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View Full Version : Top Horse Analytics: 08/07/2017 SAR Picks/Results

Augenj
08-07-2017, 05:36 AM
Early race picks will be posted in the Race Picks link beow;
- several hours before 1st race post time
- registration required

Race picks will be posted here;
- after late changes have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted in the Race Results link below;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- with THA payoffs (wins, verticals, horizontals) highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR, GP. SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU, BEL, CD, GPW, KEE, OP, SA, TAM
Augenj
08-07-2017, 11:36 AM
TOP HORSE ANALYTICS (v6.17.07.07c)

Race Cancellations (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Today's Scratches And Changes (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)
Full Charts (Equibase) (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (THA) (http://www.vegassportscontrol.net/forum/40-race-results/)

Base Factor FLAGS
C Best Closer
E Best Earnings
F Best Finish
J Best Jockey
L Best Lead Pack
S Best Speed
T Best Trainer
W Best Workouts

horse name(b+) - Blinkers On
horse name(b-) - Blinkers Off

08/07/17, SAR, Race 1, 1.00 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04 CLAIMING. Purse $32,000. Claiming Price $16,000.
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 Races (1-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Caniform [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Asmussen Steven M. JTSFW
096.1104 :1: Shine Bright [15-1] Castrenze A / Motion H. Graham
095.7494 :5: Le Grand Warrior [8-1] Franco M / Buckley Jonathan B. EL
095.7472 :4: Fort Liberty [4-1] Ortiz J L / Nicks Ralph E.
094.7172 2 Hay Listen Up [7/2] Saez L / Lukas D. Wayne
093.6714 6 Rossie Val [6-1] Davis D / Levine Bruce N.
093.1774 7 Open Bar [6-1] Arroyo A S / Adsit Abigail C. C
091.7162 8 Kerry Boy [12-1] Luzzi M J / Goodwin Gabriel

08/07/17, SAR, Race 2, 1.33 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.00.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $45,000. Claiming Price $40,000.
(UP TO $8,100 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Diamond Lil [12-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
099.9836 :1: Liam's World [12-1] Castellano J / Englehart Chris J.
097.4636 :3: Bitterroot [30-1] Gaffalione T / Lerman Roy S. J
096.8588 :12: Emerald Quality(b+) [5-1] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
096.7618 11 Forever Rising [8-1] Reyes L R / Lawrence. II James L. W
096.5208 2 Majestic Mist [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason TL
096.0628 7 Special Risk [5-1] Alvarado J / Rodriguez Rudy R. SEC
095.6323 9 Matinee Babe [9/2] Franco M / Cannizzo David A.
092.5302 4 Daddyisdooley [4-1] Davis D / Bush Thomas M. F
091.8206 5 Communion Money [20-1] Cancel E / Handal Raymond
091.5856 8 Quanique [20-1] Luzzi M J / Metivier Richard
088.6022 10 Shezastraybullet [30-1] Carmouche K / Grant Gaston
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 1 Liam's World [12-1] Castellano J / Englehart Chris J.
099.6509 6 Diamond Lil [12-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.
098.9688 12 Emerald Quality(b+) [5-1] Saez L / Englehart Jeremiah C. S
097.3548 9 Matinee Babe [9/2] Franco M / Cannizzo David A.
097.0801 11 Forever Rising [8-1] Reyes L R / Lawrence. II James L. W
096.6472 4 Daddyisdooley [4-1] Davis D / Bush Thomas M. F
096.6326 7 Special Risk [5-1] Alvarado J / Rodriguez Rudy R. EC
096.0706 3 Bitterroot [30-1] Gaffalione T / Lerman Roy S. J
094.6567 2 Majestic Mist [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason TL
094.2419 5 Communion Money [20-1] Cancel E / Handal Raymond
089.8349 8 Quanique [20-1] Luzzi M J / Metivier Richard
089.5357 10 Shezastraybullet [30-1] Carmouche K / Grant Gaston

