For amusement only

[Ray2000]

I bet 2 races at NFLD yesterday.

Got beat by a $103 winner in R6 and a $145 winner in R11

The chart shows the usual number of long shot winners ($50+) per 500 races in blue.

The number for the most recent 500 races is in red.

Something going on at Northfield?

[tyler522]

Ray could u find which stat has better win% & ROI....Earn/start this year vs earnings last 6 races for Yonkers ? Thanks in advance

[Ray2000]

Ray could u find which stat has better win% & ROI....Earn/start this year vs earnings last 6 races for Yonkers ? Thanks in advance

1232 races at Yonkers 2017 (since 2/1)
572 races had same horse with best L6 earnings and best YTD earnings per start

151 won
26% strike
0.72 roi


660 races had different L6 vs YTD

Last6
132 won
20% strike
0.88 roi

YTD
145 won
22% strike
0.85 roi

[tyler522]

Thank u , u never disappoint.

[Longshot6977]

I bet 2 races at NFLD yesterday.

Got beat by a $103 winner in R6 and a $145 winner in R11

The chart shows the usual number of long shot winners ($50+) per 500 races in blue.

The number for the most recent 500 races is in red.

Something going on at Northfield?

Ray, you never cease to amaze with the graphs you post. This is a very interesting one in which only you would have come up with the idea of tracking >$50 longshots. Great idea!

I don't follow Northfield, but I'll guess there are some new unknown drivers or trainers getting underbet. Or more outside posts are winning and getting underbet, any stats on that idea? And I hate to even bring it up, but could it be more/better "juice" for under-performing horses?

[Ray2000]

Yes LS6977, What caught my eye at Northfield (after getting hit with a double whammy on Jul 24th)
was the sudden jump in longshots over May-Jul 2017 compared to the last 12 months.

I'm pulling the Dr/Tr on these races shown below, and will post anything unusual.

Date Track Race Win
7/24 NFLD 11 144.80
7/24 NFLD 6 103.40
7/22 NFLD 1 85.00
7/19 NFLD 12 55.80
7/15 NFLD 6 58.80
7/12 NFLD 13 142.20
7/12 NFLD 2 105.80
7/10 NFLD 4 94.00
7/4 NFLD 8 77.80
7/3 NFLD 2 131.60
7/3 NFLD 13 46.80
6/28 NFLD 3 52.60
6/26 NFLD 13 98.20
6/21 NFLD 5 61.80
6/20 NFLD 14 49.40
6/20 NFLD 8 90.40
6/19 NFLD 2 57.60
6/12 NFLD 10 159.80
6/12 NFLD 13 72.40
6/12 NFLD 11 67.00
6/10 NFLD 6 105.00
6/10 NFLD 16 53.00
6/7 NFLD 10 114.40
6/5 NFLD 7 68.60
6/5 NFLD 14 91.80
6/5 NFLD 1 58.40
6/3 NFLD 12 117.80
5/31 NFLD 8 58.80
5/31 NFLD 9 46.00
5/28 NFLD 12 69.20