When To Play Rice @AQU -- and when to avoid so far on Blue Chip List!!!

[TheOracle]

Rices' horses overall have not been profitable per $2 win wager or win place and show wager at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceoverallaqunov.png

You are getting a -16% return per $2 win wager and -24% return per $2 wager across the board overall on all of her horses

However, when her horses are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line since opening day at Aqueduct in November they are almost unstoppable!!!

Of her 18 wins 13 are when her Morning Line is less than 3-1!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l rice mllessthraqunov.jpg

You are getting a 26% return per $2 win wager and she has 7 wins in a row on the Dirt since December 7th when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line


Let's keep a watchful eye on her barn when she has a Morning Line entered at less than 3-1 for now she goes on the Blue Chip Trainer List!!!

[TheOracle]

Her Claimers when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line are even more impressive

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsaqu.png

Since November 9 of her last 10 Claimers when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line finished no worse than 2nd!!!

[davew]

How about when she teams up with Ortiz on the reins?

[TheOracle]

How about when she teams up with Ortiz on the reins?

Hey Dave

You bring up a great point unfortunately my jockey data is not where it should be so I haven’t been able to get my hands on jockey/ Trainer combo details but I’m working on it especially for the races they have won together

[Gerard02]

I think she is around 30% or close to it, with Ortiz on board.

[TheOracle]

Rice has these Morning Lines less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct


2nd race
#4 Acquainted

3rd race
#2 Three Eighty Eight -- Claimer

5th race
#1 Do Share


Let's see how she does with these today at the Big A!!!

[davew]

oh my - with Ortiz

*Hot Tnr/Jky combo in last 14 days (14 9-2-1)

[TheOracle]

Rice has these Morning Lines less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct


2nd race
#4 Acquainted

3rd race
#2 Three Eighty Eight -- Claimer

5th race
#1 Do Share


Let's see how she does with these today at the Big A!!!

Well Rice came through with 2 out of 3 today as winners at Aqueduct with Morning Lines less than 3-1

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l ricemlssthraqu.jpg

You got a 59% return on your money today if you played her Morning Lines less than 3-1 as #4 Acquainted and #1 Do Share both won their races#2 Three Eighty Eight disappointed with a 2nd place finish today!!!

I was hoping she would get 5 wins in a row with Claimers less than 3-1 in the Morning Line but it would not happen!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the #4 Acquainted and #1 Do Share both plays and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Overall Rice's horses when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line are giving you a 30% return per $2 win wager since the beginning of November!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceaqumllsstrhovrall.jpg

Her barn is red hot in this situation let's also keep an eye on her Claimers in this situation as 10 of 11 have finished no worse than 2nd at Aqueduct on the Dirt!!!

[TheOracle]

Overall Rice's horses when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line are giving you a 30% return per $2 win wager since the beginning of November!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceaqumllsstrhovrall.jpg

Her barn is red hot in this situation let's also keep an eye on her Claimers in this situation as 10 of 11 have finished no worse than 2nd at Aqueduct on the Dirt!!!

Rice has another Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

4th race
#3 Midnight Disguise

Let’s see if she can get this one in the winners circle today at the Big A!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice has another Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

4th race
#3 Midnight Disguise

Let’s see if she can get this one in the winners circle today at the Big A!!!

Out of 11 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 yesterday at Aqueduct there were only 4 winners and Rice had 2 of them

Let’s see if she can keep pace today!!!

[TheOracle]

Out of 11 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 yesterday at Aqueduct there were only 4 winners and Rice had 2 of them

Let’s see if she can keep pace today!!!

Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 didn't do much yesterday at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml favsaquytdy.jpg

There are 13 today before scratches that make up 22.8% of the entire card

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml favsaqudec.jpg

Let's see what Rice and Rodriguez do today!!!

[atlasaxis]

:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

[TheOracle]

:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

Thanks Atlas

[TheOracle]

Rice has another Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

4th race
#3 Midnight Disguise

Let’s see if she can get this one in the winners circle today at the Big A!!!

Well #3 Midnight Disguise and Rice came through for us again today paying $9.50 across the board!!!

