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Ray2000
02-14-2018, 05:50 AM
bigeast's post made me update my file.
Staying away from the ML top 3 picks is a big part of my selection process.
Track Races Win% ROI
HAR 675 47.7% 0.921
FHLD 660 43.9% 0.820
DD 935 41.6% 0.861
NFLD 2624 41.4% 0.824
MR 1500 41.2% 0.824
HAW 725 40.0% 0.917
PHL 2021 39.4% 0.861
BR 746 39.0% 0.876
STGA 1672 38.3% 0.828
PCD 1577 37.8% 0.854
MEA 2201 37.8% 0.901
PRC 1164 37.7% 0.827
LON 1018 37.4% 0.813
PPK 810 37.4% 0.837
RCR 614 37.3% 1.016
BTVA 714 37.1% 0.816
TGDN 528 36.9% 0.899
YR 2442 36.1% 0.834
M 727 36.0% 0.778
SCD 1002 35.5% 0.859
VD 647 35.2% 0.806
HOP 1772 34.5% 0.763
LEX 286 34.3% 0.699
WDB 682 33.7% 0.882
RIDC 849 33.7% 0.713
CALX 430 33.5% 0.767
GRVR 458 32.8% 0.732
MOH 1099 32.6% 0.807
DTN 1007 32.3% 0.841
MVR 794 32.2% 0.804
FLMD 1125 32.1% 0.701
GEOD 342 31.0% 0.672

The guy at Rosecroft is actually running in the positive on ROI.

sharkey11
02-14-2018, 10:55 AM
wow some of these ml favs almost 50 % win avg. no wonder its so hard to win this sport is like no other in parimutal betting . im sure theres a method that can be used with this knowlage of the ml fav. but finding a longshot would be like climbing mt everest . wonder what rate the top 3 finish in the exata must be huge . thank you ray for this post.an happy wagering :headbanger:

Ray2000
02-14-2018, 01:14 PM
That's right Sharkey

Most Morning Line Makers don't know who's driving and they still get strike rates in the high 30's and 40's.

Easy game for picking Winners, but tough to find value.