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View Full Version : Knowing when to play L Rice @BEL -- for now!!!


TheOracle
06-04-2017, 10:07 PM
As of April 30th 2015 up to May 19th 2017 LRice's Claimers have won 12 of their last 23 starts when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 at Belmont.

Per $2 win wager you are getting a 34% return so far with her horses in this situation

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceltnthronebel.jpg

Interesting to note that 9 of the 12 wins have come on the Dirt in which case you are getting a 20% return per $2 win wager!!!


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmdrtltnthronebel.jpg

In addition, her horses have won 4 of their last 4 Claiming races on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsovrmledrtbel.jpg

I will be keeping a watchful eye on her Claimers in this situation at Belmont!!

TheOracle
06-30-2017, 12:44 PM
As of April 30th 2015 up to May 19th 2017 LRice's Claimers have won 12 of their last 23 starts when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 at Belmont.

Per $2 win wager you are getting a 34% return so far with her horses in this situation

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceltnthronebel.jpg

Interesting to note that 9 of the 12 wins have come on the Dirt in which case you are getting a 20% return per $2 win wager!!!


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmdrtltnthronebel.jpg

In addition, her horses have won 4 of their last 4 Claiming races on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsovrmledrtbel.jpg

I will be keeping a watchful eye on her Claimers in this situation at Belmont!!


L Rice has this Claimer on the Dirt going at 1 Mile and Morning Line is less than 3-1 today at Belmont

4th race
#3 Going Strong

Let's see if she can get 5 wins in a row going back to September 13, 2015 in this situation!!!

Appy
07-01-2017, 12:35 AM
She had an impressive 21.00 MD winner at 8.5F on the turf in the Bel 9th today, didn't she?
Nice to have a program that ranks trainers for the conditions of today's race. If memory serves she was 2nd ranked for this one, J Ort aboard.

TheOracle
07-01-2017, 12:52 AM
She had an impressive 21.00 MD winner at 8.5F on the turf in the Bel 9th today, didn't she?
Nice to have a program that ranks trainers for the conditions of today's race. If memory serves she was 2nd ranked for this one, J Ort aboard.

Hey Appy,

You are right on the button

If you played all of her horses today to win you made 141% on your money per $2 win wager!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l ricebeltoday.jpg

I wasn't keeping track of her Maiden Claimers I was just looking at her when her horses were less than 3-1 in the Morning Line but the $21 number was a great score if you had it in your list of wagers for the day!!

Nice job if you had that one today!!!

TheOracle
07-01-2017, 01:03 AM
L Rice has this Claimer on the Dirt going at 1 Mile and Morning Line is less than 3-1 today at Belmont

4th race
#3 Going Strong

Let's see if she can get 5 wins in a row going back to September 13, 2015 in this situation!!!

Well we rode the L Rice train and it stopped on a winner today as #3 Going Strong got the win for her which now makes 5 wins in a row for her Claimers on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 at Belmont

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsdrtbelmlovr[IMG]http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsdrtbelmlovr.jpg

She now has 5 back to back wins since September 13, 2015 in this situation if she keeps this up I will have to do a win parlay!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

TheOracle
07-11-2017, 03:25 PM
Well we rode the L Rice train and it stopped on a winner today as #3 Going Strong got the win for her which now makes 5 wins in a row for her Claimers on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better when their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 at Belmont

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsdrtbelmlovr[IMG]http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l riceclmrsdrtbelmlovr.jpg

She now has 5 back to back wins since September 13, 2015 in this situation if she keeps this up I will have to do a win parlay!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

L Rice's horses have been giving a 44% profit per $2 win wager since May 15th, 2014 whenever their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better!!!


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l ricemlfavbeldrt.jpg

Over a Fast surface her horses are 12 for 18 winning at 66% for the above situation including 2 back to back wins!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/l ricemlfavbeldrtfast.jpg

I will definitely be on the watch for her horses whenever their Morning Line has been less than 3-1 on the Dirt going 1 Mile or better for the remainder of the Belmont season!!!

Hopefully she will have 1 or 2 more wins in this situation!!!

AltonKelsey
07-11-2017, 05:56 PM
I see a $19 winner, that might well have been part of a scratched entry.

TheOracle
07-11-2017, 08:33 PM
I see a $19 winner, that might well have been part of a scratched entry.

Hey Alton

Let me check that

It seems to check out according to the chart from Equibase First Bid won and paid $19

http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbPDFChartPlus.cfm?RACE=6&BorP=P&TID=BEL&CTRY=USA&DT=09/17/2014&DAY=D&STYLE=EQB

I don't know how they let a 2/1 Morning Line pay $19

AltonKelsey
07-11-2017, 11:04 PM
Ok, I knew it had to be something as 2-1 ML rarely if ever pay $19 on their own.

Race came off the turf. So clearly the ML was for turf and maybe the horse looked like it couldn't handle dirt. Wrong!

TheOracle
07-11-2017, 11:28 PM
Ok, I knew it had to be something as 2-1 ML rarely if ever pay $19 on their own.

Race came off the turf. So clearly the ML was for turf and maybe the horse looked like it couldn't handle dirt. Wrong!

Hey Alton,

Great catch, yes I guess as it was off the Turf and people got burned going with something else now it makes sense