Top Horse Analytics: 08/21/2017 SAR Picks/Results

[Augenj]

Early race picks will be posted in the Race Picks link beow;
- several hours before 1st race post time
- registration required

Race picks will be posted here;
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted in the Race Results link below;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR, GP. SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, BEL, CD, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, TAM

[Augenj]

TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v6.17.08.15a)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/21/17, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $50,000.
(UP TO $9,000 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 Races (1-5), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: The Berber [7/2] Carmouche K / Contessa Gary C. SFEWLC
097.9962 :9: High Risk Strategy [3-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. T
097.8626 :1: Ever Young [5-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
096.3202 :8: Michael Wonderful [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. J
095.1593 6 Final Blessing [6-1] Maragh R / Summers Chad
095.1038 7 Infinity Squared [10-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe
094.6982 3 Lil Commissioner [15-1] Santana. Jr. R / Kimmel John C.
094.3136 5 Mr. Discretionary [6-1] Leparoux J R / McPeek Kenneth G.
093.1491 2 Ninetyeighttwo [20-1] Lopez P / Schettino Dominick L.

08/21/17, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.45.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: She Remembered [8/5] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C. TFWC
096.1074 :7: Impazible Woman [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Nicks Ralph E. JL
096.0818 :1: Thin Dress [8-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
095.8881 :4: Grand Banks [5/2] Bravo J / Donk David G. S
093.8052 12 Grande Beso [15-1] Lezcano J / Arriaga Antonio
092.3659 10 Prima Attrice [12-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Duggan David P.
092.2305 6 Itsthemoney [15-1] Franco M / Antonucci Jena M.
092.0482 8 Ciao Bella Mia(b-) [20-1] Cancel E / Magnuson Arthur B
092.0050 9 Filly Madison [15-1] Leparoux J R / McPeek Kenneth G. E
089.1930 3 Princess Mikayah [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Grant Gaston
*Scratch* 2 Irish Sweetheart(b-) [4-1] Rider TBA / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 13 Frost Delay(b+) [6-1] Lezcano J / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 11 She'sakittykat [6/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 5 She Remembered [8/5] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C. TFC
099.4676 7 Impazible Woman [5-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Nicks Ralph E. JWL
098.9814 4 Grand Banks [5/2] Bravo J / Donk David G. S
096.7081 1 Thin Dress [8-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
095.6104 6 Itsthemoney [15-1] Franco M / Antonucci Jena M.
095.4286 12 Grande Beso [15-1] Lezcano J / Arriaga Antonio
094.7960 9 Filly Madison [15-1] Leparoux J R / McPeek Kenneth G. E
094.7573 10 Prima Attrice [12-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Duggan David P.
093.7678 8 Ciao Bella Mia(b-) [20-1] Cancel E / Magnuson Arthur B
092.4967 3 Princess Mikayah [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Grant Gaston
*Scratch* 2 Irish Sweetheart(b-) [4-1] Rider TBA / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 13 Frost Delay(b+) [6-1] Lezcano J / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 11 She'sakittykat [6/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason

08/21/17, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000. Claiming Price $14,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Madam Aamoura [7/2] Franco M / Handal Raymond L
099.9939 :3: Marnesia Big Girl [3-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda T
098.9960 :8: Causeway Cutie [12-1] Montanez R / DeLauro Edward J. FW
097.2839 :7: Charis [5/2] Santana. Jr. R / Moquett Ron SC
096.9078 2 Summer of Joy [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Toscano. Jr. John T. JE
096.2504 5 Missy Mouse [5-1] Rosario J / Avila A. C.
096.0525 6 Preziosa [15-1] Saez L / Sciacca Gary
093.7179 1 Over My Head [20-1] Chang T / Morrison John

