner was selected by only 4 players. It was a good "weed them out" race. Would have been nice to have actually gotten my selection in.

Take a 5 race show streak into next week.

[ultracapper]

I sat the weekend out. After handicapping a race just fine Thursday, I made a blatantly bad decision, then Friday I again handicapped a race just fine, and made a silly bet. It had nothing to do with the tournament, this was with real money. So-o-o-o-o, I thought giving it a rest for the weekend was a good way to lick my wounds.

Good thing. There was a massacre today. After 13 days, only 3 left with a streak of 13 ITM finishers. We have a player with a live 7 race win streak, and that same player leads with a total of 9 wins. The place competition leader has 10. 10 place finishers in 13 races. That's either horrible luck playing perfect into this tournament, or one hell of a handicapper in choosing underneath horses. Highest win pay is $99.80, which is the highest payout of the meet to date. 2 players landed on it. Our own NorCalGreg avoided the disasters of the weekend. He has a 4 race ITM streak alive and well, the last 2 being winners, and 7 total wins for the tournament, a mere 2 behind the leader. Yours truly killed his 5 race ITM streak Thursday, started a new one Friday, and has a soft 2 total wins and 2 places. I've missed 4 of the 13 days by choice or confusion, and in those 9 races I'm 2-2-3.

Need to pick it up. I hope the gal/guy with 9 winners has made some real money one way or another. Obviously to hit 9 of 13 s/he's been sniffing chalk dust, but hopefully has figured out a way to capitalize on a nice run of winners.

[ultracapper]

Any one else participating is not only welcome, but encouraged to post here. It's been fun to think this thing through and watch what's happening with other tournament players.

[ultracapper]

This tournament is really interesting. I know it's a low stake, low end event, but honestly it's the first one I've ever participated in. Old dog finds a new twist to an old trick. Fun.

There is only 1 other player on my horse today. Would be great to see her get up.

[NorCalGreg]

With the clue you've given...I'll guess your selection today is SENSIBLE THOUGHTS in the 10th.

I forgot about it until I had maybe 5 minutes to make a pick. I couldn't get a "feel" for anything--so with time running out, I punked out and took ROY H in the feature.

[NorCalGreg]

Stakes-Winner MO SOUL must not have looked very impressive--no one claimed him for 16K today. All his earnings from that stakes win probably went to vet bills

[trifecta]

I had an eight race show streak busted last Sunday, so I started another one yesterday. Today I kept it going so I'm now on a two-race streak, a place yesterday and a win today.

It is kinda fun. Good luck to all who are playing it. :ThmbUp:

[trifecta]

My contest handle is arcadia.

I was in 142nd place starting today.

[ultracapper]

Another to keep an eye. GL trifecta.

Haven't seen this before. The reason I'm looking so close is I'm playing the 10th at Santa Anita.

:1: Daybreak has a lifetime record of 10-M-3-1

Her ITM finishes:

Place on the straight
Place going right hand turn
Place going left hand turn

And she got her show on a FIGURE-8, at Royal Windsor.

What's next?