08/07/17, SAR, Race 3, 2.06 ET
1 1/2M [Inner Turf] 2.23.01 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $90,000. Claiming Price $62,500 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred)(Allowance Horses Preferred).
INNER TURF (UP TO $16,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Private Client [9/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Proctor Thomas F. SC
099.9400 :3: Grateful [7/2] Franco M / Pletcher Todd A. TFEWL
096.6925 :2: Achnaha (IRE) [9/5] Gaffalione T / Weaver George J
095.5900 :4: Lilly's Dream [6-1] Geroux F / Maker Michael J.
092.9120 5 Queen Blossom (IRE) [2-1] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 3 Grateful [7/2] Franco M / Pletcher Todd A. TFEWL
098.8427 1 Private Client [9/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Proctor Thomas F. SC
096.8088 4 Lilly's Dream [6-1] Geroux F / Maker Michael J.
096.1948 5 Queen Blossom (IRE) [2-1] Ortiz J L / Motion H. Graham
095.5841 2 Achnaha (IRE) [9/5] Gaffalione T / Weaver George J

08/07/17, SAR, Race 4, 2.40 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $50,000. Claiming Price $50,000.
(UP TO $9,000 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) - Pick 6 Races (4-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :7: Likeitlikethat(b-) [5-1] Davis D / Stall. Jr. Albert M. T
097.5274 :3: Mohican [8-1] Ortiz J L / Mott William I. C
097.0646 :9: One More Round [12-1] Luzzi M J / Avila A. C. FEL
096.7664 :8: Javelin(b+) [9/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Rodriguez Rudy R. JS
095.9823 1 Borsa Vento [7/2] Castellano J / Zito Nicholas P. W
093.8894 5 River Deep [6-1] Franco M / Tagg Barclay
093.6767 4 Fastlanefrontman [12-1] Lopez P / Dutrow Anthony W.
093.1830 2 Stan the Man(b+) [15-1] Santana. Jr. R / Terranova. II John P.
*Scratch* 6 Kid From New York [12-1] Saez L / Zito Nicholas P.

08/07/17, SAR, Race 5, 3.14 ET
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.46.03 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000. Claiming Price $12,500.
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), NYRA Bets Pick 5 (.50) Races (5-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Swivel [8-1] Franco M / Englehart Jeremiah C. SC
098.9135 :2: Match Up [4-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Gargan Danny JTWL
097.1914 :1a: Street Heat [5/2] Saez L / Rodriguez Rudy R. FE
097.0005 :1: Castaway [5/2] Lopez P / Nevin Michelle
096.1280 7 Motown Sound [8-1] Reyes L R / Barrera. III Oscar S.
096.0048 4 Branded Hand [3-1] Carmouche K / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 6 Fleetway [8-1] Geroux F / Rivelli Larry
*Scratch* 5 Noble Doss [6-1] Ortiz J L / Englehart Jeremiah C.

08/07/17, SAR, Race 6, 3.48 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLDFOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Collective Effort [3-1] Franco M / Handal Raymond SFEL
099.3813 :2: Barely Impazible [7/2] Castellano J / Brown Chad C. T
098.7623 :3: Unbridled Charge [6-1] Geroux F / Maker Michael J.
098.1533 :1: Ultimateenticement [12-1] Ortiz J L / Violette. Jr. Richard
097.5717 7 Bad Guy [8-1] Gaffalione T / Giglio. Jr. Dominic JWC
096.5035 9 Honor Up [6-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
096.2484 6 Raging Fire [6-1] Arroyo A S / Kimmel John C.
093.7790 5 Banker's Island [20-1] Cancel E / Dilger Michael
093.3435 4 Mr. Hot Rocks(b+) [8-1] Montanez R / Martin Carlos F.
091.3238 8 Wicked Huntsman [20-1] Davis D / Friedman Mitchell E.
*Scratch* 13 Scrutinize [20-1] Maragh R / Williams Andrew O.
*Scratch* 12 Perfectexpectation [12-1] Carmouche K / Maker Michael J.
*Scratch* 11 Lover's Leap [15-1] Diaz. Jr. H R / Iorio. Jr. Sal

