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Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 12:31 PM
Let's Go! #positivity #luck #learn #enjoy

1st race Saratoga coming up soon :jump:

https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/37378844_2167537126809916_9091366599264305152_n.jp g?_nc_cat=0&oh=e042f08d9a8bcac7c5604a8ca8385021&oe=5BE6DF76

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 12:56 PM
First thought is that the :1: has become a colloquial 'wise-guy' horse. ML was a touch high, everybody fell in love with the 10/1 ML but they aren't getting 10/1 - he's as low as 4/1 while I type this and figures to go off perhaps 9/2-6/1 at post.
I'd prefer to exclude a negative value like this.

This distance/configuration is going to favor a horse who can break quickly without using a ton of horse and secure a forward inside position. Who fits that bill??
:2: Nobody Move showed improved tactical/gate speed last time. Castellano is back and they've got nothing to lose here trying for a claim repeat share of $50k and $25 claim tag. Seems like a horse for course that everyone is trying to beat...

:5::6::7: all figure to be close.

The :6: is the most interesting. He's a danger to break to the lead.

:7: Improved with the switch to Amoss/Moss. Figures to contend.

:2::6::7::5:

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 01:05 PM
:2: Nobody Move was not a factor, but the :6: carried his weight with a good trip behind cheap speed 3.

:7: Ran 'ok' to get third. Overlooked Turco Bravo closed inside for 2nd.


I just did a win dutch in that race, so was happy to have the 6 @ $13+change. That was the value as he was almost as big a price as the #1 underlay , and Turco Bravo who seemed outclassed.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 01:25 PM
Not crazy about this race. Also getting some distractions / phone-calls


I don't like the :1:. I feel that's an 'obvious' trap for a mediocre contender.

Suppose there is value elsewhere, but I don't have the play in mind.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 01:33 PM
small dd vs 1 (245910 w/ 268) and emphasized for the chalk amongst thoses

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 01:40 PM
Got through the 1st half of the Double , but very chalky.

Was right about the :1: being a 'trap'.

Hindsight = I wish I had played the exacta, but wasn't happy with my depth of opinion, so I stuck to picking the winners.
#2 in race3 = small profit, #6 or #8 moderate profit.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 02:05 PM
First thought is that the :4: Sicilia Mike is a decent sized underlay. Cool name. He's mildly dangerous to suck-up and trip into 2nd or 3rd...

:3: Come on Cat - Brave effort in an electric pace last time. He was actually well handled by Pennington, it wasn't a MONSTER effort but was solid. Unfortunately he's taking money. I'd want him to be 7/1 and S.Mike 7/2 in a dream 'green-light' scenario...


:2::6: are ultra-obvious takeout pits. No value here. Either could dominate. Both have '?'s.

:8: is the temptation. That last race was better than it looked. The 5 in that race was supposed to clobber them, but the pace never really allowed a breather and a closer nailed that 5 in the stretch.


So I'm looking :3::8: top/bottom :2::3::6::8: for value. considerations, but to be honest they ain't paying me the kind of money I want for 'reaching' for a value number @ 'TOGA. :confused:
If 8 scores, I get the generous double multiple times, and I'm not in love with the 3.

--------------

Ok , NEXT thought (choo choo #thought train)
Who does the :3: Come on Pussy Cat 'HURT' the most? :2: or :6:??
Answer? = He hurts the :2: the most. :2: Wants to cruise near, not duel a philly cheese steak.... The :6: tried to close into a slow pace last time, so this looks to be a value boost (tough to boost chalk). Also helps the sucker-bet :4: Sicilian Michael. If he was 10/1 where he should be, I'd consider under a tri or exacta...

Considering a 50cent backdoor tri :6:/ :2::3::8: / :5::7: (late closing 3rd from the turtles??)

nah...

Im going WILD HERE (and I wish some of you guys would chime in with some thoughts/opinions/picks/etc...)
Going to throw $2 to SHOW on my :6: for a trip bet , maybe he gets set up by the 3?

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 02:13 PM
:6: appeared to 'miss the thought train' there. #3 did in fact do some dirty work before heading toward the 'caboose.'
Logic seemed good, but was 'off track', as the #2 did just fine behind the cheap speed.

$2 to show ticket was 'derailed'

out of bad puns, but the chalky 2 saved my emphasized double in a 'blanket' finish...
Overlooked #1 spiced up the tickets for those who like to do the old Chalk/chaos/chaos play in these top meet's cheaper races :ThmbUp:
Wow nevermind that= it was a really Light payout!:ThmbDown: Everybody must have gone that route.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 02:32 PM
r4 Guessing game / 2nd chance for MCLM turfers ...

My thought here is to make a run to the store to pick up a few items for seafood linguine dinner.

Will sink my teeth back into the card when returned / settled. :ThmbUp:

I hope some of you guys chime in , perhaps carry the thread with some picks :ThmbUp:

MadVindication
07-20-2018, 03:20 PM
There's too many del Mar races I like tomorrow, gotta take it easy today. So haven't any PPs. But enjoying the thought train as I watch the races.

Just looking at the free TFUS for R9, there's no real pace/pace setter. Best value seems to be the :2:, a 30-1 long shot who's not run in such tough company yet :D But I like the :6: or :8: for the win. Of the closers I like :1:

:7: is a contender but still vulnerable fave, looks like short odds due to Chad Brown as trainer. 3-1 nah.

Very tempting to try to construct a tri or cheap super and squeeze value out of this.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 04:14 PM
There's too many del Mar races I like tomorrow, gotta take it easy today. So haven't any PPs. But enjoying the thought train as I watch the races.

Just looking at the free TFUS for R9, there's no real pace/pace setter. Best value seems to be the :2:, a 30-1 long shot who's not run in such tough company yet :D But I like the :6: or :8: for the win. Of the closers I like :1:

:7: is a contender but still vulnerable fave, looks like short odds due to Chad Brown as trainer. 3-1 nah.

Very tempting to try to construct a tri or cheap super and squeeze value out of this.

I will check him out. Big price and Matz has occasionally long shots like that.



7th race = Supposed to be against the wide :12:, and with the Rail/Chad Brown:1:, but EVERYONE is going that direction, and there's no value in that...

If I'm tossing :12:, I'm tossing :10: also = in addition to wide-draw he also was close to that soft pace.
I do like the :2: out of that same race as the 10.

I can't bet :1::2: at these prices for the obvious Chad Brown in here.

Pass and looking at the 8th, 9th... :ThmbUp:

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 04:27 PM
So much for the post position bias...

looked like :12: held on

MadVindication
07-20-2018, 04:46 PM
Looking forward to see if Casse's Cathereinethegreat with J Ortiz pulls through as the favourite. Drives me nuts to see a dominant up in the Canadian stakes races but down in the USA I want to see him win! Might throw down a working class dollar if the odds aren't too short at post.

CheckMark
07-20-2018, 04:48 PM
Remainder of Saratoga picks. Had a few pricy winners today so feel good for tomorrow.

8: :1::8::9:

9: :7::2::3:

10: :8::11::7:

Best of luck to all! :p

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 05:01 PM
r8

2 - looks electric

8 is a good price

257810

Unicorn
07-20-2018, 05:06 PM
Looking forward to see if Casse's Cathereinethegreat with J Ortiz pulls through as the favourite. Drives me nuts to see a dominant up in the Canadian stakes races but down in the USA I want to see him win! Might throw down a working class dollar if the odds aren't too short at post.
Nice call. :ThmbUp:

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 05:09 PM
Remainder of Saratoga picks. Had a few pricy winners today so feel good for tomorrow.

8: :1::8::9:




Good call on the 1!

