Top Horse Analytics: 09/08/2017 BEL Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Early race picks will be posted in the Race Picks link beow;
- several hours before 1st race post time
- registration required

Race picks will be posted here AND Race Picks link below;
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted in the Race Results link below;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL, GP
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, CD, DMR,GPW, KEE, OP, SA, SAR, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v6.17.08.15a)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

09/08/17, BEL, Race 1, 1.30 ET
6F [Turf] 1.05.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $41,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
(UP TO $7,380 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Foreign Affair [6-1] Castellano J / Martin Carlos F. SFWC
099.3995 :6: Run Blondie Run [7/2] Ortiz J L / Mott William I. JEL
098.4742 :9: Yabba [10-1] Maragh R / Miceli Michael
096.2432 :10: More Than Treasure(b+) [12-1] Franco M / Weaver George
095.7199 1a Julia's Pride [12-1] Lezcano J / Abreu Jorge R.
095.4477 1 Buy for Less [12-1] Bravo J / Jacobson David T
092.5714 7 Banner Wave [15-1] Cancel E / Handal Raymond
*Scratch* 8 Christmas Sky [4-1] Rider TBA / Gullo Gary P.
*Scratch* 4 Conquest Lucknlove [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason
*Scratch* 3 Daddyisdooley [3-1] Arroyo A S / Diodoro Robertino
*Scratch* 2 Daniella [20-1] DeCarlo C P / Morgan Carla L.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 6 Run Blondie Run [7/2] Ortiz J L / Mott William I. JSFL
098.9522 5 Foreign Affair [6-1] Castellano J / Martin Carlos F. EWC
098.9510 9 Yabba [10-1] Maragh R / Miceli Michael
097.4767 1a Julia's Pride [12-1] Lezcano J / Abreu Jorge R.
097.3709 10 More Than Treasure(b+) [12-1] Franco M / Weaver George
095.3783 1 Buy for Less [12-1] Bravo J / Jacobson David T
095.3534 7 Banner Wave [15-1] Cancel E / Handal Raymond
*Scratch* 8 Christmas Sky [4-1] Rider TBA / Gullo Gary P.
*Scratch* 4 Conquest Lucknlove [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason
*Scratch* 3 Daddyisdooley [3-1] Arroyo A S / Diodoro Robertino
*Scratch* 2 Daniella [20-1] DeCarlo C P / Morgan Carla L.

09/08/17, BEL, Race 2, 2.01 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. Claiming Price $16,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Talkn Til Midnight [2-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda TE
099.2073 :7: Desirous [7/2] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny
096.9238 :6: Iwishirish [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Asmussen Steven M. JSFLC
094.7110 :2: Forres Lily [10-1] Franco M / Contessa Gary C.
093.8997 5 Feistyloulabelle [15-1] Reyes L R / Mazza Joseph W. W
092.5174 1a Only One Wish [15-1] Cancel E / Lostritto Joseph A.
092.1089 4 Madame Barbarian [6-1] Arroyo A S / Metivier Richard
*Scratch* 1 Lynnie B(b-) [15-1] Cancel E / Lostritto Joseph A.

09/08/17, BEL, Race 3, 2.32 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.38.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $90,000. Claiming Price $100,000 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred)(Allowance Horses Preferred).
INNER TURF (UP TO $16,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $100,000 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2016
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Kinsley Kisses [5/2] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. JSFWL
098.7414 :4: Penjade (FR) [9/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. TEC
097.4326 :3: Azaelia (FR) [3-1] Ortiz J L / McGaughey III Claude R
096.4515 :1: Enchanteresse (IRE) [8-1] Franco M / Proctor Thomas F.
094.4823 5 Somethingelse [4-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 2 Kinsley Kisses [5/2] Velazquez J R / Pletcher Todd A. JSWL
098.0268 4 Penjade (FR) [9/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. TC
097.4731 3 Azaelia (FR) [3-1] Ortiz J L / McGaughey III Claude R E
095.5883 1 Enchanteresse (IRE) [8-1] Franco M / Proctor Thomas F.
093.3976 5 Somethingelse [4-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe F