08/07/17, SAR, Race 7, 4.24 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $90,000. Claiming Price $62,500 (Non-Starters for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in the last 3 starts preferred)(Allowance Horses Preferred).
(UP TO $16,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $62,500
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Nonna Mela [7/2] Castellano J / Pletcher Todd A. FEC
099.6785 :2: Tejana [5/2] Ortiz J L / McGaughey III Claude R L
099.4730 :3: Improv [9/2] Lezcano J / Arnold. II George R. SW
099.1024 :4: Annie Rocks [8/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Servis Jason JT
095.8381 1 Malibu Stacy [6-1] Franco M / Weaver George

08/07/17, SAR, Race 8, 5.02 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.13.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $75,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Decorator Jenn [5-1] Ortiz J L / Rice Linda JT
098.1063 :5: Bluegrass Jamboree [5/2] Franco M / Baker Charlton SFEC
098.0480 :6: Grassarla [8-1] Maragh R / Englehart Chris J. W
096.6604 :9: Never Hungover [5-1] Saez L / Lukas D. Wayne
095.8365 3 Passporttovictory [12-1] Castellano J / Morley Thomas
095.2649 4 Pachamama [8-1] Davis D / Babcock Edward J.
095.2285 7 Shimmering Moon [7/2] Diaz. Jr. H R / Nevin Michelle L
094.1977 1 Cats Halo [15-1] Carmouche K / Sciacca Gary
*Scratch* 2 Verdant Pastures [12-1] Rosario J / Baker Charlton

08/07/17, SAR, Race 9, 5.40 ET
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.38.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $73,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer FLAGS
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :9: Dream Passage [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Lynch Brian A. L
098.7034 :10: Tiz R Bella [8-1] Ortiz J L / Bond H. James JW
097.3967 :3: Photographer [8-1] DeCarlo C P / Proctor Thomas F.
096.8321 :8: La Moneda [15-1] Castellano J / Walsh Brendan P. T
096.4927 11 Kat O Mine [6-1] Lezcano J / Mott William I.
095.5152 5 Smart and Sassy(b+) [6-1] Davis D / Levine Bruce N. C
093.3174 6 Danielle's Pride [20-1] Alvarado J / Metivier Richard S
093.2210 7 Halcyon [12-1] Lopez P / Bush Thomas M.
093.0917 12 Piquet [4-1] Bravo J / Ribaudo Robert E
092.4520 14 Redemption Queen [12-1] Luzzi M J / Goodwin Gabriel
091.8317 4 Tulips Galore [15-1] Saez L / Bush Thomas M.
090.2947 1 Words of Love [20-1] Cancel E / Sheppard Jonathan E.
089.7115 13 Reconsider It [12-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Hertler John O. F
*Scratch* 2 Here Comes Jody [20-1] Luzzi M J / Morrison John
*Scratch* 1a Catch Your Dreams [20-1] DeCarlo C P / Sheppard Jonathan E.
If Race Is Off Turf
100.0000 9 Dream Passage [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Lynch Brian A. WL
098.2852 8 La Moneda [15-1] Castellano J / Walsh Brendan P. T
098.1705 10 Tiz R Bella [8-1] Ortiz J L / Bond H. James J
096.7293 3 Photographer [8-1] DeCarlo C P / Proctor Thomas F.
096.2888 5 Smart and Sassy(b+) [6-1] Davis D / Levine Bruce N. FC
095.9336 4 Tulips Galore [15-1] Saez L / Bush Thomas M.
095.8545 11 Kat O Mine [6-1] Lezcano J / Mott William I.
095.7882 12 Piquet [4-1] Bravo J / Ribaudo Robert E
095.3029 7 Halcyon [12-1] Lopez P / Bush Thomas M.
094.9725 6 Danielle's Pride [20-1] Alvarado J / Metivier Richard S
093.2855 1 Words of Love [20-1] Cancel E / Sheppard Jonathan E.
092.4925 13 Reconsider It [12-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Hertler John O.
088.2478 14 Redemption Queen [12-1] Luzzi M J / Goodwin Gabriel
*Scratch* 2 Here Comes Jody [20-1] Luzzi M J / Morrison John
*Scratch* 1a Catch Your Dreams [20-1] DeCarlo C P / Sheppard Jonathan E.
Augenj
08-07-2017, 10:22 PM
Results have been posted for SAR in the Race Results link below.