Rice is on a roll when her Morning Line is less than 3-1 on the Dirt

For the month of December her horses have won 12 of their last 16 races when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt and you are getting a 59% return per $2 win wager!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l rice mlfavsaquonroll.jpg

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice has another Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

3rd race
#5 Storm Prophet

Let's see if she can get this one in the winners circle today at the Big A!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice has another Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct!!!

3rd race
#5 Storm Prophet

Let's see if she can get this one in the winners circle today at the Big A!!!

Rice struck again as #5 Storm Prophet came through and won paying $9 across the board!!!

There were only 2 win prices today at Aqueduct paying less than $8 and she had one of the 2 winners!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Only 2 of 12 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 won today at Aqueduct they made up 18.75% of the entire race card!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml favstdyaqu.jpg

Rice had one of the 2 winners today!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice's horses when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt at Aqueduct have been absolutely unstoppable in December!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceaqudec.jpg

They have won 13 of their last 17 for the month of December and 14 of 17 finished no worse than 2nd you are also getting a 62% return per $2 win wager!!!


Since December 7th, when her Morning Lines are less than 3-1 on the Dirt, they have won 11 of their last 12 and you are getting a 93% return per $2 win wager!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceaquplcprly.jpg

Her horses have finished no worse than 2nd in 12 straight races during that time frame!!!

I will calculate the place parlay in another post!!!

[TheOracle]

The place parlay is only $60 since December 7th for Rice with Morning Lines less than 3-1 on the Dirt

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceprlyplcaqu.jpg

Let's see if she can continue the streak!!!

[Arapola]

Hello Mr. Oracle!
Have you ever tracked her at Laurel?
She crushes there too.:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

[TheOracle]

Hello Mr. Oracle!
Have you ever tracked her at Laurel?
She crushes there too.:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

Hey Arapola

No I never knew about her at Laurel I will have to check her out on that track

Thanks for the info

[Arapola]

Thank's a lot.
I look forward to your analysis!
You are always "spot on"!:cool:

[TheOracle]

Thank's a lot.
I look forward to your analysis!
You are always "spot on"!:cool:

Hey Arapola
Thanks

[TheOracle]

The place parlay is only $60 since December 7th for Rice with Morning Lines less than 3-1 on the Dirt

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceprlyplcaqu.jpg

Let's see if she can continue the streak!!!


Rice has a Morning Line less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct on the Dirt:
1st race
#4 Midnight Disguise

Let’s see if she can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!’

[Arapola]

Rice on the dirt @ LRL 1/1/17 to 12/22/17:
sts 58
win 25
pl 7
shw 9
win 43% pl 12% shw 16% IMF 71% ROIR +17%

[davew]

won yesterday $3.8 $3.1 $2.1

today have 7 Daddy's Home in the 7th

[TheOracle]

won yesterday $3.8 $3.1 $2.1

today have 7 Daddy's Home in the 7th

Hey Dave

Rice had a tough day today with her Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct

7th race
#7 Daddys Home

9th race
#3 Forward Motion

She had a 2nd place finish in the 7th and was off the board in the 9th which snaps a streak of 12 in a row finishing no worse than 2nd when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at Aqueduct!!!

I guess all good streaks come to an end at some point but she gave us a great ride!!!

[TheOracle]

Hey Dave

Rice had a tough day today with her Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 at Aqueduct

7th race
#7 Daddys Home

9th race
#3 Forward Motion

She had a 2nd place finish in the 7th and was off the board in the 9th which snaps a streak of 12 in a row finishing no worse than 2nd when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at Aqueduct!!!

I guess all good streaks come to an end at some point but she gave us a great ride!!!

Although Rice let us down last week, her horses when less than 3-1 in the Morning Line on the Dirt have had 14 out of 15 finish no worse than 2nd since December 7th!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceplcprlyendaqu.jpg

The place parlay ended slightly below $135!!!

December 22nd was the first time she had Morning Lines less than 3-1 on the Dirt that were entered without at least one win!!!

Let’s see if she can get another streak going into the new year at Aqueduct!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice has these tomorrow with Morning Lines less than 3-1 at Aqueduct!!!

2nd race
#7 Split Time

8th race
#2 Big Thicket

Let’s see if she can get one of these to win!!!

[TheOracle]

Aqueduct was canceled yesterday

Rice has these Morning Line Favorites on the Dirt today at Aqueduct!!!

