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View Full Version : R8 Del Mar G2 Del Mar Mile 8/19/18


Lemon Drop Husker
08-19-2018, 03:49 PM
Tough to surpass the romp of Accelerate yesterday, but we'll try.


:1: Catapult: Doesn't run many bad races and won at this venue at an 1/8th longer while being 21/1. Tough horse to knock other than he is usually overbet. If he can repeat his last, he'll be tough to beat.


:2: What a View: Really nice horse that has won a lot of races (8 for 26). Has even won a Graded Stakes race. Will be forwardly placed, but not sure he can fend off this group.


:3: True Valour: Was absolutely no match for others in here in his American turf debut. Trainer change, jock change. Still hard to back after the last.


:4: Sharp Samurai: Little doubt this one will get bet. Runs a lot of good numbers and is always in the mix. This is the likely post time favorite,a nd has to be greatly considered on any wager.


:5: Le Ken: Hasn't won a race in the last two years, and is stepping up in class. Should be a deserved doubled digit plus odds.



:6: Bowies Hero: Gotta love these quietly getting better, and cashing checks kind of horses. He is never at the tip of the tongue of anybody talking about turf horses, but this guy is legit. He can run with these, and if overlaid at an expected price of 13/1 or more, he has to be strongly considered.


:7: Caribou Club: 10 for 13 hitting the board, and we get Mike Smith in the irons. Not sold this guy is ready for this group.


:8: B Squared: His career best "number" wasn't good enough last out. As a 4YO I'd like to think he can get better, but he has already ran 8 times this year. His absolute best simply isn't good enough in here.


:9: Fly to Mars: Exact opposite of B Squared. This is a horse that is improving as a 4YO and may not have met his ceiling. Off of back to back wins, and stepping up in class, he'll be a decent price. He has to be considered.


:10: Om: He is pretty much a turf miler, and has banked over a $1 Million doing as much. He'll be forwardly placed, but the wiley old vet is likely up against it in here.



:11: Big Score: Second race as a 4YO, and the improvement could be off the charts crazy. Could be a big price, and one that I would largely consider in every ticket offered.


:12: Next Shares: He'll be coming late. While he is a good horse, he has a history of not beating anybody in here.


:13: Hunt: Hard to make a comment other than I just don't like him this race. This guy likes to win, or not even be in the mix. When he wins, the numbers aren't all that great. There are many much better in here.

GMB@BP
08-19-2018, 04:05 PM
according to Timeform 8 horses are within 3 points of the top figure in the race, that is the definition of an even matched field.

I like :6: but need at least the ML.

Lemon Drop Husker
08-19-2018, 04:10 PM
according to Timeform 8 horses are within 3 points of the top figure in the race, that is the definition of an even matched field.

I like :6: but need at least the ML.


I'm not one to highlight easy races. :D


This. One. Is. Tough. :popcorn:

Ocala Mike
08-19-2018, 04:27 PM
Went with the :6: in the contest and W/P irl.

Lemon Drop Husker
08-19-2018, 04:51 PM
Went with the :6: in the contest and W/P irl.


It is a legit field, and he is a legit horse. We've all made worse wagers.

Bring it home. :ThmbUp:

jay68802
08-19-2018, 04:59 PM
Key the :4: in the top 3 spots with the :6::7::11::12:

horses4courses
08-19-2018, 05:25 PM
Went with the :6: in the contest and W/P irl.

:6: has positive rider switch to Rosario. :ThmbUp:
Had trouble in last, a race which sets him up nicely for this.

:4: is ultra tough in west coast turf miles.

:13: post won't help, and even though he's a closer, he will lose ground.
Won this race last year.


Tough race, and a good betting one.
Hoping to get better than 6-1 on the :6:.

Good luck to all!

clicknow
08-19-2018, 05:51 PM
I like these : :4: :12: :3:

jimmyb
08-19-2018, 06:21 PM
Going with the :9: to make it 3 in a row. Seems to be improving each race. Giving Tyler Gaffalione a chance at redemption. Trainer has 35% wins last 10 days.

olddaddy
08-19-2018, 06:27 PM
If you watch his last you will see :3: steadying in the stretch. Worth a shot at 15+-1

Lemon Drop Husker
08-19-2018, 06:55 PM
If you watch his last you will see :3: steadying in the stretch. Worth a shot at 15+-1


Eh. Rewatched that race again. Got the perfect rail trip and was no factor. The late 'pull' was because he wasn't good enough.

Buckeye
08-19-2018, 07:53 PM
I played the 9 here.

I want to go to Mars!

This gelding is top PBS using his last race.

13 could be trouble though, as well as 7 and 8.

098poi
08-19-2018, 08:06 PM
$2 Ex


:6:, :10: / :6:, :10:, :11:, :12:

GMB@BP
08-19-2018, 08:18 PM
I have no interest in the 6 at 3/1, that price is a joke.

jay68802
08-19-2018, 08:19 PM
Key the :4: in the top 3 spots with the :6::7::11::12:

Add the :10: for :12:

nevermind

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 08:20 PM
:6::1: an El prado grandson exacta

Lemon Drop Husker
08-19-2018, 08:23 PM
:4::6::9::11:


Give W on the :11:
EX/TRI box :4::6::9::11:

GMB@BP
08-19-2018, 08:30 PM
Given the relative prices I will take a shot with the :12:

clicknow
08-19-2018, 08:36 PM
I like these : :4: :12: :3:

I think I will add the :9: and :5: to my original horses and box it. Seems like the :5: could possibly run in the tri or super coming off awd w/tyler baze aboard. I'll risk it. :)

GMB@BP
08-19-2018, 08:40 PM
ummmm...that was weird, 6 was 20 lengths off a slow pace.

9 should be coming down.

clicknow
08-19-2018, 08:42 PM
:6::1: an El prado grandson exacta

Looks like you're the only one who specified :1: in any way. Seems like we all missed that one as a single pick.

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 08:44 PM
I tri boxed the :1::9::4::6: but I think they will take the :9: down

098poi
08-19-2018, 08:44 PM
I don't mind losing but none of my horses were really ever part of it so a bit anti climactic.

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 08:45 PM
the :6: was a dissapointment

clicknow
08-19-2018, 08:49 PM
I tri boxed the :1::9::4::6: but I think they will take the :9: down

1-4-9-11 You got the tri. :) Nice work $1 tri paid over $200!

098poi
08-19-2018, 08:50 PM
1-4-9-11 You got the tri. :) Nice work $1 tri paid over $200!




Good job

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 08:53 PM
I lucked out on that one only bumped the :9: to 3rd

clicknow
08-19-2018, 08:53 PM
Good job

not me, dkbigsky got it. :)

jimmyb
08-19-2018, 08:54 PM
I tri boxed the :1::9::4::6: but I think they will take the :9: down
Nice!!! The :1: got a lot of help from the :9:. :4: may have won.

098poi
08-19-2018, 08:54 PM
not me, dkbigsky got it. :)




I know I was just seconding your sentiment. :ThmbUp:

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 08:57 PM
only play it for 50 cents but I needed it. Saratoga has been killing me and Yesterdays pacific classic day was a disaster for me. I had a lot of long shots picked but none of them were the longshots that won. Ha I did have accelerate in the classic but I did not have morse code in the last.

dkbigsky
08-19-2018, 09:07 PM
Delmar Race 9 I like the :6: New years day won a big race as a 2 year old I think. Street cry colt. going with tri:5::6: with :2::5::6: with :2::5::4::6::7: