PDA

View Full Version : Can We Get 4 Wins From These ML Favs less than 3-1 @AQU!!!


TheOracle
04-18-2018, 12:52 PM
I took a small sample of Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 since March 24th, 2018

Out of 152 races Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 have won at a rate of 30.9%

To maintain 31% at least 4 of the 14 eligible Morning Line Favorites will need to win (three MTO's have scratched)


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-18-2018 1st race 1 Disclude (KY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
2 04-18-2018 1st race 1A Ma Meatloaf (NY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
3 04-18-2018 1st race 4 Midnight Sway (KY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs W A Ward 5/2# Dirt
4 04-18-2018 2nd race 8 Contingent Payment (KY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs G P Gullo 2/1# Dirt
5 04-18-2018 3rd race 5 Radiant Beauty (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 5/2# Turf
6 04-18-2018 3rd race 8 Data Dependent (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile C C Brown 6/5# Turf
7 04-18-2018 3rd race 7 Mo Smart (OH) (MTO) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile T A Pletcher 4/5# Turf
8 04-18-2018 4th race 1 Forward Motion (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Turf
9 04-18-2018 4th race 1A Fast Getaway (NY) (MTO) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Turf
10 04-18-2018 5th race 3 Seeking the Blue (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs C Clement 5/2# Dirt
11 04-18-2018 5th race 6 Camorra (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
12 04-18-2018 6th race 7 Princess Akris (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile M Vera 5/2# Dirt
13 04-18-2018 7th race 4 Cerro (IRE) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs B N Levine 2/1# Dirt
14 04-18-2018 8th race 2 Yummy Bear (NY) Allowance Six Furlongs D G Donk 2/1# Turf
15 04-18-2018 8th race 3 American Guru (KY) Allowance Six Furlongs J A Jerkens 7/5# Turf
16 04-18-2018 8th race 4 Polar Jet (FL) (MTO) Allowance Six Furlongs L Rice 2/5# Turf
17 04-18-2018 9th race 6 Cheyenne Bull (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J Servis 5/2# Turf
I'm thinking these 2 will be among the 4 if after the 5th race there are no more than 2 winners from this group

6th race
#7 Princess Akris

7th race
#4 Cerro

Let's see what happens prior to race 5 today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 12:04 PM
I took a small sample of Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 since March 24th, 2018

Out of 152 races Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 have won at a rate of 30.9%

To maintain 31% at least 4 of the 14 eligible Morning Line Favorites will need to win (three MTO's have scratched)


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-18-2018 1st race 1 Disclude (KY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
2 04-18-2018 1st race 1A Ma Meatloaf (NY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
3 04-18-2018 1st race 4 Midnight Sway (KY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs W A Ward 5/2# Dirt
4 04-18-2018 2nd race 8 Contingent Payment (KY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs G P Gullo 2/1# Dirt
5 04-18-2018 3rd race 5 Radiant Beauty (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 5/2# Turf
6 04-18-2018 3rd race 8 Data Dependent (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile C C Brown 6/5# Turf
7 04-18-2018 3rd race 7 Mo Smart (OH) (MTO) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile T A Pletcher 4/5# Turf
8 04-18-2018 4th race 1 Forward Motion (NY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Turf
9 04-18-2018 4th race 1A Fast Getaway (NY) (MTO) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Turf
10 04-18-2018 5th race 3 Seeking the Blue (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs C Clement 5/2# Dirt
11 04-18-2018 5th race 6 Camorra (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs T A Pletcher 7/5# Dirt
12 04-18-2018 6th race 7 Princess Akris (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile M Vera 5/2# Dirt
13 04-18-2018 7th race 4 Cerro (IRE) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs B N Levine 2/1# Dirt
14 04-18-2018 8th race 2 Yummy Bear (NY) Allowance Six Furlongs D G Donk 2/1# Turf
15 04-18-2018 8th race 3 American Guru (KY) Allowance Six Furlongs J A Jerkens 7/5# Turf
16 04-18-2018 8th race 4 Polar Jet (FL) (MTO) Allowance Six Furlongs L Rice 2/5# Turf
17 04-18-2018 9th race 6 Cheyenne Bull (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles J Servis 5/2# Turf
I'm thinking these 2 will be among the 4 if after the 5th race there are no more than 2 winners from this group

6th race
#7 Princess Akris

7th race
#4 Cerro

Let's see what happens prior to race 5 today at Aqueduct!!!