CheckMark
07-20-2018, 05:10 PM
Nice call. :ThmbUp:

Thanks. She looked LIVE! $8.40 pocketed.

CheckMark
07-20-2018, 05:12 PM
Good call on the 1!

Thank you sir! Hopefully the :7: in the next race could win :cool:

Unicorn
07-20-2018, 05:17 PM
R9 Saratoga # :8: I like this one at decent odds. WPS. Should close late.

Unicorn
07-20-2018, 05:20 PM
If the odds hold. I'll probably be thinking about betting the :5: and :8: to win.

Unicorn
07-20-2018, 05:29 PM
R9 Saratoga # :8: I like this one at decent odds. WPS. Should close late.

I changed my mind going with the :5: wps. Jose for the triple hopefully.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 05:32 PM
Race 9 another tough race

I like some things about the :5:... Seems to be improving tactical speed. Ortiz is one of the jocks who capitalize with aggressive draw-away speed on the turf.
Wish the price was higher...

I do like that :1::5::7: have 'sprint' form in their Euro form.
I feel that's a strong angle. Their sprint races are more measured.

MadVindication
07-20-2018, 05:36 PM
R9 $0.020 super box :1: :2: :6: :8:

and min bet tri $1

:2: :6: :8: / :2: :6: :8: /:1: :2: :6: :8:

I think my gamble here is leaving the one out of the top two in that tri, for the sake of hitting longer odds, IMO Punked is a superior filly. But habits die hard.

MadVindication
07-20-2018, 05:39 PM
Yeah the five scares me!

Unicorn
07-20-2018, 05:44 PM
George wins the Lake George. :bang:

CheckMark
07-20-2018, 05:44 PM
I was screaming at the tv for that 7 to win but still a great ride by Ortiz. :rolleyes:

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 05:45 PM
Manny Franco has been riding well lately.

MadVindication
07-20-2018, 05:49 PM
I do like that :1::5::7: have 'sprint' form in their Euro form.
I feel that's a strong angle. Their sprint races are more measured.

I was pretty shocked the 1 went on the lead like that. Guess that was something I missed.

Should pass these types but what the hell. Gimme a dirt or synth route :ThmbUp: At least they seem easy after playing turf.

Robert Fischer
07-20-2018, 06:03 PM
last race of the day for Toga...

:8: COUNTY COURT is ultra-obvious on form. He didn't open as a huge fav, and is pretty much co-favored with the :11: in some of the multis.
8's gaps, short-fields faced, inspire little excitement in the drop today at a low price.

:11: has faced good company and comes off a hot pace and fade vs. better. Not crazy about that he was 50-1 and has never really shown a winning race aside from a soft-paced MCLM score.


:5: and :9: are mildly interesting... mainly for connections and riders...


Going to pass and think dinner/Del Mar :ThmbUp:

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 12:45 PM
R1 Saratoga

:1a::5::1:

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 01:11 PM
R1 Saratoga

:1a::5::1:

Waiting for the stewards but no change. R1 :4::1a::1::3:

No idea how Byron King liked the $16.20 winner.

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 01:14 PM
Chad Browns first timer looks decent but will try to play against.

R2: :6::10::3:

Pedigree does suggest that the extra distance should help and the dam did have some turf winners including g1 winner Karlovy Vary who won 3 times on turf. Hopefully this can result in a good price play. Best of luck. :)

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 01:42 PM
Chad Browns first timer looks decent but will try to play against.

R2: :6::10::3:

Pedigree does suggest that the extra distance should help and the dam did have some turf winners including g1 winner Karlovy Vary who won 3 times on turf. Hopefully this can result in a good price play. Best of luck. :)

Good thing I had the :10: in my selections. ContendersWins hit the exacta.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 02:21 PM
Good thing I had the :10: in my selections. ContendersWins hit the exacta.

$14 horse :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

Good one!
Wish I had seen that!


Mannn... last night; that seafood linguine (man that was good, lb shrimp, lb scallops, clams,...) with friends and started off sipping a couple stouts and one thing lead to another... Late night... and now it's 2pm and I'm just getting moving :D

just watched the dubb entry beat , and now NO DOZING (subliminal message with that name??) :cool: ... no dozing beat that low-priced closer Slew...

Couple of races I may have made a few bucks on betting against some chalks

*shaking these cobwebs off and be ready by the 4th or 5th race to get into bobby fischer mode again*

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 02:29 PM
R4 picks :7::5:

But my quick system picked the :2:

I also checked back for the other 3 races and hit all 3! So maybe I should switch to that??

SkunkApe
07-21-2018, 02:44 PM
I like 5 and 6.

clicknow
07-21-2018, 02:54 PM
Sara R5: box :3::9::4::7:

jay68802
07-21-2018, 03:02 PM
Saratoga Race #5

WP :1: and :4:

MadVindication
07-21-2018, 03:21 PM
Saratoga Race #5

WP :1: and :4:

:4: held real good was surprised to see she still had some kick in her, close one! :ThmbUp:

MadVindication
07-21-2018, 03:28 PM
Let's go Southern Phantom! Bring one more for Joel Rosario streak! I want that prettiest horse to win and end up being photographed as much as Justify next year.

https://cdn-images.bloodhorse.com/i/bloodhorse-images/2016/08/3001d7f79bfe41dc828aa8897b54adf6.jpg?maxwidth=940&height=530&mode=max

clicknow
07-21-2018, 03:30 PM
Sara R5: box :3::9::4::7:

Got the Superfecta, trifecta, and exacta

:jump:

I only bet $1 super, $1 tri and $2 exacta but returned $559.24

MadVindication
07-21-2018, 03:31 PM
Got the Superfecta, trifecta, and exacta

:jump:

high fives!

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 04:00 PM
R6: :2::7::3:

Have had bad luck all day so hopefully the :2: can win.

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 04:02 PM
R6: :2::7::3:

Have had bad luck all day so hopefully the :2: can win.

Thank god for this one! Payed $3.70

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 04:03 PM
Got the Superfecta, trifecta, and exacta

:jump:

I only bet $1 super, $1 tri and $2 exacta but returned $559.24

Way to go :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:


I just bet against the favorite #2 Nitrous. :bang:
Debut sat a garden trip behind overeager speed ... then was slow to change leads...
Bet like MUCH the best today, I was thinking they were wrong and going on the pretty form , but he fired big right from the gate and no one could muster a real challenge...


lots more racing :ThmbUp:

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 04:04 PM
R7: :4::7::3:

Hopefully my top pick should be speeding on by!

jay68802
07-21-2018, 04:09 PM
Saratoga Race #7:

Try to steal one here with the :4:, and back up with the :2:.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 04:22 PM
:ThmbUp: :7: Silverwave had a crazy trip in that UN last time at Monmouth... Wide and advancing without a flow on his own. Race held together but he was at worst 2nd or 3rd best and the literal form shows him '5th' so that's usually a good value. Owner doesn't scoff at a G1 UN, but this is one of his Toga horses. This is what you call a stakes prep and he'd like to contend and/or win today.

:ThmbDown: :4: Hello Don Julio looks like a 'trap' to me. That was a good looking pace, and maybe they were just a really strong field, but it was fairly bunched-up for a supposedly mega-hot pace, and he had little to offer after striking the front.
No part of this guy in the 9/2 - 7/1 range.

:1::ThmbUp: Call Provision comes out of that same race as the 4 and once straightened showed a near-brilliant turn of foot, but then hung in the final strides. He has to be respected.

:8: Rocketry :ThmbDown: beat up on some bums @ Bel 2-back, but his price is too low here. He's a solid horse.

:2: Patterson Cross is in that same solid but lacking much value category with the :8:. Grinded into a flow-aided win last time


I guess a small bet on the 7 is in order since he is not favored.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 04:36 PM
Saratoga Race #7:

Try to steal one here with the :4:, and back up with the :2:.


They dared your :4: and he almost took them up on the offer.

I had the 1,7 in a multi, and I was worried that 1 would quit. Pretty exciting stretch run.

clicknow
07-21-2018, 04:45 PM
Sara 8: 2 looks somewhat formidable with her late kick. I'll go light here:

:2::4: / :3::5::6::9:

Lil' side wager on my longshot :1:

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 04:46 PM
I don't like that the :2: figures to take a bunch of money and she doesn't have much tactical speed...

Alive to the :1::3::5::6::10:....

gonna do a late lunch and let that bet ride... Lot's of good racing to come

jay68802
07-21-2018, 04:51 PM
They dared your :4: and he almost took them up on the offer.

I had the 1,7 in a multi, and I was worried that 1 would quit. Pretty exciting stretch run.

Gave it a shot, got a good effort, that's all you can ask for. When I figured that race I discounted that huge pace # on the :4: by 15 pts and he still scored the top # in my rating system.

Race #8

Going with the :6: and :10:. tough race.

jay68802
07-21-2018, 04:57 PM
Gave it a shot, got a good effort, that's all you can ask for. When I figured that race I discounted that huge pace # on the :4: by 15 pts and he still scored the top # in my rating system.

Just for the fun of it I reran the race and discounted that pace # down 18 pts and by doing that the :1: out scores him by 2 pts. :D

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 04:57 PM
R8: :1::6::4:

My other sheets say :2: or :6:

Best of luck!

jay68802
07-21-2018, 05:09 PM
Played some pick 4's


:6::10: / :1::6::7: / :1: / :2::3::6::7::11:

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 05:09 PM
ahhh Wanted that 6, but the 10 proved better:ThmbUp:


edit : Played some pick 4's


:6::10: / :1::6::7: / :1: / :2::3::6::7::11:

NAILED IT!

clicknow
07-21-2018, 05:10 PM
I don't like that the :2: figures to take a bunch of money and she doesn't have much tactical speed...

Alive to the :1::3::5::6::10:....

gonna do a late lunch and let that bet ride... Lot's of good racing to come

You were right about the :2: :(

congrats to you and Jay on that :10:

MadVindication
07-21-2018, 05:14 PM
R9 :8: Casse horse who did well at CD

CheckMark
07-21-2018, 05:17 PM
You were right about the :2: :(

congrats to you and Jay on that :10:

Yes great picks.

R9: :3::1::8:

1 for 8 today :rip::pout:

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 05:36 PM
Gotta like that :8: Strike Silver did the dirty work in the Nitrous race and still won...

jay68802
07-21-2018, 05:37 PM
I'm done with WP bet's for the day. But...

The :6: in this race at 9-1 is better than those odds. Last work say's he is ready and gets a good jockey. Covered with pick 4's, good luck.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 05:50 PM
That 8 doesn't mind doing the work for these horses...

I don't know if he's going to stretch out at all in distance? Or needs a softer spot? Or if he's going to get better with age?

I guess 2nd in this spot is a decent payday...

jay68802
07-21-2018, 05:57 PM
I'm done with WP bet's for the day. But...

The :6: in this race at 9-1 is better than those odds. Last work say's he is ready and gets a good jockey. Covered with pick 4's, good luck.

Broke slow and never a chance, going to keep my eye on this one.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 06:03 PM
'even-steven' slow day thus far making no ground on the bankroll...
Top it off someone finished off the seafood that was going to be a starter to lunch... Came up with some interesting julienne sliced zucchini with some dry broiled bacon pieces , lemon , white whine , and have to add the home-made 'OLD BAY' for maryland touch to carry the weight of the last batch of linguini

hope to do the same with the last half of racing...

DEL MAR 3rd race - Peter Miller's :3: is ice-cold. Drawing Away Stables :4: is ice cold for a betting ownership group...


Tough to fault the heavy fav :6:

:7: Is interesting as perhaps quicker out of the gate for a red-hot Hollendorfer barn... but a touch cheap. Tough betting race for me.. .

jay68802
07-21-2018, 06:13 PM
'even-steven' slow day thus far making no ground on the bankroll...
Top it off someone finished off the seafood that was going to be a starter to lunch... Came up with some interesting julienne sliced zucchini with some dry broiled bacon pieces , lemon , white whine , and have to add the home-made 'OLD BAY' for maryland touch to carry the weight of the last batch of linguini

hope to do the same with the last half of racing...

DEL MAR 3rd race - Peter Miller's :3: is ice-cold. Drawing Away Stables :4: is ice cold for a betting ownership group...


Tough to fault the heavy fav :6:

:7: Is interesting as perhaps quicker out of the gate for a red-hot Hollendorfer barn... but a touch cheap. Tough betting race for me.. .

Going with a old Nebraska stand-by tonight. A nice thick New York strip steak with field fresh corn on the cob cooked on the grill.

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 06:19 PM
Going with a old Nebraska stand-by tonight. A nice thick New York strip steak with field fresh corn on the cob cooked on the grill.

Can't beat a good steak.


Saratoga r10 Diana - I'll just watch this one. Looks like a Chad Brown showcase...
The interesting thing is whether someone will try to sneak out on the front.


Rosario 5 and Leparoux 7 perhaps? Then will we see the third-string Brown New mONEY Honey go up to bother them??

just watching

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 06:24 PM
Too Close for me to call

??
didn't bet , or use the 5,7

That seems to be a trend here... tight course and classy big named closers in these turf routes , and then someone who decides to use speed gets a board spot that didn't appear logical on paper

wow the :1: nailed her at the wire!

really glad I didn't go in on the 57 :popcorn:

Javier on the :2: New Money Honey looked like he was looking around to bother any gate speed, - but Chad's 6 broke almost too well, 6 broke on top, and Javier had to just sit back and stay out of the fray...

jay68802
07-21-2018, 06:31 PM
Most Pick 4's still alive.

:2: $1.00

:3: $2.00

:6: $1.00

:7: $2.00

:11: $3.00

Robert Fischer
07-21-2018, 06:49 PM
Most Pick 4's still alive.

:2: $1.00

:3: $2.00

:6: $1.00

:7: $2.00

:11: $3.00

Good luck :ThmbUp:

Another tough race for me.

Lots of hard-hitting tough early pace in here...
I don't know if that means a stalker is going to inherit a winning trip, or it's going to be a gladiator battle up front with the speed-of-speeds winning?

:10: seems like a cool horse, but the public is on to him and the price is meager...


:6::11: both seem like the type to benefit in some fashion

jay68802
07-21-2018, 06:59 PM
F*ck me. Think the :10: got it.

MadVindication
07-21-2018, 11:59 PM
That face you make when you see there's a 1 1/8 mile dirt race and then realize there's only five runners:

https://www.reactiongifs.us/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/shocked_david_bowie.gif

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 09:49 AM
R1: :2:

R2: :1a:

R3: :1:

R4: :8:

R5: :2:

R6: :3:

R7: :8:

R8: :9:

R9: :4: duh

R10: :9:

Won't be around here so posting early! Best of luck! And hopefully a better day to me after a 1 for 10 day yesterday, but I can't argue with a 45% Winners percent.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 12:21 PM
That face you make when you see there's a 1 1/8 mile dirt race and then realize there's only five runners:



Thankfully Saratoga R5 looks good. Dirt 1 1/8 w/ 8 runners and all trainers have a single interest. R7 dirt 7f looks good too, field of 9, Chad Brown has two runners.

