barn32
06-10-2017, 09:37 AM
"James Comey's testimony has moved the needle. While betting on political outcomes is illegal in the U.S., it is legal in the U.K. and Ladbrokes, a major U.K. bookie, is now offering 4/7 odds that Donald Trump will not finish his first term. These odds translate to an implied probability of 64% that Trump will be gone before Jan. 20, 2021. Previously, bettors thought Trump would survive; no longer. Of course, that people thinking that something is going to happen (even if they are wagering real money on it), doesn't mean they can foretell the future, but once public opinion turns against Trump, it could be the beginning of the end. Ladbrokes also gives a probability of 78% that Trump will not be reelected.
Irish bookie Paddy Power puts the chance of impeachment at 56%. Paddy Power doesn't offer a bet involving Trump's resignation. It does, however, allow people to bet on why he will be impeached. The top three reasons are: (1) treason, (2) perjury, and (3) tax evasion. Interestingly enough, obstruction of justice is not in the list (yet). (V)"
Link (http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2017/Senate/Maps/Jun09.html#item-1)
Irish bookie Paddy Power puts the chance of impeachment at 56%. Paddy Power doesn't offer a bet involving Trump's resignation. It does, however, allow people to bet on why he will be impeached. The top three reasons are: (1) treason, (2) perjury, and (3) tax evasion. Interestingly enough, obstruction of justice is not in the list (yet). (V)"
Link (http://http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2017/Senate/Maps/Jun09.html#item-1)