08/21/17, SAR, Race 4, 2.45 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: This Bird Can Sing [7/2] Saez L / Cox Brad H. TEW
098.4842 :9: Song for the Soul [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Ward Wesley A. JL
095.5412 :2: Starship Rockette [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Zito Nicholas P. FC
095.1136 :6: Sharp Lacey [15-1] Arroyo A S / Contessa Gary C.
094.3430 3 Tres Charmant [2-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
093.3135 8 Give Me Some Candy [12-1] Lopez P / Rogers J. Michael
092.9448 7 The Two Nancy's [20-1] Carmouche K / Contessa Gary C.
091.3769 5 Cetara [15-1] Lezcano A / Serpe Philip M.
090.8728 10 My Jelly Bean [30-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Ubillo Rodrigo A.
089.8184 1 Hay Field [15-1] Reyes L R / Ronen Assaf S
*Scratch* 12 Selling Stones [5-1] Rider TBA / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 11 Galway Girl [30-1] Geroux F / O'Brien Leo
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 9 Song for the Soul [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Ward Wesley A. JL
098.2047 3 Tres Charmant [2-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda
097.8355 2 Starship Rockette [8-1] Santana. Jr. R / Zito Nicholas P. FC
097.2876 4 This Bird Can Sing [7/2] Saez L / Cox Brad H. TE
095.4977 8 Give Me Some Candy [12-1] Lopez P / Rogers J. Michael W
094.8263 5 Cetara [15-1] Lezcano A / Serpe Philip M.
094.7982 1 Hay Field [15-1] Reyes L R / Ronen Assaf S
092.9752 6 Sharp Lacey [15-1] Arroyo A S / Contessa Gary C.
090.7961 10 My Jelly Bean [30-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Ubillo Rodrigo A.
090.2633 7 The Two Nancy's [20-1] Carmouche K / Contessa Gary C.
*Scratch* 12 Selling Stones [5-1] Rider TBA / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 11 Galway Girl [30-1] Geroux F / O'Brien Leo

08/21/17, SAR, Race 5, 3.18 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $62,000. Claiming Price $50,000 (Races Where Entered For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered).
INNER TURF (UP TO $11,160 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: He's Cheeky [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JSFWC
099.3635 :1: Hembree [2-1] Clawson K / Maker Michael J. EL
098.4411 :3: California Swing [6-1] Ortiz J L / Clement Christophe
097.9157 :5: Durango Dan [8-1] Geroux F / Amoss Thomas M.
097.5904 9 Patriot Drive [4-1] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny T
096.0371 6 Ben of the Bridge [12-1] Arroyo A S / Reid. Jr. Robert E.
095.9493 2 Halloween Horror [8-1] Franco M / Terranova. II John P.
092.5087 8 Honorable Jonas [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Jones Eduardo E.
*Scratch* 4 Cinderela El Crome [3-1] Reyes L R / Morrison John
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 7 He's Cheeky [3-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JFC
099.4432 1 Hembree [2-1] Clawson K / Maker Michael J. SEL
099.2712 5 Durango Dan [8-1] Geroux F / Amoss Thomas M.
098.8792 9 Patriot Drive [4-1] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny T
098.5063 3 California Swing [6-1] Ortiz J L / Clement Christophe
096.6152 6 Ben of the Bridge [12-1] Arroyo A S / Reid. Jr. Robert E. W
095.2166 2 Halloween Horror [8-1] Franco M / Terranova. II John P.
093.2576 8 Honorable Jonas [30-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Jones Eduardo E.
*Scratch* 4 Cinderela El Crome [3-1] Reyes L R / Morrison John

08/21/17, SAR, Race 6, 3.51 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $85,000.
(UP TO $17,100 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Run and Go [9/5] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A. TFEWC
097.7843 :4: Knarsdale [9/2] Maragh R / Jerkens James A.
096.8665 :8: (F)Peaceful Passage [6-1] Ortiz J L / McGaughey III Claude R
096.1055 :6: Awestruck [2-1] Bravo J / Arnold. II George R.
095.4949 7 Toby Girl [8-1] Bocachica A / Farrior Anthony JL
094.4938 5 For Honor [12-1] Santana. Jr. R / Weaver George
093.1340 2 Bow Town Cat [20-1] Cancel E / Reynolds Patrick L.
093.0332 1 Aspen Hilltop [20-1] Saez L / Contessa Gary C.