Gonna take a look and see if the W Lukas 20-1 has a shot in R7.

jay68802
07-22-2018, 12:49 PM
Race #1:

Looks like the favorite is going to be strong here. Try to make it into a good situation.

Exacta: :2: / :1::6:

PaceAdvantage
07-22-2018, 01:07 PM
Funny...I posted the :5: as my top pick in the 1st at Saratoga (in VIP).

Not that I was going to win, but pretty funny how Manuel Franco stops whipping the last 50-70 yards. Coincidentally, that's the point where the :5: gave up after running a very game race up until that point...

jay68802
07-22-2018, 01:33 PM
No strong opinion here, looks pretty weak for a MSW field, watch and wait. Couple that I have a little interest in are the :6: and the :8:.

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 01:44 PM
:1a: ran well $4.20 for the win. and makes me 1-2 today so far.
Hopefully La Moneda can win her race today.

jay68802
07-22-2018, 02:08 PM
Race #3: No strong opinion again so watch and wait continues. Look for the :7: to improve and contend.

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 02:11 PM
:1: La Moneda did it! She is such a great filly! :jump:

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 02:13 PM
Funny...I posted the :5: as my top pick in the 1st at Saratoga (in VIP).

Not that I was going to win, but pretty funny how Manuel Franco stops whipping the last 50-70 yards. Coincidentally, that's the point where the :5: gave up after running a very game race up until that point...


Ouch!

I've had a couple of placings (be it win or under exotics) nailed in deep stretch, where the rider has eased up.
Always tough to tell if the horse is completely empty and no amount of urging would help. Always like to see the horse 'taken care of' after they've given their all... But some of these have been heartbreakers! Tough to tell, but I don't like when it happens to me :D

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 02:15 PM
:1: La Moneda did it! She is such a great filly! :jump:


no change, result will stand :ThmbUp:

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 02:42 PM
Race 4: :8:
Hopefully the trip holds and get the win. :bang:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 02:42 PM
Race #4:


:3:


:8:

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 02:50 PM
Race 4: :8:
Hopefully the trip holds and get the win. :bang:

$15.20 for the victory. I also had the :4: for 2nd and the exacta which was $21.90 :jump:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 02:51 PM
Race 4: :8:
Hopefully the trip holds and get the win. :bang:

;)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPQcBDsnE8c

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 03:06 PM
R5 :2: :7:

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 03:11 PM
Race 5: :2:
:bang:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 03:12 PM
Watch and wait again, getting to be a theme for the day. Interested in the :2: and the :6: here.

jay68802
07-22-2018, 03:40 PM
Race #6:


:7:

:3:

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 03:41 PM
Watch and wait again, getting to be a theme for the day. Interested in the :2: and the :6: here.

Nice pick on the six

CheckMark
07-22-2018, 03:43 PM
R6: :3:
Should win here either off the pace or wire to wire.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 03:48 PM
R6 :10: :3:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 04:06 PM
Looks like a WAG race to me, so will watch and wait some more. Interested in the :4: and :7:.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 04:20 PM
R7 :2:

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 04:22 PM
Looks like a WAG race to me

What's a WAG race?

jay68802
07-22-2018, 04:32 PM
Wild ass guess.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 04:40 PM
Wild ass guess.

:D That's most of them for me

jay68802
07-22-2018, 04:46 PM
Race #8:

Got 5 horses in this race that I think are contenders.

Exacta Box: :3::4::7::9:

clicknow
07-22-2018, 04:51 PM
Race #8:

Got 5 horses in this race that I think are contenders.

Exacta Box: :3::4::7::9:

I love that combo! GL


I'll go bx :9::10::4::6:

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 04:52 PM
I like the :9: best value

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 05:01 PM
:4: is going off at a nice price. Like the awesome again pedigree, and root for Mark Casse.

clicknow
07-22-2018, 05:09 PM
Race #8:

Got 5 horses in this race that I think are contenders.

Exacta Box: :3::4::7::9:




I'll go bx :9::10::4::6:


Came in 3-10-9-7 I needed one of yours and you needed one of mine for the trifecta :lol:

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 05:23 PM
R9 Gio Game is worth a shot for an upset at 27-1 but probably best for exotics

jay68802
07-22-2018, 05:28 PM
Del Mar Race #2:


:2:

:3:

clicknow
07-22-2018, 05:30 PM
R9 Gio Game is worth a shot for an upset at 27-1 but probably best for exotics

GL with that.

I was thinking that the #1 would need to be on any trifecta ticket

jay68802
07-22-2018, 05:30 PM
Saratoga Race #9:


Not taking a shot here, but think the :3: is interesting.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 05:32 PM
GL with that.

I was thinking that the #1 would need to be on any trifecta ticket

I think that call is better she might be around just right off the pace to pass in for 3.

Im not playing this one, just for fun. getting to know the track.

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 05:37 PM
Toga CCAO - little disapointing that only 5 entered. Strong chalk. Going to be a fan here and cheer for a good one

Del Mar 2 - just went off but havent' seen it yet, Hronis taking a ton of money for a hot barn, not sure if they have a good one or if the money is chasing blindly
EDIT-WOW looks like the money was chasing... 9 wins @ 5-1 , and their red hot :6: Hronis was off the board...

no bet for me just thinking along with some of these. couple losses and a $80 DD earlier @ toga between errands here

clicknow
07-22-2018, 05:48 PM
GL with that.

I was thinking that the #1 would need to be on any trifecta ticket

:1: ran 3rd, kinda thought that would happen. :)

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 05:50 PM
Nice run by Monomoy "Money" Girl.
Speed is carrying good, so long as it's not out of control.

I thought the :5: Gio was going to be conservative and try for a piece, but did some running.

:2: Midnight Bisou seemed to have more in the tank, she just needed more help up front, and wasn't going to catch the winner. She could run again in couple weeks if they wanted...

PhantomOnTour
07-22-2018, 06:02 PM
Sar Race 10

I think the #8 is live here for Mott at 11-1.
Will be prominent early and can be there all the way

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 06:03 PM
del mar 3

1-toss
2 - dangerous improving

clicknow
07-22-2018, 06:03 PM
EDIT-WOW looks like the money was chasing... 9 wins @ 5-1

I had the 9 to win over in the longshots topic. That was a tough race to figure out though, was thinking I was throwing $$ away, but it turned out lucky for me.

jay68802
07-22-2018, 06:05 PM
Saratoga Race #10:


Exacta Box: :1::3::5::8:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 06:38 PM
Del Mar Race #4:


Exacta Box: :3::4::6::11:

PaceAdvantage
07-22-2018, 06:59 PM
Del Mar 4th...Todd Schrupp was touting the fact that he had the 70-1 winner as his third pick and the 2nd place finisher as his first pick, and that if you boxed his picks you hit a $500 exacta for $1.

If you used my top pick in that race (posted on VIP) with his top pick, you also would have had the exacta. :lol:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 07:12 PM
Del Mar 4th...Todd Schrupp was touting the fact that he had the 70-1 winner as his third pick and the 2nd place finisher as his first pick, and that if you boxed his picks you hit a $500 exacta for $1.

If you used my top pick in that race (posted on VIP) with his top pick, you also would have had the exacta. :lol:

In my calculations that means PA = Todd Schrupp.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 07:20 PM
Del Mar 4th...Todd Schrupp was touting the fact that he had the 70-1 winner as his third pick and the 2nd place finisher as his first pick, and that if you boxed his picks you hit a $500 exacta for $1.

If you used my top pick in that race (posted on VIP) with his top pick, you also would have had the exacta. :lol:

I intend to join VIP soon as I'm not too lazy to use paypal. Unless you take bitcoin?

