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wilderness
11-22-2017, 11:51 AM
Ray,
Know that you generally focus on ROI, however do you have any numbers on the frequency of what numbers appear (win) in the exotics?

Ray2000
11-22-2017, 12:48 PM
I'd be surprised if the frequency of the On-top numbers didn't mirror the post positions rank.
I'll check the Exactas to be sure.

My problem has always been finding the underneath number, the one that spoils the ticket :)

My posts here on the Dime supers (1 on-top 5) haven't shown it but I've had good success by constructing the ticket with My Pick on top of the next 2 picks plus best post (if not used as yet on the ticket) and lowest inside post not yet on the ticket.

Here's my run for today, we'll see what happens.
Dayton R2........ 4 / 7,5,9,1,2
Dayton R4........ 4 / 5,2,9,1,3
Dayton R5........ 5 / 6,3,9,2,1
Dayton R6........ 8 / 4,9,5,2,1
Dayton R8........ 1 / 5,9,8,4,6
Dayton R10....... 8 / 4,9,5,2,1
Monticello R7.... 1 / 2,5,7,6,3
Monticello R8.... 6 / 1,2,4,3,5
Northfield R5.... 8 / 1,5,3,2,4
Northfield R10... 7 / 2,1,6,3,4
Batavia R2....... 8 / 1,5,4,3,2
Pompano R3....... 9 / 6,5,2,3,1
Pompano R8....... 6 / 4,5,8,10,2


NFLD, BTVA, and PPK are 20 tickets

wilderness
11-22-2017, 01:08 PM
Ray,
The pools are so small at the southern OH tracks that I'm not posting nothing.
I previously explained that a mere $10 bet too early destroys the odds.
It's even worse in the exotics with early bets.

BTW, had the 4 in today's 1st gotten 3d last week?
I'da had a reordd tri ;)
Don't think he'll fare any better this week, despite leading the field in lifetime earnings (it averages out to less than 1k per start (bad for even NW1kL4).

wilderness
11-22-2017, 01:18 PM
Ray,
I'm simply looking for the post position numbers in exotics.
The underneath numbers at Scioto were impossible for me. Stopped playing there after a couple of weeks.

The underneath numbers will also change with the influx from Hoosier.

Driver stats P&S help with the underneath.

Ray2000
11-22-2017, 04:23 PM
All tracks, 2 year data for post position frequency in Exactas

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Frequency post was the winner
15.5% 14.0% 13.0% 14.7% 15.8% 10.9% 7.5% 4.9% 2.9% 0.8%
Frequency post finished 2nd
15.4% 14.5% 13.5% 13.8% 14.1% 10.8% 8.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0%



In the supers I posted, Pompano Race 8 is 6 / 4,5,8,10,1 not 2, I gotta fix that 10 hole screwing up my code:)

wilderness
11-23-2017, 08:48 AM
thanks Ray