09/08/17, BEL, Race 4, 3.04 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Winners Preferred).
(UP TO $7,200 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :2: Shamcat [5/2] Castellano J / Dutrow Anthony W. SE
099.3945 :4: Mister Henry Lee [12-1] Lopez P / Breen Kelly J. W
099.3883 :3: Mascarello [3-1] Ortiz J L / Bond H. James
099.2580 :1: New Jersey John [8-1] Lezcano J / Rice Linda T
098.6627 11 Calculated Risker [6-1] Bravo J / Englehart Jeremiah C. FC
098.3017 9 Heated Verdict [12-1] Franco M / Weaver George
097.6934 10 Nutzforboltz [5-1] Velazquez J R / Schosberg Richard E. J
096.2664 5 Keepingitquiet [10-1] Arroyo A S / Gullo Gary P.
093.8985 7 Scatoga [30-1] Luzzi M J / Goodwin Gabriel
093.2774 8 River Knight [20-1] Reyes L R / Pringle Edmund L
092.8595 12 Dearie [30-1] DeCarlo C P / O'Brien Leo
*Scratch* 6 Facade [8-1] Rider TBA / Ribaudo Robert
*Scratch* 13 Main Road [9/5] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 3 Mascarello [3-1] Ortiz J L / Bond H. James
099.8083 2 Shamcat [5/2] Castellano J / Dutrow Anthony W. S
099.5669 4 Mister Henry Lee [12-1] Lopez P / Breen Kelly J. W
099.1705 1 New Jersey John [8-1] Lezcano J / Rice Linda T
098.9011 9 Heated Verdict [12-1] Franco M / Weaver George
098.3788 10 Nutzforboltz [5-1] Velazquez J R / Schosberg Richard E. J
098.1339 11 Calculated Risker [6-1] Bravo J / Englehart Jeremiah C. FEC
095.7097 5 Keepingitquiet [10-1] Arroyo A S / Gullo Gary P.
093.7102 7 Scatoga [30-1] Luzzi M J / Goodwin Gabriel
092.6232 8 River Knight [20-1] Reyes L R / Pringle Edmund L
092.5394 12 Dearie [30-1] DeCarlo C P / O'Brien Leo
*Scratch* 6 Facade [8-1] Rider TBA / Ribaudo Robert
*Scratch* 13 Main Road [9/5] Ortiz J L / Maker Michael J.

09/08/17, BEL, Race 5, 3.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Velvet Trinni [12-1] Maragh R / Parboo Bisnath L
099.8887 :2: My Roxy Girl [5-1] Lezcano J / Friedman Mitchell E. FE
099.1256 :8: Dats Her [10-1] Carmouche K / Cash Russell J. SW
098.9339 :3: My Lightnin Strike [10-1] Bravo J / Levine Bruce N.
098.3601 6 Lady Camille [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Esler Nicholas J
098.0364 4 Aunt Babe [10-1] Montanez R / Martin Carlos F.
097.6399 10 She's Delightful [12-1] Arroyo A S / Brown Bruce R.
097.5424 9 Flatliner [8-1] Cancel E / Lynch Brian A. T
093.5547 12 Dance for Mon [20-1] Reyes L R / Quiles John N.
092.4930 1 Finlee(b+) [20-1] Luzzi M J / Coffey Marialice
090.9036 11 Reyana Reya Dreams(b-) [30-1] Robles J G / Persaud Randi
*Scratch* 7 Missimpazi [2-1] Maragh R / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 13 Gata's Applause [15-1] Franco M / Kazamias Peter

09/08/17, BEL, Race 6, 4.09 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 CLAIMING. Purse $53,000. Claiming Price $32,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $25,000 orless not considered) (Winners Preferred).
(UP TO $9,540 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Tale of E Dubai [6-1] Franco M / Nevin Michelle WL
098.4154 :6: Power Nap [10-1] Unknown Rider / Arriaga Antonio C
096.4663 :2: Story to Tell [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JTS
095.6395 :1a: Conquest Twister(b+) [5/2] Diaz. Jr. H R / Jacobson David E
095.0320 7 Monte Man [7/2] Maragh R / Summers Chad F
*Scratch* 5 Too Fast to Pass [10-1] Rosario J / Barrera. III Oscar S.
*Scratch* 4 Formal Summation [8-1] Carmouche K / Potts Wayne
*Scratch* 1 Schivarelli [5/2] Juarez N / Jacobson David