2nd race
#1 Spiral Bound

6th race
#4 Tale of Mist

Let’s see if she can get these in the winners circle at the Big A!!!

[TheOracle]

Aqueduct was canceled yesterday

Rice has these Morning Line Favorites on the Dirt today at Aqueduct!!!

2nd race
#1 Spiral Bound

6th race
#4 Tale of Mist

Let’s see if she can get these in the winners circle at the Big A!!!

Rice’s horses were a complete disappointment today with an off the board and a 3rd place finish!!!

Seems her hot streak is over as she has been 0 for her last 4 with Morning Lines less than 3-1

As one streak ends there is another one that is starting so we will continue to watch her barn to see if she can right the ship!!!

[TheOracle]

Rice’s horses were a complete disappointment today with an off the board and a 3rd place finish!!!

Seems her hot streak is over as she has been 0 for her last 4 with Morning Lines less than 3-1

As one streak ends there is another one that is starting so we will continue to watch her barn to see if she can right the ship!!!

Since December 22nd, Rice's Morning Lines less than 3-1 have gone ice cold at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l ricecoldaqu.jpg

She has this Morning Line less than 3-1 in the 4th race today at Aqueduct

4th race
#7 I Miss My Father

Let's see if she can turn things around should Aqueduct not cancel today!!!

[Gerard02]

Ive noticed that Rice does not win, if she is dropping a horse into claimers after a few races. watch her when she does not use Ortiz. She has been using Alvarado and Diaz. Dont know why she wont use Dylan Davis. He's getting hot.

[TheOracle]

Ive noticed that Rice does not win, if she is dropping a horse into claimers after a few races. watch her when she does not use Ortiz. She has been using Alvarado and Diaz. Dont know why she wont use Dylan Davis. He's getting hot.

Hey Gerard

Yeah you make a good point someone else also mentioned that she and Ortiz get much better results

I’ve got to get my jockey data together to look into that and yeah if Davis is hot she should go to Davis you would think

Whatever it is she’s doing I wish she would stop and go back to what was working

[davew]

The problem with so much winning is that after a win, the competition usually gets tougher for the horse as condition requirements/eligibility change.

The most obvious example is a maiden that wins in their first or second lifetime race, can no longer run in maiden races.

[TheOracle]

Since this post Rice's Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 on the Dirt have been 0 for their last 5 at Aqueduct

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceaqucold.jpg

The gravy train is over until she shows signs of life from her Morning Line Favorites

The question is who will be the next L Rice for 2018 at Aqueduct weather permitting?

I have my eye on R Rodriguez's barn!!!

These are the other Trainers that I will be watching when they enter Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1:

D A Cannizzo
D Gargan
H J Bond
M Nevin

[lamboguy]

you should just watch Chris Longshot, he follows hot trainers with big prices

[TheOracle]

you should just watch Chris Longshot, he follows hot trainers with big prices

Hey Lambo

Who is this guy Chris is he on the forum?

[lamboguy]

Chris posts under a longshot thread quite frequently, not today yet

[TheOracle]

Rice has these Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 today at Aqueduct provided there is racing today


RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 01-12-2018 1st race 6 Vilma (KY) Starter Allowance One Mile L Rice 9/5# Dirt
2 01-12-2018 2nd race 1 Cocktail Countess (KY) Maiden Claiming Six And One Half Furlongs L Rice 2/1# Dirt
3 01-12-2018 7th race 5 Acquainted (KY) Starter Allowance Seven Furlongs L Rice 8/5# Dirt
4 01-12-2018 8th race 4 Holiday Disguise (NY) Stakes Seven Furlongs L Rice 5/2# Dirt


Her Morning Lines less than 3-1 have shown no signs of life towards the end of 2017!!!

Let’s see if she can get at least 2 of these to win today and hopefully start to right the ship in the new year at Aqueduct!!!

[davew]

One of her horses tested positive for EHV-1 a couple days ago and sent away for quarantine. Her horses today got scratched.

It may take a few months before her stable gets back to where it recently was.

[TheOracle]

One of her horses tested positive for EHV-1 a couple days ago and sent away for quarantine. Her horses today got scratched.

It may take a few months before her stable gets back to where it recently was.

Wow I didn't know that

Thanks Dave