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View Full Version : Analysis of ML Favorites @AQU -- AMLFA!!!


TheOracle
01-07-2018, 12:50 PM
Since Rice's ML Favorites less than 3-1 have gone cold let's see who will be the next Trainer to emerge to fill her void in this situation

Let's play particular attention to R Rodriguez's horses when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudec.jpg

His horses have won 4 of their last 6 and all 6 finished no worse than 2nd

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudeclstwk.jpg

I will keep an eye on his barn to see if his horses remain hot when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line!!!

TheOracle
01-08-2018, 10:36 AM
Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin

TheOracle
01-09-2018, 11:26 PM
Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin


Here are the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 for Cannizzo, Gargan, Bond and Nevin on the Dirt from November at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d a cannizzoaqufavsdrt.jpg


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/d garganaqufavsdrt.jpg


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/h j bondaqufavsdrt.jpg


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m nevinaqufavsdrt.jpg

Gargan and Nevin are giving the best return since November and Nevin's horses have not had a loss as a Morning Line Favorite less than 3-1 on the Dirt since November 16th 2017!!!

Let's see how well these 2 do at Aqueduct in 2018 in this situation!!!

TheOracle
01-10-2018, 10:06 AM
Since Rice's ML Favorites less than 3-1 have gone cold let's see who will be the next Trainer to emerge to fill her void in this situation

Let's play particular attention to R Rodriguez's horses when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudec.jpg

His horses have won 4 of their last 6 and all 6 finished no worse than 2nd

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudeclstwk.jpg

I will keep an eye on his barn to see if his horses remain hot when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line!!!

Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin


Provided Aqueduct will actually run some races in 2018, there are 2 Trainers on our list with entries less than 3-1 in the Morning Line slated for tomorrow at Aqueduct:

2nd race Gargan
#2 All Clear

4th race Rodriguez
#4 Frostie Anne

Gargan is looking to win 5 of his last 6 and Rodriguez is looking to win 5 of his last 7 in this situation!!!

Let's hope these 2 can start the year off right with wins in these races!!!

TheOracle
01-12-2018, 09:40 AM
Since Rice's ML Favorites less than 3-1 have gone cold let's see who will be the next Trainer to emerge to fill her void in this situation

Let's play particular attention to R Rodriguez's horses when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudec.jpg

His horses have won 4 of their last 6 and all 6 finished no worse than 2nd

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodaqudeclstwk.jpg

I will keep an eye on his barn to see if his horses remain hot when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line!!!

Rodriguez’s barn has been hot of late when they’re less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at Aqueduct

He has these today:


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-12-2018 1st race 5 Hembree (KY) Starter Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
2 01-12-2018 3rd race 1 Cotton Candy Cutie (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
3 01-12-2018 5th race 1 Bluegrass Prevails (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt


Let’s see if he can get these to the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-12-2018, 08:23 PM
Rodriguez’s barn has been hot of late when they’re less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at Aqueduct

He has these today:


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-12-2018 1st race 5 Hembree (KY) Starter Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
2 01-12-2018 3rd race 1 Cotton Candy Cutie (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One And One Eighth Miles R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
3 01-12-2018 5th race 1 Bluegrass Prevails (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
Let’s see if he can get these to the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

Well we can't seem to get a full days racing in at Aqueduct for 2018!!!

However, for the 2 races that ran Rodriguez's horse #5 Hembree came through and won today only paying $4.90 across the board as it was bet down to almost nothing, what a way to start the year!!!

Beggars can't be choosers so we take what they give us!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-13-2018, 11:21 AM
Looks like I fell asleep on Nevin at Aqueduct

Since December 17th her horses have hit the board 6 straight times including 4 wins

She came through with #8 Skylers Scramjet in the 8th race today at Aqueduct

Let’s keep a sharp eye on her barn for the rest of the season at Aqueduct!!!

At the time of the above post Nevin’s horses were on fire!!!

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-13-2018 1st race 2 Praetereo (KY) Claiming One And One Fourth Miles R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt

6 01-13-2018 5th race 4 My Boy Tate (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt
8 01-13-2018 7th race 8 Shimmering Moon (NY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt




I will be leaning on Rodriguez and Nevin’s horses today!!!

TheOracle
01-13-2018, 08:53 PM
At the time of the above post Nevin’s horses were on fire!!!

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-13-2018 1st race 2 Praetereo (KY) Claiming One And One Fourth Miles R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt

6 01-13-2018 5th race 4 My Boy Tate (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt
8 01-13-2018 7th race 8 Shimmering Moon (NY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt




I will be leaning on Rodriguez and Nevin’s horses today!!!

Rodriguez disappointed us today as his horse was off the board in the 1st race!!!

Nevin had a streak of 5 wins snapped today as #8 Shimmering Moon finished off the board!!!

Nevin did have a winner in the 5th race today as #4 My Boy Tate came through paying $9.60 across the board!!!

I was hoping to get at least 2 wins today between these two!!!

