Lemon Drop Husker
08-05-2017, 01:45 AM
Absolutely loaded card at Saratoga this Saturday, and many a race to get excited about. The Whitney will get its deserved love, as will the Test. Big time Maiden races are loaded for bear, and big fields are abound.
And..., then we have the $100K Lure with likely 12 solid entrants.
:1: Projected: Right off the bat we get Brown/Castellano on the likely post time favorite. Always bet in the States, and always in the mix. Has beat some pretty damn good turn horses. Very tough to dismiss.
:2: Takeover Target: The 2nd Brown entry has quietly won over $800K in 14 lifetime races. This will be his maiden race in 2017, and has been working decently. Not great. An obviously tough read.
:3: Zennor: Has won his last two and deserves a chance at better. This just doesn't look like the most opportune spot for him. Could be a bottom filler for exotics.
:4: Our Way: FloGo could make a huge difference for this one, but it would have to be monumental to turn the tide on his overall form. Rolling in off of 2 bullet works at this place. Interesting.
:5: Vorticity: Turf? How is this not an MTO entry? And why in this race? Entry makes absolutely no sense.
:6: Aubenas: Stall has had a really nice, quiet, and solid meet thus far. Now saddles a Frenchie. Need to respect, but hard to include this one on any ticket.
:7: Blacktype: Consistenly overbet, and Rajiv in the irons with his 1 for 24 record thus far in this meet is far from comforting. Tough to exclude from exotics and can certainly win with his best.
:8: Ring Weekend: MONEY BURNER. The love for this horse form bettors simply doesn't match his record. Last 5 races he has been favored, or near favorite, and hit the board a single time. And that was in an $50K OC race last out. PASS.
:9: Mohaymen: MTO. Pass either way. Let his fans wager on him.
:10: Fire Away: Post will be a problem with this one, as he needs to be on or near the lead to have a chance. Shug and Johnny V, but they've teamed up for most of his career. Hard to like.
:11: Camelot Kitten: And yet another Brown entry with Irad in the irons. Horse wins when things go his way. Not sure that happens from this far outside. 5 wins in 11 races against solid company, along with 3 seconds is really tough to overlook though. And a Graded Stakes veteran. However, the Ramseys always seem to make a presence on big race days. This is a big race day.
:12: Macagone: Interesting entry that should press the pace. Needs a perfect trip to get it done. Carmouche has had a couple of nice days at the circus. Can't be dismissed.
:13: Red Rifle: Another MTO that likely won't race. Hasn't won a race since Nixon was President.
SUMMARY: Tough field, but that is expected at Saratoga. Looking to fit the :4: in here somewhere for now.
And..., then we have the $100K Lure with likely 12 solid entrants.
:1: Projected: Right off the bat we get Brown/Castellano on the likely post time favorite. Always bet in the States, and always in the mix. Has beat some pretty damn good turn horses. Very tough to dismiss.
:2: Takeover Target: The 2nd Brown entry has quietly won over $800K in 14 lifetime races. This will be his maiden race in 2017, and has been working decently. Not great. An obviously tough read.
:3: Zennor: Has won his last two and deserves a chance at better. This just doesn't look like the most opportune spot for him. Could be a bottom filler for exotics.
:4: Our Way: FloGo could make a huge difference for this one, but it would have to be monumental to turn the tide on his overall form. Rolling in off of 2 bullet works at this place. Interesting.
:5: Vorticity: Turf? How is this not an MTO entry? And why in this race? Entry makes absolutely no sense.
:6: Aubenas: Stall has had a really nice, quiet, and solid meet thus far. Now saddles a Frenchie. Need to respect, but hard to include this one on any ticket.
:7: Blacktype: Consistenly overbet, and Rajiv in the irons with his 1 for 24 record thus far in this meet is far from comforting. Tough to exclude from exotics and can certainly win with his best.
:8: Ring Weekend: MONEY BURNER. The love for this horse form bettors simply doesn't match his record. Last 5 races he has been favored, or near favorite, and hit the board a single time. And that was in an $50K OC race last out. PASS.
:9: Mohaymen: MTO. Pass either way. Let his fans wager on him.
:10: Fire Away: Post will be a problem with this one, as he needs to be on or near the lead to have a chance. Shug and Johnny V, but they've teamed up for most of his career. Hard to like.
:11: Camelot Kitten: And yet another Brown entry with Irad in the irons. Horse wins when things go his way. Not sure that happens from this far outside. 5 wins in 11 races against solid company, along with 3 seconds is really tough to overlook though. And a Graded Stakes veteran. However, the Ramseys always seem to make a presence on big race days. This is a big race day.
:12: Macagone: Interesting entry that should press the pace. Needs a perfect trip to get it done. Carmouche has had a couple of nice days at the circus. Can't be dismissed.
:13: Red Rifle: Another MTO that likely won't race. Hasn't won a race since Nixon was President.
SUMMARY: Tough field, but that is expected at Saratoga. Looking to fit the :4: in here somewhere for now.