09/08/17, BEL, Race 7, 4.41 ET
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $65,000. Claiming Price $40,000 (Allowance Horses Preferred)(Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred).
INNER TURF FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Startwithsilver [3-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
098.4908 :6: Barrier to Entry [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rice Linda J
096.9089 :5: Buffalo Miss [8-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P. EL
096.1738 :8: Eloweasel(b+) [10-1] Maragh R / Kelly Patrick J. W
096.0800 2 Vicki's Dancer [10-1] Lezcano J / Klesaris Steve
095.3830 7 Sister Sophia [5-1] Rosario J / Abreu Jorge R. SC
095.2211 3 Paz the Bourbon [6-1] Castellano J / Hennig Mark A. F
094.6483 1 Special Dividend [20-1] Carmouche K / Englehart Chris J.
093.7825 4 Rockin Alli [15-1] Franco M / Handal Raymond
*Scratch* 9 Acapella [12-1] Velazquez J R / Stidham Michael
*Scratch* 13 Moondance Joy [2-1] Rider TBA / Barker Edward R.
*Scratch* 12 Big Mara [4-1] Franco M / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 11 Andesine [5-1] Rider TBA / Donk David G.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 10 Startwithsilver [3-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda E
098.2738 6 Barrier to Entry [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rice Linda J
097.5127 5 Buffalo Miss [8-1] Cancel E / Terranova. II John P. L
096.3803 8 Eloweasel(b+) [10-1] Maragh R / Kelly Patrick J. W
096.1012 2 Vicki's Dancer [10-1] Lezcano J / Klesaris Steve
095.5106 3 Paz the Bourbon [6-1] Castellano J / Hennig Mark A.
095.1616 7 Sister Sophia [5-1] Rosario J / Abreu Jorge R. C
094.5330 1 Special Dividend [20-1] Carmouche K / Englehart Chris J.
093.5308 4 Rockin Alli [15-1] Franco M / Handal Raymond F
*Scratch* 9 Acapella [12-1] Velazquez J R / Stidham Michael
*Scratch* 13 Moondance Joy [2-1] Rider TBA / Barker Edward R.
*Scratch* 12 Big Mara [4-1] Franco M / Englehart Chris J.
*Scratch* 11 Andesine [5-1] Rider TBA / Donk David G.

09/08/17, BEL, Race 8, 5.13 ET
6F [Turf] 1.05.03 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Noble Freud [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. FW
099.6292 :4: Rubilinda [5/2] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. C
099.2588 :1: Smiling Causeway(b+) [6-1] Lynch F / Delacour Arnaud L
099.1302 :2: Riley's Choice [15-1] Velazquez J R / DePaz Horacio JT
098.5602 9 Adorable Miss [3-1] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A. E
097.8226 6 Epping Forest [5-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe S
097.3549 5 Heavenly Score [8-1] Maragh R / Terranova. II John P.
094.9025 10 Tickled Pink [20-1] Alvarado J / Motion H. Graham
093.9929 3 Boos (FR) [12-1] Franco M / Goldberg Alan E.
*Scratch* 8 Too Much Tip [2-1] Velazquez J R / Ward Wesley A.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 7 Noble Freud [8-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C. W
099.5223 4 Rubilinda [5/2] Ortiz J L / Brown Chad C. C
099.2099 1 Smiling Causeway(b+) [6-1] Lynch F / Delacour Arnaud L
098.9093 2 Riley's Choice [15-1] Velazquez J R / DePaz Horacio JT
098.7037 9 Adorable Miss [3-1] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A. FE
097.8652 6 Epping Forest [5-1] Rosario J / Clement Christophe
097.8058 5 Heavenly Score [8-1] Maragh R / Terranova. II John P. S
095.1076 10 Tickled Pink [20-1] Alvarado J / Motion H. Graham
093.7246 3 Boos (FR) [12-1] Franco M / Goldberg Alan E.
*Scratch* 8 Too Much Tip [2-1] Velazquez J R / Ward Wesley A.

09/08/17, BEL, Race 9, 5.45 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000. Claiming Price $20,000.
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Nicholas and Me [4-1] Lezcano J / Englehart Jeremiah C. TW
098.8409 :3: Beltany(b-) [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Breed. Jr. Ronald JSFEL
098.2767 :8: Thaddeus [5/2] Lopez P / Cannizzo David A.
097.2476 :4: Competitiveness [12-1] Arroyo A S / Gullo Gary P.
094.6349 10 Harlan's Vador (ARG) [8-1] Alvarado J / McPeek Kenneth G.
093.9928 6 Prost [20-1] Carmouche K / Gyarmati Leah
093.3647 9 Buntline Special [20-1] Montanez R / Pugh Peter D.
092.4702 7 Dublin Express [50-1] Howell T / Persaud Randi
090.1235 2 Great Going [20-1] Reyes L R / Quiles John N. C
*Scratch* 5 White Missile [15-1] Franco M / Cannizzo David A.
*Scratch* 11 Fastlanefrontman(b+) [8-1] Cancel E / Dutrow Anthony W.

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

[Augenj]

BEL - 3 wins in 9 races, $8.40 high

THA detailed results have been posted in the Race Results link below.