At any rate, congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-13-2018, 11:26 PM
Nevin had 5 wins on the Dirt since December 17th, 2017 including today but they were not a streak of 5

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m nevindecsvtnaqudrt.jpg

It looks like her horses started to respond to a Fast surface on the Dirt at Aqueduct

Let's keep an eye on her barn on a Fast surface at Aqueduct for the remainder of the season!!!

TheOracle
01-14-2018, 10:46 AM
Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin


Bond and Nevin have these Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct

3rd race
#2 Warrior of Light -- Nevin

9th race
#10 Cathy Naz -- Bond

Let's not forget Rodriguez and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova
1st race
#1 Loose -- Rodriguez

2nd race
#4 Pico Chick -- Terranova

Let's see if we can get some wins from these today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-14-2018, 12:16 PM
Should the mini pattern continue for J Servis, then #6 String Section should lose and #5 Driven West should win today as they are both less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/j servisptrnaqudrt.jpg

Let's see if the pattern holds in today's 5th race at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-15-2018, 09:02 AM
Should the mini pattern continue for J Servis, then #6 String Section should lose and #5 Driven West should win today as they are both less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/j servisptrnaqudrt.jpg

Let's see if the pattern holds in today's 5th race at Aqueduct!!!

I was hoping Servis’ second entry would have kept the mini pattern going but #5 Driven West finished 2nd putting an end to a win every other race since April in this situation!!!

Let’s continue to watch his barn for the rest of the season at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-15-2018, 09:11 AM
Bond and Nevin have these Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct

3rd race
#2 Warrior of Light -- Nevin

9th race
#10 Cathy Naz -- Bond

Let's not forget Rodriguez and J P (Terra Squad) Terranova
1st race
#1 Loose -- Rodriguez

2nd race
#4 Pico Chick -- Terranova

Let's see if we can get some wins from these today at Aqueduct!!!

Seems we suffered from an acute case of seconditis yesterday as everyone finished 2nd with the exception of #4 Pico Chick who was scratched and #10 Cathy Naz who won!!!

At any rate, Bond was the only one to come through for us yesterday his horse paid $10.70 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-15-2018, 09:46 AM
Rodriguez let us down yesterday let’s see if he can right the ship today with this Morning Line less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!!

1st race
#3 Sand Shark

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-15-2018, 11:45 PM
Rodriguez let us down yesterday let’s see if he can right the ship today with this Morning Line less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!!

1st race
#3 Sand Shark

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!


Well Rodriguez came through today at Aqueduct with #3 Sand Shark !!!

Since December 21st, 2017 his horses are 9 of 10 hitting the board and all 9 finished no worse than 2nd including 6 wins when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodriguezmllssthraqu.jpg

You are only getting a 17% return per $2 win wager which is a far cry from what Rice was doing during the beginning and middle of December in 2017 but he is the only Trainer picking up the slack since she went cold for Morning Line Favorites!!!

Although it only paid $7.70 across the board we will take it as beggars can't be choosers!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-18-2018, 11:27 AM
Well Rodriguez came through today at Aqueduct with #3 Sand Shark !!!

Since December 21st, 2017 his horses are 9 of 10 hitting the board and all 9 finished no worse than 2nd including 6 wins when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/r rodriguezmllssthraqu.jpg

You are only getting a 17% return per $2 win wager which is a far cry from what Rice was doing during the beginning and middle of December in 2017 but he is the only Trainer picking up the slack since she went cold for Morning Line Favorites!!!

Although it only paid $7.70 across the board we will take it as beggars can't be choosers!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!


Rodriguez has this Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

3rd race
#3 Frostie Anne

Let's see if he can make it 7 wins out of 11 attempts hopefully Dilger's horse will take the money from the public!!!

TheOracle
01-20-2018, 11:00 AM
Rodriguez has this Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

3rd race
#3 Frostie Anne

Let's see if he can make it 7 wins out of 11 attempts hopefully Dilger's horse will take the money from the public!!!

Rodriguez disappointed us with #3 Frostie Anne


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-20-2018 6th race 1 Forge (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
2 01-20-2018 7th race 6 Hammerin Aamer (MD) Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt


Let’s see if he can get these in the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-20-2018, 11:06 AM
Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin

Cannizzo & Nevin have these with Morning Lines less than 3-1


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-20-2018 1st race 5 Love Your Buttons (KY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs D A Cannizzo 5/2# Dirt
2. 01-20-2018 8th race 7 Wonderful Light (KY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs M Nevin 8/5# Dirt


Let’s see if they can get these to the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-20-2018, 09:51 PM
Cannizzo & Nevin have these with Morning Lines less than 3-1


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-20-2018 1st race 5 Love Your Buttons (KY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs D A Cannizzo 5/2# Dirt
2. 01-20-2018 8th race 7 Wonderful Light (KY) Allowance Six And One Half Furlongs M Nevin 8/5# Dirt


Let’s see if they can get these to the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

I expected more from Cannizzo and Nevin today as both of their horses finished 3rd and 2nd respectively

Although these two disappointed today with Morning Lines less than 3-1 we will continue to watch their barns at Aqueduct

TheOracle
01-21-2018, 10:43 AM
Rodriguez disappointed us with #3 Frostie Anne


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-20-2018 6th race 1 Forge (KY) Starter Allowance Six Furlongs R R Rodriguez 5/2# Dirt
2 01-20-2018 7th race 6 Hammerin Aamer (MD) Allowance One Mile R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt


Let’s see if he can get these in the winners circle today at Aqueduct!!!