Lemon Drop Husker
07-22-2018, 07:26 PM
I intend to join VIP soon as I'm not too lazy to use paypal. Unless you take bitcoin?




The VIP room gets you free internet access to the site along with day old donuts mailed to your address of preference.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 07:32 PM
The VIP room gets you free internet access to the site along with day old donuts mailed to your address of preference.

It's hard to age donuts exactly one day especially through the mail.

Lemon Drop Husker
07-22-2018, 07:37 PM
It's hard to age donuts exactly one day especially through the mail.


That is exactly why you pay for the VIP service.

Robert Fischer
07-22-2018, 07:38 PM
really like :12: Perfectly Majestic to close into a good Wicker stakes

didn't like Double Touch :13: ... he blew up that ticket

PaceAdvantage
07-22-2018, 07:38 PM
In my calculations that means PA = Todd Schrupp.Actually, Todd said he made a mistake, and that horse wasn't his third choice...if you want more info, go to his twitter...

PaceAdvantage
07-22-2018, 07:39 PM
I intend to join VIP soon as I'm not too lazy to use paypal. Unless you take bitcoin?In VIP you'll get 12% winners. Just sayin'

It's not for everyone...lol

jay68802
07-22-2018, 08:09 PM
Del Mar Race #7:


:6:

jay68802
07-22-2018, 08:16 PM
Actually, Todd said he made a mistake, and that horse wasn't his third choice...if you want more info, go to his twitter...

Thanks for the info, but I felt that I might have insulted you, and punished myself enough by mowing the yard and only having 2 very cold beers while doing so.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 09:07 PM
That is exactly why you pay for the VIP service.

Is that what you'd call... the Pace Advantage?

Just jokes for the sake of jokes.

MadVindication
07-22-2018, 09:08 PM
In VIP you'll get 12% winners. Just sayin'

It's not for everyone...lol

Well I enjoy the forum and you had that sweet apology thread so will probably check it out soon.

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 11:44 AM
I’m trying the sheet called “Insider Picks” from Bris. Picks are based off of speed class and pace. Plus I have angles I noticed that might be good. Best of luck at the spa today.

R1: :6:
R2: :9:
R3: :5:
R4: :3:
R5: :6:
R6: :3: BEST BET
R7: :4:
R8: :6:
R9: :1:

Winning ship in trainers
R1 Todd Pleacher #1 2 starts 50% winners 50% ITM
R5 S Asmussen #6 2 starts 50% winners 50% ITM
R5 Brad Cox 1 start 100%

Also some horses to watch in the 7th :6::10::13::7:

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 11:52 AM
Also my picks from ContendersWins. All picks W/P

R1: :2::3:
R2: :5::7:
R3: :5::1:
R4: :3::5:
R5: :2::1:
R6: :1::7:
R7: :4::3:
R8: :4::7::8:
R9: :12:

Best of luck playing Saratoga. Hoping the rain holds off. Long shots if the rain falls :lol:

jay68802
07-23-2018, 12:31 PM
Saratoga Race #1:


:4:

:5:

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 01:02 PM
Saratoga Race #1:


:4:

:5:

NICE!

clicknow
07-23-2018, 01:09 PM
Saratoga Race #1:


:4:

:5:

Had exacta in longshot topic, but I'm all alone over there, maybe I will come over here lonely :pound:

clicknow
07-23-2018, 01:13 PM
I’m trying the sheet called “Insider Picks” from Bris.
R1: :6:


Also my picks from ContendersWins. All picks W/P

R1: :2::3:


Is this a test, using pick sheets? Or are you adding your own angles to their picks?

jay68802
07-23-2018, 01:13 PM
Had exacta in longshot topic, but I'm all alone over there, maybe I will come over here lonely :pound:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q2YLev30oGo

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 01:21 PM
R2: After scratches :1::2::8:

clicknow
07-23-2018, 01:22 PM
are they kidding with 8 scratches in one race? If Sara keeps this up today I'm gonna just stop supporting

jay68802
07-23-2018, 01:24 PM
Saratoga Race #2:


:12:

:10:

Robert Fischer
07-23-2018, 01:24 PM
r2 :2: SPIRAL BOUND seems like she has improved form, and is working better on the dirt in the mornings.

I'm not crazy about Pletcher8 or the Bruce Brown AE12

small flyer on the 2 in r2

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 01:37 PM
are they kidding with 8 scratches in one race? If Sara keeps this up today I'm gonna just stop supporting

Also mention the 4,5 and 9th race today.

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 01:40 PM
:8: $6.30 and hit exacta $9.10

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 01:41 PM
Race 3 :5::1::2:
Watch the :6:. Could close

Robert Fischer
07-23-2018, 01:43 PM
:8: $6.30 and hit exacta $9.10

Good one. :ThmbUp:

I feel like players got too creative with the 12 AE there.
Surprised the 1 got bet down so much as well.
I KNOW I got too creative with the 2 :ThmbDown:

jay68802
07-23-2018, 01:48 PM
Saratoga Race #3:


:4:

:6:

MadVindication
07-23-2018, 01:52 PM
R3 :2:

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 02:17 PM
:5: $6.20 for win and had the tri $21.25

jay68802
07-23-2018, 02:20 PM
Saratoga Race #4:



Exacta Box: :3::14: / :3::10::13::14:

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 02:24 PM
R4: :3::13::4:
Best first time starter would be the :4:

jay68802
07-23-2018, 03:06 PM
Saratoga Race #5:


Pick 5: :9: / All / :2::3::7::9::11: / :3::6::7: / :3::10:

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 03:12 PM
R4: :3::13::4:
Best first time starter would be the :4:

Good bet. $9.40

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 03:13 PM
R5: :6::9::3:
Hoping to close late on my top pick

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 03:34 PM
Well I did still hit my tri and that is my 4th today. All $1 prices
R2: $16.30 :8::1::12:
R3: $43.50 :5::4::6:
R4: $173.50 :4::14::6:
R5: last race $26.12 :9::10::11:
:jump:

This race r6 tri
:1::2::6: with :1::2::4::6: with :1::2::4::5::6:

Best of luck :)

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 03:59 PM
No hit in last race :rip:
R7: :7::3::9:

MadVindication
07-23-2018, 04:07 PM
R7 :7: :11: :12: tri box

Think the one post might be an advantage not sure if I want to bet on it

Robert Fischer
07-23-2018, 04:24 PM
7th race looks like anyone other than maybe 8,12 has a random chance

i'll pass , some potential for a mid-level price here

Robert Fischer
07-23-2018, 04:27 PM
7th race looks like anyone other than maybe 8,12 has a random chance

i'll pass , some potential for a mid-level price here

:lol:

Didn't have any real reason to toss 8,12 other than I thought maybe their high prices had some merit...

one of those random races that happen once in a while.

Didn't play this race, played two races all day on spot plays.

CheckMark
07-23-2018, 05:12 PM
Had the last winner. Took because of advantage of late speed. $21.40

Final race: :10::3::12:

Should win the race.

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 11:58 AM
Opener at Saratoga
:1: Has good pace and class. Could be a value play
Or
:3: Excels in early speed. Could wire the field.

clicknow
07-25-2018, 12:51 PM
Opener at Saratoga


Place wager on the longshot :7:


These are very high strung animals

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 01:00 PM
Race 1 - :3: DANEKING (GB)

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:01 PM
I like 2 or 5 to run a good Kiser stakes, but the value just isn't there...

speed can hold , due to their not being the final jump at the top of the stretch.

2 is a bit cheap, but should go for it. 5 is classy but not a rocketship...

