10/7/18 R9 Keeneland G1 Spinster

[Lemon Drop Husker]

It was bombs away yesterday at Keeneland as a 70/1 rolled home by open lengths in the Breeders' Futurity and Next Shares lit up the tote board at 23-1 in the G1 Shadwell Turf that included an 84/1 in the 2-hole to complete a near $2K exacta.


The racing doesn't get any less competitive today with 2 stakes races including the G1 Spinster.


:1: Tiger Moth: The connections keep swinging for the fences with this mare, and she hasn't done much lately as she is 1 for 6 in her 6YO season with no other board finishes. Really hard to see a massive turnaround in form today.


:2: Chocolate Martini: This 3YO filly has had an up and down year, but can certainly pop at a price. She did beat Eskimo Kisses back in March, but hasn't improved much (if any) since then. She'll need a career best by a number of lengths to compete today.



:3: Fuhriously Kissed: She has tried graded stakes company a number of times with little to no success. Not sold a $27K starter at Thistledowns is the needed prep to take this one down. Pass.


:4: Eskimo Kisses: The likely favorite ran them off their feet in the G1 Alabama last out at Saratoga. Take away that race, and she really isn't all that much different than most others in here. Will be an interesting tote board to see just how hard she gets bet today.


:5: Southernperfection: Has been in the exacta in her last 8 races, but those are all at Thistledowns against claiming type company. This is a massive jump in class, and would be an absolute shocker to see on top.


:6: Sassy Siena: Take away her Iowa Oaks travesty, and this filly is getting better and better. If she can move forward again from her Monmouth Oaks runner up finish, she can be a factor today. Likely an exotics type wager, but wouldn't be shocking if she ran huge today.


:7: Talk Veuve to Me: 10 furlongs was simply too much for her in the G1 Alabama. The question now is whether she can get 9 furlongs? She'll be up front likely dictating the pace. Tough for me to take at a likely underlaid price.


:8: Champagne Problems: Maybe the filly in this race with the highest remaining ceiling. Her last 3 races are as good as any in here. Highly doubt we'll get the 8/1 ML.


:9: Skeptic: Beat Sassy Siena last out, and has won 3 of her last 4. Still not sold on this one, and not sure she is as good as a number of others in here. I'm a bit skeptical of Skeptic.



:10: Pacific Wind: Her last 2 races are real clunkers for a horse with her past race record. Dangerous if ready, but you have to be concerned this 4YO is turning a bit sour.


:11: Blue Prize: 4 of her last 5 races should make her the post time favorite. She hasn't done much wrong with 13 exacta finishes in 15 starts in her career thus far. She'll be tough, and a likely must include on any exotics ticket.


WP :8:
EX Box :6::8::11:

[Immortal6]

Copied from the selections page, prices have been popping at Keeneland so why not take a shot on the horse that will likely be 15 or 20-1. See no reason the horse can't win by stalking what I predict to be a hot pace.

$6 win :2: Chocolate Martini

.50 tri :2::7:/:1::2::4::7:/:1::2::3::4::7::8::10::11: ($18)

$1 ex :2::7:/:1::2::4::7: ($6)

$30 total. Good luck all

[Lemon Drop Husker]

Copied from the selections page, prices have been popping at Keeneland so why not take a shot on the horse that will likely be 15 or 20-1. See no reason the horse can't win by stalking what I predict to be a hot pace.

$6 win :2: Chocolate Martini

.50 tri :2::7:/:1::2::4::7:/:1::2::3::4::7::8::10::11: ($18)

$1 ex :2::7:/:1::2::4::7: ($6)

$30 total. Good luck all


I like your style. :ThmbUp:

[Maximillion]

Its a real nice race.I see it very much like you do...but my sleeper here is Chocolate Martini.
Ill put together a ticket probably similiar to yours...but replacing Sassy with the 2 and keying on that one..... may have to include Eskimo Kisses in there as well.Hopefully one of us can cash something here.

[Maximillion]

Oh no we posted at the same time and I may have put the kiss of death on both of us!

[Immortal6]

Oh no we posted at the same time and I may have put the kiss of death on both of us!


Might as well tear up the tickets already :lol:

[098poi]

I'll try $5 Ex


:4::8: / :1::2::3::4::8: = $40

[Lemon Drop Husker]

Public is two-fisting through the windows the :4::7:


Happy to see it as I have to bet against.

[jay68802]

Have a hard time believing that last race figure for the :4:. Looking to the outside for the winner.

:8:

:9:

:11:

[Tom]

Blue Prize practicing hearing for the Breeder's Cup. :lol:

Owner must have been having a heart attack at the 8th pole!

[098poi]

Looks like a couple of folks hit something! :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:



That was kind of scary but impressive to hang on and win like that.

[tophatmert]

Have a double going to the:7: in the last .It is another highly competitive field but :7: fits in here and the exactas with the heavy favorite are paying good.:7:with :3::4::5::8: exboxs and more with :3:.