Although #6 Hammerin Aamer was off the board yesterday for Rodriguez yesterday with #1 Forge paying $10.70 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-21-2018, 10:53 AM
Although #6 Hammerin Aamer was off the board yesterday for Rodriguez yesterday with #1 Forge paying $10.70 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Rodriguez has this Morning Line less than 3-1 at Aqueduct today in the 3rd race


#5 Control Group

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-22-2018, 08:57 AM
Rodriguez has this Morning Line less than 3-1 at Aqueduct today in the 3rd race


#5 Control Group

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!

Rodriguez came through with his Favorite yesterday in the 3rd race at Aqueduct it only paid $7 across the board but beggars can't be choosers so we will take it whenever we can!!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
01-26-2018, 09:33 AM
Let's keep track of these 4 Trainers also when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin

Bond has a Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct:

1st race
#1 Cadeau de Paix

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-26-2018, 11:42 PM
Bond has a Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct:

1st race
#1 Cadeau de Paix

Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!

Bond was off the board with #1 Cadeau de Paix as the Morning Line Favorites took another beat down for the 2nd day in a row at Aqueduct!!!

TheOracle
01-26-2018, 11:59 PM
The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct (MLFAs) have taken a beat down for the past 2 days

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l favsaqubeatdwn.png

They have only won 4 of their last 23 attempts!!!

Hopefully the drought will not last long just have to wait it out until the trend comes back from the slump!!!

It seems the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have not been taking kindly to distances of 1 Mile or better only 6 of 15 have hit the board over the past 2 days for whatever reason in this situation!!!

TheOracle
01-28-2018, 12:03 AM
The Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct (MLFAs) have taken a beat down for the past 2 days

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l favsaqubeatdwn.png

They have only won 4 of their last 23 attempts!!!

Hopefully the drought will not last long just have to wait it out until the trend comes back from the slump!!!

It seems the Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 have not been taking kindly to distances of 1 Mile or better only 6 of 15 have hit the board over the past 2 days for whatever reason in this situation!!!

The Morning Line Favorites at Aqueduct continue to be ice cold!!!

Since January 25th, 2018 they have only won 6 of their last 33 races!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l favsaqucold.png


I don't know what this can be attributed to and I can't recall a beat down of Morning Line Favorites quite like this

The weather is not a factor it has been very warm for January, there has been little to no rain nor have their been heavy winds which Aqueduct is prone to have

So the drought continues, let's see what happens tomorrow but for now the market is down drastically!!!

The average win price is $14.10 for the past 3 days!!!

TheOracle
01-28-2018, 10:57 AM
The Morning Line Favorites at Aqueduct continue to be ice cold!!!

Since January 25th, 2018 they have only won 6 of their last 33 races!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l favsaqucold.png


I don't know what this can be attributed to and I can't recall a beat down of Morning Line Favorites quite like this

The weather is not a factor it has been very warm for January, there has been little to no rain nor have their been heavy winds which Aqueduct is prone to have

So the drought continues, let's see what happens tomorrow but for now the market is down drastically!!!

The average win price is $14.10 for the past 3 days!!!

Rodriguez has these Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-28-2018 2nd race 4 Woundwithhereyes (KY) Claiming Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
2 01-28-2018 3rd race 5 Forever Rising (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 9/5# Dirt
3 01-28-2018 4th race 3 Doinwhatshelikes (KY) Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 7/5# Dirt
4 01-28-2018 7th race 2 Broken Engagement (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 7/5# Dirt
5 01-28-2018 8th race 1 Danyelli (KY) Stakes Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
6 01-28-2018 8th race 6 Strategic Dreams (FL) Stakes Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 1/1# Dirt


Let’s see if he can get us out of this drought!!!

TheOracle
01-28-2018, 08:28 PM
Rodriguez has these Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!

RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-28-2018 2nd race 4 Woundwithhereyes (KY) Claiming Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 6/5# Dirt
2 01-28-2018 3rd race 5 Forever Rising (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 9/5# Dirt
3 01-28-2018 4th race 3 Doinwhatshelikes (KY) Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 7/5# Dirt
4 01-28-2018 7th race 2 Broken Engagement (NY) Allowance Optional Claiming One Mile R R Rodriguez 7/5# Dirt
5 01-28-2018 8th race 1 Danyelli (KY) Stakes Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 2/1# Dirt
6 01-28-2018 8th race 6 Strategic Dreams (FL) Stakes Seven Furlongs R R Rodriguez 1/1# Dirt


Let’s see if he can get us out of this drought!!!

Rodriguez only had 1 winner out of his 6 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct #6 Strategic Dreams came through for the win paying $8.70 across the board!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!