08/21/17, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
1 3/16M [Turf] 1.51.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $75,000. Claiming Price $25,000 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred)(Allowance Horses are Preferred).
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Converge [8/5] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. SE
099.4950 :11: Hidden Vow [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JTC
098.9454 :8: Uncle Sigh [5-1] Ortiz J L / Duggan David P.
098.3526 :2: Vintage Matters [3-1] Velazquez J R / Dickinson Michael W.
096.3453 9 Super Hawk [10-1] Lezcano J / Englehart Chris J.
095.4738 10 Prophet's Cat [20-1] Cancel E / Sciacca Gary WL
095.4261 1 Hoboe [10-1] Franco M / Donk David G. F
095.3325 14 Rooftop View [15-1] Geroux F / Lauer Michael E.
095.2772 3 Birchwood Road [8-1] Leparoux J R / Morley Thomas
092.9924 5 Bushmill Giant [12-1] Saez L / Bush Thomas M.
*Scratch* 6 Helical Spring [30-1] Reyes L R / Torelli Stacy
*Scratch* 4 Incorporate [30-1] Gaffalione T / Brown Bruce R.
*Scratch* 15 Taoiseach [7/2] Rider TBA / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 13 Irish Prayer [20-1] Gaffalione T / Maker Michael J.
*Scratch* 12 Cody's Notes [30-1] Reyes L R / Morrison John
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 7 Converge [8/5] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. TE
099.9030 8 Uncle Sigh [5-1] Ortiz J L / Duggan David P. W
099.6678 11 Hidden Vow [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JFC
098.6342 2 Vintage Matters [3-1] Velazquez J R / Dickinson Michael W. S
097.7891 9 Super Hawk [10-1] Lezcano J / Englehart Chris J.
095.9289 1 Hoboe [10-1] Franco M / Donk David G.
095.2335 5 Bushmill Giant [12-1] Saez L / Bush Thomas M.
094.9479 3 Birchwood Road [8-1] Leparoux J R / Morley Thomas
093.6440 14 Rooftop View [15-1] Geroux F / Lauer Michael E.
093.5881 10 Prophet's Cat [20-1] Cancel E / Sciacca Gary L
*Scratch* 6 Helical Spring [30-1] Reyes L R / Torelli Stacy
*Scratch* 4 Incorporate [30-1] Gaffalione T / Brown Bruce R.
*Scratch* 15 Taoiseach [7/2] Rider TBA / Schettino Dominick L.
*Scratch* 13 Irish Prayer [20-1] Gaffalione T / Maker Michael J.
*Scratch* 12 Cody's Notes [30-1] Reyes L R / Morrison John

08/21/17, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 STAKES. Purse $100,000.
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Diversify [7/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Violette. Jr. Richard JSWL
099.3948 :2: Papa Shot [5/2] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda TFC
097.2305 :1: Governor Malibu [7/2] Rosario J / Clement Christophe E
093.7979 :3: Good Luck Gus [12-1] Lopez P / Jacobson David
*Scratch* 6 Ostrolenka [5-1] Bravo J / Jacobson David
*Scratch* 4 Royal Posse [8-1] Castellano J / Rodriguez Rudy R.

08/21/17, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
1M [Inner Turf] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $51,000. Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden and Claiming races for $35,000 or less not considered).
INNER TURF (UP TO $9,180 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Performance Bonus [5/2] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
098.5013 :10: Tricked Up [4-1] Franco M / Brown Chad C. EC
097.8775 :8: Conquest Sandman [7/2] Velazquez J R / Maker Michael J. S
096.6559 :5: Taste for Talent [8-1] Clawson K / Maker Michael J. L
095.1703 12 Tusk [6-1] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham
094.4593 9 Acoustic [15-1] Rosario J / Rodriguez Rudy R. F
094.3074 3 Bankers Holiday [8-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe
093.9840 4 Semblance of Order [20-1] Santana. Jr. R / Antonucci Jena M. J
092.6378 7 War Stroll [6-1] Arroyo A S / Diodoro Robertino
091.8700 2 Tipsy Kitten [20-1] Geroux F / Rodriguez Rudy R.
*Scratch* 6 Cloud Control [15-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Kimmel John C.
*Scratch* 15 Toohottoevenspeak [6-1] Lezcano J / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 14 Devine Dental [4-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
*Scratch* 13 Goats Town [7/2] Saez L / Lukas D. Wayne
*Scratch* 11 Twenty Four Seven [8-1] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 1 Performance Bonus [5/2] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
099.9186 8 Conquest Sandman [7/2] Velazquez J R / Maker Michael J. W
099.5837 10 Tricked Up [4-1] Franco M / Brown Chad C. EC
097.7875 5 Taste for Talent [8-1] Clawson K / Maker Michael J. SL
097.6469 12 Tusk [6-1] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham
097.3116 3 Bankers Holiday [8-1] Saez L / Sharp Joe
096.4855 2 Tipsy Kitten [20-1] Geroux F / Rodriguez Rudy R.
096.3934 9 Acoustic [15-1] Rosario J / Rodriguez Rudy R. F
096.1452 7 War Stroll [6-1] Arroyo A S / Diodoro Robertino
094.5888 4 Semblance of Order [20-1] Santana. Jr. R / Antonucci Jena M. J
*Scratch* 6 Cloud Control [15-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Kimmel John C.
*Scratch* 15 Toohottoevenspeak [6-1] Lezcano J / Schosberg Richard E.
*Scratch* 14 Devine Dental [4-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
*Scratch* 13 Goats Town [7/2] Saez L / Lukas D. Wayne
*Scratch* 11 Twenty Four Seven [8-1] Carmouche K / Gargan Danny

[Augenj]

END OF PICKS

[Augenj]

Results have been posted for SAR in the Race Results link below.