4 is the best horse in the race but probably too sluggish to strike the front

6 is in sharp form, and slight underlay

unfortunately it's a field of 6 and the 4 good ones are taking too much money


$1 Double 2,4,5,6 over the 6 =$4

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:03 PM
great ... 2 dumped the rider early

3 daneking looking smart on this lead

clicknow
07-25-2018, 01:06 PM
hahhahaha! It was fun watching the loose horse go all the way around, making the jumps....and doing a pretty good job overall, sans rider.

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 01:07 PM
great ... 2 dumped the rider early

3 daneking looking smart on this lead

What's the story on the :3:. Wonderful.

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:13 PM
4-6 = $47.60

thought 4 was the best horse, but would be too sluggish.
2 and 5 were supposed to take over the pace, but 2 dumped his rider in 1 second, 3 lead them around before DNF...
almost reinforced the 4 to my opinion but I hold a decent ticket.

in the 2nd race , I dislike the ml chalk :1:Hexameter
upset that they scratched the :4:, I didn't like him either..

:6: looks in it to win it. :5: is a threat.
:2: is a great long shot, but we have a short field... she's still a good price for a tough filly.

I may just sit on my hands or 'hedge with a 5 over 26 for $2 ... several options

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 01:14 PM
hahhahaha! It was fun watching the loose horse go all the way around, making the jumps....and doing a pretty good job overall, sans rider.

Still a winner in my mind lol :pound:

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:15 PM
What's the story on the :3:. Wonderful.

scared me , because whoever leads at that stretch call is dangerous

I guess something went wrong, because he exited stage left...

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 01:15 PM
Race 2:
:1: Is a good closer and has good pace and class.
Or
:6: Could be the one flying late
Or
:2: Has good Speed and class

jay68802
07-25-2018, 01:20 PM
Race #2:


:5:

jay68802
07-25-2018, 01:23 PM
Race #2:


:5:

Going blind here for now, my computer "updated" and now twinspires will not load video.:bang:

jay68802
07-25-2018, 01:27 PM
Race #2:


:5:

Going to play with the :3: a little also, might get brave if left alone up front.

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:35 PM
Good aggressive race from the chalk there :1:

made the others run , and they didn't lift a hoof

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 01:38 PM
Race 2:
:1: Is a good closer and has good pace and class.
Or
:6: Could be the one flying late
Or
:2: Has good Speed and class

Since the scratch of :4: the :1: actually had the best early speed.
Even though chalk, was much the best. $3.20

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 01:39 PM
Race 3:

:9: WISELY with :8: HOT MESA

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 01:40 PM
Race 3:
:6: Has good speedclass.
Or
:8: Highest trip rating. Could upset.
Or
:9: Highest PaceClass2 rating. Good for exotics.

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 01:47 PM
bad race

Public gravitate to Pletcher :6: as a 'default'.

Nothing to really bet in here.

:9: Wisely is a reasonable alternative.


Check out the crazy form on the :8: $4,000 auction... Claimed for 30K on debut like they knew the horse could run... Skips mdn and goes Starter Allowance :lol: , dumped back in for 20K and gets immediately claimed... :lol:

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 01:48 PM
Check out the crazy form on the :8: $4,000 auction... Claimed for 30K on debut like they knew the horse could run... Skips mdn and goes Starter Allowance :lol: , dumped back in for 20K and gets immediately claimed... :lol:

This. :ThmbUp:

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 01:57 PM
Pick 4 starting race 3
:8::9:/:4::5:/:7::8:/:1::4:

jay68802
07-25-2018, 02:06 PM
Think the :4: should get in the top three. Going to play with the :5::6::8::10: in the tri.

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 02:21 PM
Just realized the :4: was the top pick on my Contenders Wins reports :rip:

Race 4:
:4: Tops in Power and excels in SpeedClass. Second best?
Or
:6: Has great closing kick and excels in PaceClass2. Upset.

Watch :2: and :3:

jay68802
07-25-2018, 02:25 PM
No solid opinion, so when that happens go with AC/DC.;)


:2:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErXbMB9R5-0

clicknow
07-25-2018, 02:38 PM
Another chalky race. I'll take the :6:

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 02:39 PM
4th race begging for a speed, but I can't bet rectify here... pass

clicknow
07-25-2018, 02:42 PM
:6: Has great closing kick and excels in PaceClass2. Upset.

I thought so, too, but he got too far behind to close

My horses so far have been useful for ---- superfectas.

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 02:44 PM
Just realized the :4: was the top pick on my Contenders Wins reports :rip:

Race 4:
:4: Tops in Power and excels in SpeedClass. Second best?
Or
:6: Has great closing kick and excels in PaceClass2. Upset.

Watch :2: and :3:

STill hit the exacta and my watch horse won!

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 02:53 PM
Pick 6 Ticket
5: :4:,:5:,:7:,:8:
6: :1:,:4:,:6:
7: :1:,:6:,:11:
8: :1A:,:5:
9: :6:
10: :3:,:11:

In race 7 had 1,2,7 but see above for picks

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 02:56 PM
race 5 , I have NO CLUE

:2::9::6: taking doubles $

board opens with :8: taking win $


no Lasix for :6::8:

that leaves me with :2::9: (only half kidding)


Tell me something Maggie!


race 6 - I'm leaning against the :5:
:6::4: are strong and :1: is a price , so I may go :2::9:?? with :1: DD

jay68802
07-25-2018, 03:01 PM
Race #5:

Looks like a wide open one.


Pick 3: :2::3::5::6::7::9::10: / :4::5::6: / :6::11:

BCOURTNEY
07-25-2018, 03:17 PM
Race 5

$200 EX DC 6,7/2,4,7,6

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 03:21 PM
Race #5:

Looks like a wide open one.


Pick 3: :2::3::5::6::7::9::10: / :4::5::6: / :6::11:

Good call on the 5.

Looks like the philly boys put one over

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 03:24 PM
Pick 6 Ticket
5: :4:,:5:,:7:,:8: 5-$20.80
6: :1:,:4:,:6:
7: :1:,:6:,:11:
8: :1A:,:5:
9: :6:
10: :3:,:11:

In race 7 had 1,2,7 but see above for picks

So far alive!

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 03:32 PM
So far alive!

Nice one Check Mark :ThmbUp:


That was an easy horse to miss. I had a DD punched in with 7 horses including the 5 to my 1,4,6 here (leaning against the 5 here in r6) , but I CANCELLED THE WAGER :D when they scratched the :8: right before post :bang: lol wish i had that live ticket

jay68802
07-25-2018, 03:35 PM
Good call on the 5.

Looks like the philly boys put one over

It is a lot easier to hit a moving target with a shotgun, than it is to hit it with a rifle. Will take the price and hope that it pays off if the other two races hit.

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 04:00 PM
Pick 6 Ticket
5: :4:,:5:,:7:,:8: 5-$20.80
6: :1:,:4:,:6: 6-$6.60
7: :1:,:6:,:11:
8: :1A:,:5:
9: :6:
10: :3:,:11:

In race 7 had 1,2,7 but see above for picks

Good value for a 2-1 shot. Thanks be to god that I am alive.

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 04:37 PM
Pick 6 Ticket
5: :4:,:5:,:7:,:8: 5-$20.80
6: :1:,:4:,:6: 6-$6.60
7: :1:,:6:,:11: 1-$8.30
8: :1A:,:5:
9: :6:
10: :3:,:11:

In race 7 had 1,2,7 but see above for picks

Wahoo!

CheckMark
07-25-2018, 05:14 PM
Wahoo!

More like oh no! Had fun playing pick 6 today.

