View Full Version : "Periods Of Rain" - "Up to 1/4" Inch"
TheGarMan
05-05-2018, 06:45 AM
Good morning all,
Not sure what to make of this latest forecast?
UV INDEX - 4 of 10
Sunrise 6:41 am
Sunset 8:37 pm
Periods of rain. High 68F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.
I understand from prior years that the Churchill surface takes water pretty well. So a 1/4" may not be a big deal. I guess we will need to watch the skies pretty closely.
Just in case, who moves up or down your Derby list based on a 1/4" of rain? I believe My Boy Jack likes the wet? Flameaway is 2/2 on an off track?
I assume the undercard will stay on the turf, but again, could be some decisions as the turf could be yielding?
In closing, guess I am just not sure how much (or how little) rain it actually takes to impact the surface.
Depending on timing , things could get interesting.
Late Edit - It seems Justify has won on the off track back on March 11th at SA - Interesting
depalma113
05-05-2018, 06:56 AM
Good morning all,
Not sure what to make of this latest forecast?
UV INDEX - 4 of 10
Sunrise 6:41 am
Sunset 8:37 pm
Periods of rain. High 68F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.
I understand from prior years that the Churchill surface takes water pretty well. So a 1/4" may not be a big deal. I guess we will need to watch the skies pretty closely.
Just in case, who moves up or down your Derby list based on a 1/4" of rain? I believe My Boy Jack likes the wet? Flameaway is 2/2 on an off track?
I assume the undercard will stay on the turf, but again, could be some decisions as the turf could be yielding?
In closing, guess I am just not sure how much (or how little) rain it actually takes to impact the surface.
Depending on timing , things could get interesting.
Late Edit - It seems Justify has won on the off track back on March 11th at SA - Interesting
Looking at the radar, it doesn't look like anything of consequence.
Bennie
05-05-2018, 06:59 AM
Based on thomlinsons for me it would move up Bolt, Justify and Vino as top tier horses and Solomini, Instilled and Enticed as underneath horses. I always include the wet numbers as a factor when I make some of my futures bets because you never know what Mother Nature is going to bring the first Saturday in May.
TheGarMan
05-05-2018, 07:11 AM
Looking at the radar, it doesn't look like anything of consequence.
I hope you are right! Good luck today!
Raider
05-05-2018, 08:26 AM
The forcaste makes sense of My boy Jack going from 30 to 1 to five to one
GMB@BP
05-05-2018, 10:02 AM
if it doesnt rain i would expect an inside track again today.
Bill Cullen
05-05-2018, 02:21 PM
If the track is off, it's Justify, Flameaway, Enticed and My Boy Jack boxed for me
GMB@BP
05-05-2018, 02:24 PM
I think the rain actually has helped even the track out a touch, its still inside but maybe a tad more fair.
TheGarMan
05-05-2018, 03:48 PM
Ugh... This is what I was afraid of..
Looks horrible right now.
GMB@BP
05-05-2018, 04:07 PM
2" more of rain possible...lolz, well, could be an interesting result, where is Mine That Bird
Racetrack Playa
05-05-2018, 04:18 PM
2" more of rain possible...lolz, well, could be an interesting result, where is Mine That Bird
AREA Fifty - one, NM:)
depalma113
05-05-2018, 04:21 PM
Well, the weather people screwed this up.
GMB@BP
05-05-2018, 04:32 PM
LMAO
I think I got this tri......I will buy the board a beer!!!!!
just kidding, what a joke this track is
GMB@BP
05-05-2018, 04:45 PM
Chris Bailey
Verified account
@Kentuckyweather
24m24 minutes ago
More
Breaking: This is now the wettest Kentucky Derby Day on record breaking the old mark of 2.31” in 1918. #kywx #KentuckyDerby
letswastemoney
05-05-2018, 04:48 PM
I'm backwheeling :8: Lone Sailor. I've always believed this is a mud specialist. I just don't think he's good enough to win, even with an improved mud effort.
The downside of not using an ADW. I put my bets in yesterday afternoon.
My lucky number exacta boxes are now my best tickets....
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