Novel way to play Pic 3s

[Ray2000]

Playing Pic3s with this format

Each leg will use:

My_pick , Best_Dr , Best_Post , Mo_Line

MOH R4 . 1,3,6,7 / 8,8,6,2 / 5,1,6,10
MOH R5 . 8,8,6,2 / 5,1,6,10 / 6,5,6,8
MOH R6 . 5,1,6,10 / 6,5,6,8 / 5,5,6,7
MOH R7 . 6,5,6,8 / 5,5,6,7 / 10,10,6,1
MOH R8 . 5,5,6,7 / 10,10,6,1 / 1,2,6,3
MOH R9 . 10,10,6,1 / 1,2,6,3 / 5,5,6,8
VD R7 . . 1,1,5,2 / 7,3,5,3 / 7,6,5,4

I haven't coded removal of duplicate numbers in a leg just yet.
I'll see how this goes first, (If all 4 are the same then that leg would be singled)

[Ray2000]

Off to a snoring start!
Lost $225 (paper money)
$36 tickets are too steep for pic3's...I'll drop Mo_Line
Each leg is My pick , Best Dr W% , Best Post W%

Here goes $278..

HOP . R4 . 8,8,5 / 4,9,5 / 5,2,5
HOP . R7 . 2,7,5 / 8,6,5 / 9,4,5
HOP . R12 .6,6,5 / 1,10,5 / 9,7,5
MEA . R3 . 2,8,5 / 1,1,5 / 5,5,5
MEA . R6 . 9,3,5 / 3,5,5 / 6,4,5
MEA . R10 .5,6,5 / 9,4,5 / 5,1,5
MR . .R1 . 4,4,1 / 6,4,1 / 2,8,1
MR . .R2 . 6,4,1 / 2,8,1 / 1,1,1
MR . .R4 . 1,1,1 / 2,6,1 / 2,6,1
MR . .R5 . 2,6,1 / 2,6,1 / 3,4,1
MR . .R6 . 2,6,1 / 3,4,1 / 4,3,1
MR . .R7 . 3,4,1 / 4,3,1 / 1,2,1
NFLD .R6 . 1,9,1 / 6,5,1 / 3,6,1
NFLD .R9 . 5,5,1 / 8,8,1 / 2,2,1
NFLD .R12 .4,5,1 / 1,2,1 / 1,2,1
PCD . R3 . 1,6,4 / 3,3,4 / 4,2,4
RCR . R4 . 9,3,5 / 2,7,5 / 2,6,5

[Ray2000]

Yesterday terrible, almost lost it all.

So making another change...
Each leg will be My pick + Top Dr in the race (Win%)
If my pick is the top driver then single that leg.

BR . .R9 . 3,2 / 4,1 / 8,7

HOP . R4 . 2,1 / 7,8 / 4,8
HOP . R7 . 7,4 / 6,5 / 1,6
HOP . R12 . 3,3 / 8,10 / 3,5

MEA . R3 . 9,5 / 4,5 / 10,5
MEA . R6 . 5,4 / 8,9 / 1,6
MEA . R10 . 3,8 / 1,2 / 2,4

MR . .R1 . 1,4 / 4,6 / 4,2
MR . .R2 . 4,6 / 4,2 / 1,1
MR . .R4 . 1,1 / 5,2 / 2,3
MR . .R5 . 5,2 / 2,3 / 1,6
MR . .R6 . 2,3 / 1,6 / 5,2
MR . .R7 . 1,6 / 5,2 / 5,1

NFLD .R6 . 2,9 / 1,6 / 1,9
NFLD .R9 . 5,5 / 5,5 / 8,1
NFLD .R12 . 2,7 / 7,2 / 1,6

PHL . R11 . 4,2 / 4,4 / 6,6

RCR . R4 . 6,7 / 4,2 / 4,1

Cost $126

[JBmadera]

GL Ray!

[tyler522]

Ray,(this post below was from 6/14) can u update these stats , for 2016-17...& include Yonkers separately ? Thanks again



For me the Morning Line Rank (I really don't care about the actual value) is the single most important impact value of all the factors I use.

Since Jan 2012 the bot has come up with a selection in 30955 races,

of that group 23,350 were either the Moline's 1st or 2nd choice
betting those gives a ROI% of -7.5%

but when bot's pick is 3rd ranked (or higher lower?) in the Moline, 7,605 races
betting those gives a ROI% of +3.6%

The graph shows betting those picks sorted on Morning Line Rank.

[Ray2000]

tyler
The referenced data, http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=113996&highlight=30955&page=2
is for My picks when they are the Morning Line Rank 1 thru 6

These are NOT the Morning Line picks. I don't have what the Morning Line Rank 'x' pick did unless it was my pick.
Generally speaking the ML picks shown by rank would be similar.

[tyler522]

Thanks