R9: :6: Obvious choice.
Others (in order of preference): :3::1::4::5:

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 05:39 PM
More like oh no! Had fun playing pick 6 today.

R9: :6: Obvious choice.
Others (in order of preference): :3::1::4::5:

that was a good ride

somewhat bad day for me today. I need :1::3::5: for a break-even day
:6: for a slight loss day

if :4: closes wide to win @ 20-1 big loser day

I don't like the 4 one bit, but horseplayers get those weird vibes sometimes. I could see him closing for a small piece or something... just had that 'look' ... whatever that means

Hoping the 1 Vertical Oak suddenly runs back to her potential, or Ward has big speed.

:5: is probably a small underlay, considering he hasn't been in Bafferts high potency care, but has been local lately.

6 should win handily , but it's a horse race :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

Robert Fischer
07-25-2018, 06:01 PM
1 ran a brave race, but she had to be hard-urged and go through that stress of moving up the rail to force the issue early. Every right to throw in the towel, but she was brave.

:6: broke on the pace 'in-hand', class disparity was glaring as she shadowed the 1 until naturally moving up to even terms. $3.90 don't seem so bad in retrospect.

:5: was a red-herring in that race. She did ultimately go off 4th choice, but not by a large margin. Don't get me wrong, - if we saw her blasting through a strong work with an insane gallop-out at Santa Anita last week or something, she'd be more of a threat, but I think she'd have been 7-1 for the Terranova name in the PPs.

Treading lightly finale and Del Mar, regroup , back tomorrow with fresh ideas

Fightingirish51195
07-25-2018, 06:16 PM
I the :12: offers some value here for sure

10 w :12:

1 ex ALL/:12:

Fightingirish51195
07-25-2018, 06:20 PM
I the :12: offers some value here for sure

10 w :12:

1 ex ALL/:12:

When you 24-1, don't break that great, your horse is hustled out of the gate, and your wide around the first turn... the result is pretty much a forgone conlcusion

clicknow
07-25-2018, 06:38 PM
When you 24-1, don't break that great, your horse is hustled out of the gate, and your wide around the first turn... the result is pretty much a forgone conlcusion

Looking at the history, not sure turf is this one's forte. I didn't even see any kinda turf training at all yet. Maybe they are transitioning / "trying it out"....

Fightingirish51195
07-25-2018, 07:09 PM
Looking at the history, not sure turf is this one's forte. I didn't even see any kinda turf training at all yet. Maybe they are transitioning / "trying it out"....

I don't want it to sound like I was making excuses. The horse ended up not being a good pick. In its two previous starts it did not break well, and it certainly was not all that sharp today out of the gate, but he did not break bad


When looking at horses trying turf for the first time. I always look at the mothers side first. The horses breeding definitely indicates he could like turf. He showed some speed. At 24-1 I was willing to take a shot, did not pay off

clicknow
07-26-2018, 08:07 AM
When looking at horses trying turf for the first time. I always look at the mothers side first. The horses breeding definitely indicates he could like turf. He showed some speed. At 24-1 I was willing to take a shot, did not pay off

I will put in my virtual stable and keep an eye out on this one. Totally agree it was worth a shot.

CheckMark
07-26-2018, 11:50 AM
Opener 7/26/18 Saratoga

Pick 3 (1-3): 1,2,5/3,5,7/3,9
Double (4-5): 6,8,11/3,6,7

Pick 6 (5-10): 3,6/1,3,4,5/1,2,4,6,10/1,2,3,6,8/2,3,7/4

Best of luck. Won’t be on here so posting early. Might have a break in the afternoon. :coffee:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 12:27 PM
Opener 7/26/18 Saratoga

Pick 3 (1-3): 1,2,5/3,5,7/3,9
Double (4-5): 6,8,11/3,6,7

Pick 6 (5-10): 3,6/1,3,4,5/1,2,4,6,10/1,2,3,6,8/2,3,7/4

Best of luck. Won’t be on here so posting early. Might have a break in the afternoon. :coffee:

Good luck today! But now we have your winners in advance :popcorn: $$.


A.P. Smithwick re-scheduled for Monday due to the heavy rains.


3 off-turf races today = I'll look to see if any dead-turfers take money to bet against.

7th race is a player's race.

Will be watching for value here and there. :ThmbUp:

CheckMark
07-26-2018, 01:16 PM
Good luck today! But now we have your winners in advance :popcorn: $$.


A.P. Smithwick re-scheduled for Monday due to the heavy rains.


3 off-turf races today = I'll look to see if any dead-turfers take money to bet against.

7th race is a player's race.

Will be watching for value here and there. :ThmbUp:

Hopefully winners and thanks for appreciating me as a young pup!
Updated tickets

Pick 3 (4-6): ALL/1a,6/1,3,5
Pick4 (7-10): 1,2,10/2,3,7/2,3,4,8,7/4
Pick 6: 1a,6/1,3,4,5/1,2,4,6,10/2,3,7/2,3,7/4

Best of luck! :popcorn:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 01:56 PM
:1: looks really cool and is favored... but she hasn't been on hot paces..


:3: is a better price and she's been vs. heat... Today perhaps she controls?


:7: is being dismissed for her aim to Turf. Does Casse think she 'needs' a race, and Barber is willing to go along and kind of do a workout here?? Or are these guys mildly impressed with her fitness and her little 3F dirt breeze, and feel she'll be just fine 1st time dirt...
Barber don't really bring 'em in needing a ton of work to run into shape :cool:
Pace is more of a question to me - whether or not the :3: or someone controls and runs off up front...


:3::7: are decent enough prices for me :ThmbUp:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 02:12 PM
lol Gary Barber isn't bringing in a bunch of projects...
She almost controlled that from gate to wire with unexpected early speed.

Happy because I threw the 2 in there and did a 4 horse box(something I almost never do) because of the 5 taking silly $ and not really being as impressed with the 1 as the crowd

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 02:24 PM
I was really looing forward to the turf racing today. I was intrigued by a few horses in the 4th. But obviously had to adjust my handicapping with the switch.

I landed on the :7: Rag Top. I really would not be suprised if any of these horses won, especially Rudy's other horse.

I like the way this one is bred for water. I get a class drop. I know the horse has not shown much and that is a concern, especially with Bob Baffert as her original trainer. Betting against Brown here is probably bad idea, But I think I will give both Rodriguez horses a chance here

jay68802
07-26-2018, 02:31 PM
Small swing here, looking for the base hit not the HR.


:4: with :10:

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 02:34 PM
Small swing here, looking for the base hit not the HR.


:4: with :10:

I like

Im going :7: :4:/ALL 2 dollar exacta

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 02:39 PM
Good luck guys. Sitting this one out.

if i had to bet $2 box 24

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 02:43 PM
man... Good prices. Fav didn't fire

clicknow
07-26-2018, 02:45 PM
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=146273

didn't work yesterday but worked today in the 4th... #6

I know this one was on turf, but suspect Lukas "wet" is high % (but on dirt) is because of stable at Oaklawn, it rains a lot during the OP winter/spring season here and most of the trainers/jockeys are very good on wet when they go to other tracks.

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 02:47 PM
man... Good prices. Fav didn't fire

I take that back! Terrible prices on the exacta and tri.
Looks like half of Saratoga boxed that race up and down... Glad I sat out now.

Win Payouts were good there

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 02:54 PM
Surprised to see IRAD :5: taking more money than JOSE :4: here in a swap of the morning line...

Rumors abound regarding :5:=live??

Public just likes Rudy enough to bet a long shot below Gary Gullo?