We got the 4 wins from this group yesterday but only got 1 winner from the two above and Morning Line Favorites are winning at 31% since March 24th!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 01:51 PM
We got the 4 wins from this group yesterday but only got 1 winner from the two above and Morning Line Favorites are winning at 31% since March 24th!!!

There were only 4 winners from the group of Morning Line Favorites yesterday

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaqu.png

The Morning Line Favorites strictly less than 3-1 have now won at a rate of 31% since March 24th, 2018

Let's see if they can maintain that percentage today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 02:00 PM
Let's see how these 12 do today (Threefiveindia has been scratched)


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-19-2018 1st race 1 Social Fan (WV) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 9/5# Dirt
2 04-19-2018 1st race 1A Kitchen Soup (KY) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 9/5# Dirt
3 04-19-2018 1st race 4 Echoes of Laughter (FL) Maiden Special Weight Four And One Half Furlongs W A Ward 5/2# Dirt
4 04-19-2018 2nd race 1 Heyitsnricopalazo (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs J C Englehart 2/1# Dirt
5 04-19-2018 2nd race 3 Regalian (KY) Claiming Six Furlongs C J Englehart 7/5# Dirt
6 04-19-2018 3rd race 2 Just Bling It (KY) Maiden Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs R R Rodriguez 8/5# Dirt
7 04-19-2018 3rd race 5 Golden Vale (KY) Maiden Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs B Tagg 7/5# Dirt
8 04-19-2018 4th race 5 Jcs American Dream (NY) Claiming One Mile L Rice 2/1# Dirt
9 04-19-2018 4th race 7 Doinwhatshelikes (KY) Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
10 04-19-2018 6th race 7 Hashtag Winning (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile T M Beattie 2/1# Dirt
11 04-19-2018 7th race 3 Threefiveindia (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs C C Brown 9/5# Dirt
12 04-19-2018 7th race 6 Life in Shambles (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs S M Asmussen 5/2# Dirt
13 04-19-2018 8th race 12 Tribecca (NY) (MTO) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs G Sciacca 2/1# Turf
http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaqumtn.png

We need 4 wins from this group in order to maintain as close as possible to a 31% win rate for Morning Line Favorites since March 24th, 2018

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 02:15 PM
#3 Regalian has already won the 2nd race today at Aqueduct so maybe 3 more winners are in store for the remaining 8 horses from the above set

I'm thinking in the 7th race #6 Life in Shambles (horse involved with Claiming kickback shenanigans http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=140535&highlight=Shambles) and #12 Tribecca in the 8th race will be among the winners!!!

Let's see what happens after the 5th race today!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 02:24 PM
#3 Regalian has already won the 2nd race today at Aqueduct so maybe 3 more winners are in store for the remaining 8 horses from the above set

I'm thinking in the 7th race #6 Life in Shambles (horse involved with Claiming kickback shenanigans http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=140535&highlight=Shambles) and #12 Tribecca in the 8th race will be among the winners!!!

Let's see what happens after the 5th race today!!!


I didn't realize #12 Tribecca has been scratched

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 02:44 PM
#3 Regalian has already won the 2nd race today at Aqueduct so maybe 3 more winners are in store for the remaining 8 horses from the above set

I'm thinking in the 7th race #6 Life in Shambles (horse involved with Claiming kickback shenanigans http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=140535&highlight=Shambles) and #12 Tribecca in the 8th race will be among the winners!!!

Let's see what happens after the 5th race today!!!

Only 4 horses from the original set left so I don't think there will be 3 more winners today!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 09:35 PM
Only 4 horses from the original set left so I don't think there will be 3 more winners today!!!

