Kentucky Derby Day Contenders / Value Line

[PaceAdvantage]

Kentucky Derby (Race 12)
:7: Justify 3/1
:11: Bolt d'Oro 9/1
:3: Promises Fulfilled 20/1
:10: My Boy Jack 25/1
:6: Good Magic 29/1

Humana Distaff (Race 6)
:8: American Gal 3/1
:1: Finley'sluckycharm 6/1
:5: Lewis Bay 8/1
:4: Skye Diamonds 9/1

Distaff Turf Mile (Race 7)
:1: Madam Dancealot 5/1
:11: La Coronet 10/1
:6: Proctor's Ledge 10/1
:9: On Leave 12/1
:3: Dream Awhile 17/1

Churchill Downs (Race 8)
:2: Chief Cicatriz 7/2
:3: Imperial Hint 5/1
:10: Amesome Slew 9/1

American Turf (Race 9)
:1: Speed Franco 7/1
:16: Tiz Mischief 10/1
:2: Inscom 12/1
:13: Dragon Drew 14/1
:9: Captivating Moon 15/1
:14: Admiralty Pier 16/1
:10: Maraud 17/1

Pat Day Mile (Race 10)
:7: Madison's Luna 7/1
:2: Lombo 8/1
:10: Seahenge 8/1
:14: Greyvitos 8/1
:12: Restoring Hope 11/1
:11: Sporting Chance 18/1

Turf Classic (Race 11)
:5: Channel Maker 5/1
:3: Kurilov 8/1
:2: Shining Copper 10/1
:7: Synchrony 10/1
:8: Editore 14/1

[Michael]

Your line on race 8 seems fairly off imo. You really like the 2 horse that much?

[PaceAdvantage]

Your line on race 8 seems fairly off imo. You really like the 2 horse that much?You win some, you lose some...crap trip for me on this one, but wasn't going to win regardless.

[Michael]

I bet the 1 horse Whitmore. 6/1 just fit my profile. That 8 horse is kind of hard to figure for 2nd.

can respect your stab on the 2. i just couldn't see 7/2. Seemed like a 15% type horse I would have wanted like 10/1

[Michael]

That said I'm not much of a capper for these fast horses. Nickle claimers going 6 panels is more in my wheel house. Easy come, easy go!

[Rex Phinney]

29-1 in Good Magic is a little off IMO.

I’m taking 10-1 on him as a total gift.

Good luck PA

[PaceAdvantage]

I think I just about broke even with my top pick overlays in this thread...:pound:

But then again, Justify ended up at 5/2, but when I bet him, he was 3/1, so it counts.

[Rex Phinney]

I just can’t believe how good a bet the favorite in the derby is turning into.