Half pole leaders on the Off-track surface

[Ray2000]

This is the win %s of the horses who hold the lead at the 1/2 mile pole.
Shows the importance of having the lead on the half mile.
But I thought it was strange that the sloppy half mile track hurts the leader.

Cond Mile or 7/8 5/8 mile 1/2 Mile
FT 2631 13188 15218
%Won 33.5% 42.5% 50.1%

Not FT 476 3097 2892
%Won 35.3% 42.0% 47.2%

[Jess Hawsen Arown]

This is the win %s of the horses who hold the lead at the 1/2 mile pole.
Shows the importance of having the lead on the half mile.
But I thought it was strange that the sloppy half mile track hurts the leader.





THAT IS SUPPOSED TO BE A SECRET!!

I learned a loooonnnnnggggg time ago to look for closers on the off track as speed gets overbet. True on ALL SIZE tracks.

[tyler522]

Ray, is there a track that has higher win% & ROI, on class drops & driver upgrades,say from a B driver to one with high UDRS? Thanks in advance

[Ray2000]

Ray, is there a track that has higher win% & ROI, on class drops & driver upgrades,say from a B driver to one with high UDRS? Thanks in advance

Yes, but it's in Sweden :pound:


I'll see what I can find...

[tyler522]

Thanks,

[tyler522]

Congrats on PITT, Champions

[Ray2000]

Congrats on PITT, Champions

:jump::jump:...Took a bit of luck.... WAY TO GO PENNS

The goddess Fortuna has been avoiding me lately...wonder what I did to piss her off.:confused::)


tyler
The search criteria is too strict to find enough starters with those characteristics.
I believe you need at least 500 races for Win% near 20... (95% confidence, +-3.5% margin)
I'm using a class drop of more than 3 Trackmaster points and a driver UDR increase of 100 or more.

... Starts Win% ROI
NFLD 516 27% 0.99
MEA 170 31% 1.03
STGA 142 25% 0.77
PCD 120 18% 0.58
MR 107 24% 0.57
FLMD 103 18% 0.66
MOH 69 16% 0.40
PPK 68 13% 0.38
YR 63 17% 0.50
MVR 59 19% 2.91
HOP 59 19% 0.67
HAW 52 10% 0.21
CALX 52 27% 1.00
WDB 48 21% 1.00
LON 42 10% 0.46
M 39 31% 1.43
RIDC 30 27% 1.04
BR 27 26% 1.33
DD 26 23% 0.87

All 1792 23% 0.87

[tyler522]

Thanks again.