The Morning Line Favorites had a rough going today as they went 1 for 10 and they have gone 0 for their last 6

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaquoneforten.png

This brings the overall win percentage to 29.5% since March 24th, 2018

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaqulessthrty.png

There is an average of 14 horses on a card that are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

They will need to go 6 for 14 to bring the overall win percentage to 31% but I doubt that there will be 6 winners from among this group tomorrow

Let's see what happens after tomorrow's 5th race!!!

TheOracle
04-19-2018, 09:43 PM
The Morning Line Favorites had a rough going today as they went 1 for 10 and they have gone 0 for their last 6

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaquoneforten.png

This brings the overall win percentage to 29.5% since March 24th, 2018

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaqulessthrty.png

There is an average of 14 horses on a card that are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

They will need to go 6 for 14 to bring the overall win percentage to 31% but I doubt that there will be 6 winners from among this group tomorrow

Let's see what happens after tomorrow's 5th race!!!

It will be interesting to see if there will be at least 3 winners from among this group prior to race 5 at Aqueduct tomorrow!!!

TheOracle
04-20-2018, 09:53 AM
It will be interesting to see if there will be at least 3 winners from among this group prior to race 5 at Aqueduct tomorrow!!!

The Morning Line Favorites have gone 0 for their last 6 since yesterday at Aqueduct

There are 13 today ( Anna Rae will scratch)

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-20-2018 1st race 5 Ribbonite (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs R G Davis 2/1# Dirt
2 04-20-2018 2nd race 1 Savannah Belle (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles B A Lynch 2/1# Turf
3 04-20-2018 2nd race 3 Talkn Til Midnight (NY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles L Rice 9/5# Turf
4 04-20-2018 2nd race 5 Ultimate Cause (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles M J Maker 5/2# Turf
5 04-20-2018 2nd race 6 Anna Rae (KY) (MTO) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles R R Rodriguez 7/5# Turf
6 04-20-2018 3rd race 4 Proven Reserves (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile C C Brown 5/2# Dirt
7 04-20-2018 3rd race 5 Weather Wiz (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile J A Jerkens 4/5# Dirt
8 04-20-2018 5th race 4 Morning Breez (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs C F Martin 9/5# Dirt
9 04-20-2018 5th race 5 Analyze the Odds (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 2/1# Dirt
10 04-20-2018 6th race 3 Sentry (KY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C R McGaughey III 7/5# Turf
11 04-20-2018 7th race 5 Can You Diggit (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles J A Jerkens 6/5# Dirt
12 04-20-2018 8th race 6 Timeline (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile C C Brown 2/1# Dirt
13 04-20-2018 8th race 7 Sunny Ridge (NJ) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile J Servis 5/2# Dirt
14 04-20-2018 9th race 6 Financial System (KY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C C Brown 2/1# Turf
If they go 6 for 13 today it will bring their overall win percentage to 31% since March 24th, 2018 but I highly doubt that will happen!!!

I am interested in McGaughey's horse on the Turf # 3 Sentry in the 6th race today

His horses have been doing quite well on the Turf so far at Aqueduct!!!

Let's see if he can get this one to the winners circle today!!!

TheOracle
04-20-2018, 09:43 PM
The Morning Line Favorites have gone 0 for their last 6 since yesterday at Aqueduct

There are 13 today ( Anna Rae will scratch)

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-20-2018 1st race 5 Ribbonite (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs R G Davis 2/1# Dirt
2 04-20-2018 2nd race 1 Savannah Belle (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles B A Lynch 2/1# Turf
3 04-20-2018 2nd race 3 Talkn Til Midnight (NY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles L Rice 9/5# Turf
4 04-20-2018 2nd race 5 Ultimate Cause (KY) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles M J Maker 5/2# Turf
5 04-20-2018 2nd race 6 Anna Rae (KY) (MTO) Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles R R Rodriguez 7/5# Turf
6 04-20-2018 3rd race 4 Proven Reserves (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile C C Brown 5/2# Dirt
7 04-20-2018 3rd race 5 Weather Wiz (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile J A Jerkens 4/5# Dirt
8 04-20-2018 5th race 4 Morning Breez (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs C F Martin 9/5# Dirt
9 04-20-2018 5th race 5 Analyze the Odds (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 2/1# Dirt
10 04-20-2018 6th race 3 Sentry (KY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C R McGaughey III 7/5# Turf
11 04-20-2018 7th race 5 Can You Diggit (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles J A Jerkens 6/5# Dirt
12 04-20-2018 8th race 6 Timeline (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile C C Brown 2/1# Dirt
13 04-20-2018 8th race 7 Sunny Ridge (NJ) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile J Servis 5/2# Dirt
14 04-20-2018 9th race 6 Financial System (KY) Maiden Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C C Brown 2/1# Turf
If they go 6 for 13 today it will bring their overall win percentage to 31% since March 24th, 2018 but I highly doubt that will happen!!!