:1a: Ice cold on the board. :1a: is snowing in July like a broken freezer... usually a bad sign


looks like slim pickings to me... I'll sit this one out.

Some better, bettor races ahead 7,8,9 (and perhaps the 6th...)

jay68802
07-26-2018, 02:59 PM
Did not get the base hit, but reached on a error when the favorite runs out, and the place paid more than expected.

Race #5:

Looks like a three horse race so take the longest price and hope.

:1a:

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 03:14 PM
going with the 1A

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:17 PM
:lol: Are the stewards going to disqualify that obvious foul and take :5: down??

lot of angry money if they do that...


You have to take the 5 down when he comes out like that

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:19 PM
Is there any better jockey than Irad at demonstrably showing the whip, while actually herding in the direction that he appears to be whipping away from?

We cry about bunting in the baseball thread... These guys are extremely skillful.

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:21 PM
Have to take 5 below the 4 and place him 3rd.
:1a::4::5:

this is probably too complicated, so don't be surprised if they muck it up

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 03:21 PM
TO me that is a takedown, but I am biased because I have the 1A,

I think the 5 cost the 4 a placing there

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:24 PM
TO me that is a takedown, but I am biased because I have the 1A,

I think the 5 cost the 4 a placing there
:lol::lol:

you got robbed there...

Stewards didn't have the 'tools' to take the wise-guy horse and place him below the horse he fouled. Too much guts to ask, and too much thinking to ask.

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 03:26 PM
:lol::lol:

you got robbed there...

Stewards didn't have the 'tools' to take the wise-guy horse and place him below the horse he fouled. Too much guts to ask, and too much thinking to ask.

Nothing suprises me in New York anymore. I gave up when Slew's Brew was 28-1 and they kept Money Multiplier up when it could not have been anymore obvious of a takedown

jay68802
07-26-2018, 03:43 PM
Race #6:


Double: :1::2::5::6: / :1::2::4::6::8:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:44 PM
This almost looks like a mini-stakes / prep for the :4::2:

i may do a small win-dutch or may just watch... gonna check for workout replays real quick


can't find any. love what i see on paper.

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 03:49 PM
2 dollar exacta box :1::2::5:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 03:53 PM
4 over 2367 DD
$2 WIN ON 2

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 03:56 PM
Just bet the horse you think will make the lead at this point.

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 04:00 PM
Just bet the horse you think will make the lead at this point.

Pretty much. Thought he was dead meat entering the stretch but the rival threw his head...


R7 took a small shot vs the 9mobe , went with 2367 in a small double... hope it comes in, and hope it's 26or7 as the 3 is a bit light

looks like the board is saying if not 9 than 3674...

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 04:03 PM
Pretty much. Thought he was dead meat entering the stretch but the rival threw his head...


R7 took a small shot vs the 9mobe , went with 2367 in a small double... hope it comes in, and hope it's 26or7 as the 3 is a bit light

Good luck. I bet way more than I planned on today. I wanted to bet only 2 races but off turf through me off. Taking a shot on :1: and :7: in the next race and I think thats it for me today unless I cash

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 04:21 PM
Good luck. I bet way more than I planned on today. I wanted to bet only 2 races but off turf through me off. Taking a shot on :1: and :7: in the next race and I think thats it for me today unless I cash

2 dollar exacta :1::7:/ALL

clicknow
07-26-2018, 04:23 PM
bx :8::3::10::6:

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 04:32 PM
So blah. keep this day in mind later in the meet. anybody who ran even is a play next out

clicknow
07-26-2018, 04:35 PM
r8 My play Terrible Day scratched out, only horse worth playing in the is the chalky :2: on top

:2: w :7::5:

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 04:38 PM
Love :5: EYE LUV LULU in the 9th, but there's a question of whether he can run back to that race last time when the Servis barn was nuclear... Made a couple efforts in that race into a hot pace.
Looks like ELL will be a co 2nd/3rd choice only slightly behind the Chad Brown in that 9th race...

8th is a short field, and I have no grand ideas.

Looks like I'll call it a day, unless I see something going @ Del Mar after a nap. :ThmbUp:
Good luck rest of the day

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 04:42 PM
Thinking the :3: can get the lead

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 04:50 PM
10 w :3:

1 dollar pick 3 :2::3:/:8:/ALL

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 05:08 PM
I give up. Now they gain. Not like those fractions were crazy either :puke::pout::rant:

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 05:41 PM
20 w :8: weekend hideaway

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 05:47 PM
Yeah no way this is a takedown. :8: stayed in his lane. Finally got into the speed bias. Amazing. Up nearly 80 now even after all of my losers

Robert Fischer
07-26-2018, 05:53 PM
20 w :8: weekend hideaway

NICE :ThmbUp:

You did better than me. I made 36cents/dollar overall, but was sitting on a Daily Double Philly5 over the 3LongHaul,5LuLu and it came up empty. Glad I didn't throw any money after it trying to hedge.
Thought the 8 and 4 may run in the money, but I didn't have :8: on top.

Nice way to cap off a day.

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 05:57 PM
NICE :ThmbUp:

You did better than me. I made 36cents/dollar overall, but was sitting on a Daily Double Philly5 over the 3LongHaul,5LuLu and it came up empty. Glad I didn't throw any money after it trying to hedge.
Thought the 8 and 4 may run in the money, but I didn't have :8: on top.

Nice way to cap off a day.


Thanks! And Im up 117, almost 40 dollars more than I thought!:8: was my single in the pick 3, I cant believe I could not get one of the speeds home in the 8th... Had an all in the last. Oh well


Im gonna bet the last race, screw it

clicknow
07-26-2018, 05:58 PM
very nice fighting irish....glad that got you up for the day

r10 will try a super

1,5,7,13
WT # 1,4,7,11
WT # 2,4,7,11,13
WT # 1,11,13

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 06:05 PM
very nice fighting irish....glad that got you up for the day

r10 will try a super

1,5,7,13
WT # 1,4,7,11
WT # 2,4,7,11,13
WT # 1,11,13


Thanks brotha, Who do you think makes the lead in this one. Kind of a dumb question because almost everyone is a firster

I originally liked the 6 a lot for turf, but hes scratched, I wouldve absolutely bet her if she was in
Im thinking Johnny will probably be on the lead. Im intrigued by :2: and :5:

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 06:19 PM
10 w :5:

Expect Pletcher to be like 7/5 after all the money comes in

clicknow
07-26-2018, 06:20 PM
Thanks brotha, Who do you think makes the lead in this one. Kind of a dumb question because almost everyone is a firster

I originally liked the 6 a lot for turf, but hes scratched, I wouldve absolutely bet her if she was in
Im thinking Johnny will probably be on the lead. Im intrigued by :2: and :5:


horse i liked was the 10 and scratched so..

darn, missing ONE horse (#4_ in my superfecta. :(

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 06:25 PM
horse i liked was the 10 and scratched so..

darn, missing ONE horse (#4_ in my superfecta. :(

4 was interesting. But I was betting speed. Not suprised the :2: made the lead.
I really liked the 4s first race at Churchill because I know for a fact it was hard to gain there that day. Great race by the horse. I could not bet her though. Not with everything Ive seen today

And as for the 10, sHe may of actually been a pace presence. If he was not a late scratch, who knows

Fightingirish51195
07-26-2018, 06:29 PM
4 was interesting. But I was betting speed. Not suprised the :2: made the lead.
I really liked the 4s first race at Churchill because I know for a fact it was hard to gain there that day. Great race by the horse. I could not bet her though. Not with everything Ive seen today

And as for the 10, sHe may of actually been a pace presence. If he was not a late scratch, who knows

And....... we have an objection. I could see the 1 being put up here