I am interested in McGaughey's horse on the Turf # 3 Sentry in the 6th race today

His horses have been doing quite well on the Turf so far at Aqueduct!!!

Let's see if he can get this one to the winners circle today!!!


Well I never would have believed it would happen but 6 winners actually came from today's Morning Lines less than 3-1 and their overall win percentage is now 31% since March 24th, 2018!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavssixthrtnaqu.png

There was a pick 3 mixed in races 5,6,7 although you would have had to use #4 Morning Breez and #5 Analyze the Odds to get it cashed!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the # 3 Sentry play in the 6th race and was able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
04-21-2018, 08:57 AM
Well I never would have believed it would happen but 6 winners actually came from today's Morning Lines less than 3-1 and their overall win percentage is now 31% since March 24th, 2018!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavssixthrtnaqu.png

There was a pick 3 mixed in races 5,6,7 although you would have had to use #4 Morning Breez and #5 Analyze the Odds to get it cashed!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the # 3 Sentry play in the 6th race and was able to make a profit!!!

In order to maintain a 33% win percentage since April 1st, 2018 the Morning Lines less than 3-1 will need at least 4 winners from among today's set at Aqueduct:


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-21-2018 1st race 2 Hay Field (NY) Allowance One Mile J C Englehart 5/2# Dirt
2 04-21-2018 1st race 4 Pink Twist (NY) Allowance One Mile T A Pletcher 1/2# Dirt
3 04-21-2018 2nd race 2 Catcho En Die (ARG) Claiming One Mile W I Mott 2/1# Turf
4 04-21-2018 2nd race 6 Souperfast (KY) Claiming One Mile R Diodoro 9/5# Turf
5 04-21-2018 3rd race 2 Archaggelos (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles M W Dickinson 5/2# Turf
6 04-21-2018 3rd race 4 Fifty (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles L Rice 9/5# Turf
7 04-21-2018 3rd race 5 Sand Dancer (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles T A Hills 7/5# Turf
8 04-21-2018 4th race 5 Midnight Mission (NY) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 8/5# Dirt
9 04-21-2018 5th race 3 Nominal Dollars (KY) Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
10 04-21-2018 8th race 1 Horoscope (NY) Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
11 04-21-2018 9th race 4 Pure Silver (NY) Stakes Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 5/2# Dirt
12 04-21-2018 10th race 12 Appealing Briefs (NY) Maiden Special Weight One And One Sixteenth Miles J J Toner 5/2# Turf
After such a good day yesterday I don't have any faith that there will be 4 winners to come from this group

Let's see what happens at Aqueduct today!!!

TheOracle
04-22-2018, 11:12 AM
In order to maintain a 33% win percentage since April 1st, 2018 the Morning Lines less than 3-1 will need at least 4 winners from among today's set at Aqueduct:


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-21-2018 1st race 2 Hay Field (NY) Allowance One Mile J C Englehart 5/2# Dirt
2 04-21-2018 1st race 4 Pink Twist (NY) Allowance One Mile T A Pletcher 1/2# Dirt
3 04-21-2018 2nd race 2 Catcho En Die (ARG) Claiming One Mile W I Mott 2/1# Turf
4 04-21-2018 2nd race 6 Souperfast (KY) Claiming One Mile R Diodoro 9/5# Turf
5 04-21-2018 3rd race 2 Archaggelos (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles M W Dickinson 5/2# Turf
6 04-21-2018 3rd race 4 Fifty (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles L Rice 9/5# Turf
7 04-21-2018 3rd race 5 Sand Dancer (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles T A Hills 7/5# Turf
8 04-21-2018 4th race 5 Midnight Mission (NY) Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 8/5# Dirt
9 04-21-2018 5th race 3 Nominal Dollars (KY) Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
10 04-21-2018 8th race 1 Horoscope (NY) Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
11 04-21-2018 9th race 4 Pure Silver (NY) Stakes Six And One Half Furlongs T A Pletcher 5/2# Dirt
12 04-21-2018 10th race 12 Appealing Briefs (NY) Maiden Special Weight One And One Sixteenth Miles J J Toner 5/2# Turf
After such a good day yesterday I don't have any faith that there will be 4 winners to come from this group

Let's see what happens at Aqueduct today!!!

Well we got 4 wins from among this group yesterday which I didn't think would happen!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaquysty.png

This puts the Morning Line Favorites at a 33% win percentage since April 1st, 2018

TheOracle
04-22-2018, 11:13 AM
I suspect there will be only 3 winners from today's group of Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!!


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 04-22-2018 1st race 1 Blessed Silence (FR) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C Clement 5/2# Turf
2 04-22-2018 1st race 4 In the Lee (KY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C R McGaughey III 2/1# Turf
3 04-22-2018 1st race 5 Inflexibility (ON) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles C C Brown 8/5# Turf
4 04-22-2018 2nd race 7 Pursuing Justice (NY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile L Rice 5/2# Dirt
5 04-22-2018 3rd race 3 Diamond Setter (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs M E Casse 5/2# Dirt
6 04-22-2018 4th race 3 Son of Mine (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
7 04-22-2018 4th race 4 Stan the Man (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs J P Terranova II 1/1# Dirt
8 04-22-2018 6th race 4 Way Early (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles G Weaver 5/2# Turf
9 04-22-2018 6th race 8 Speke (NY) (MTO) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Sixteenth Miles T A Pletcher 6/5# Turf
10 04-22-2018 7th race 5 A True Giant (NY) Stakes Six And One Half Furlongs R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
11 04-22-2018 7th race 7 Retonova (NY) Stakes Six And One Half Furlongs C J Englehart 2/1# Dirt
12 04-22-2018 8th race 2 Significant Form (KY) Stakes One And One Sixteenth Miles C C Brown 6/5# Turf
13 04-22-2018 9th race 9 Long Haul Bay (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming Six Furlongs C C Brown 2/1# Dirt
14 04-22-2018 10th race 8 Too Much Data (KY) Maiden Special Weight Six Furlongs A E Goldberg 5/2# Turf
Let's see how they do today!!!

davew
04-23-2018, 09:30 AM
I am curious how you are defining ->

Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1


as it seems you sometimes have 2-3 in a race.

TheOracle
04-23-2018, 09:56 AM
I am curious how you are defining ->

Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1


as it seems you sometimes have 2-3 in a race.

Hey Dave

I’m defining them as 5-2, 2-1, anything ending in 5 (2-5,,,9-5) and also even money or lower (1-1,,,1-9) so I am looking at any one from among this group that can get a win on a daily basis

As you say there are times when there are 2 or 3 in a race if one should win I just keep track of it although it may not lead to a profit but I track it just the same

TheOracle
04-23-2018, 10:16 AM
I am curious how you are defining ->

Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1


as it seems you sometimes have 2-3 in a race.

Hey Dave

I’m defining them as 5-2, 2-1, anything ending in 5 (2-5,,,9-5) and also even money or lower (1-1,,,1-9) so I am looking at any one from among this group that can get a win on a daily basis

As you say there are times when there are 2 or 3 in a race if one should win I just keep track of it although it may not lead to a profit but I track it just the same

So yesterday, from among the group of Morning Lines less than 3-1 on the Aqueduct card, I thought there would only be 3 winners but in fact there were 6 from this group!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mlfavsaqulstday.png

It looks like you would have hit the late pick 3 races 7,8,9 or 8,9,10 and these were singles if you played that way

It probably didn't pay much but you would have cashed out in any case!!!

I am using the word "Favorite" to specify the group of lowest odds and not just the actual lowest odds in a race sorry for any confusion