View Full Version : Always Dreaming is an overlay
dilanesp
05-20-2017, 06:05 PM
I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.
I think he has just as much chance of finishing off the board as winning.
Thomas Roulston
05-20-2017, 06:24 PM
And Classic Empire is an underlay - and didn't Looking at Lee finish ahead of Classic Empire in the Derby?
DeltaLover
05-20-2017, 06:28 PM
I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.
It seems that the trouble that CE faced is inflating he price of AD. I agree that AD is certainly an overlay.
thaskalos
05-20-2017, 06:37 PM
The 7-5 on the :4: is very uncertain. Cratos and his associates haven't bet their $200,000 yet.
no breathalyzer
05-20-2017, 06:42 PM
:1:Multiplier is the overlay here
:1:Multiplier is the overlay here
If he wins I will hereby refer to you only as "The Great One".
dilanesp
05-20-2017, 06:45 PM
:1:Multiplier is the overlay here
Hedge Fund did not flatter him.
PaceAdvantage
05-20-2017, 06:59 PM
I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.I had him at 6-5 on my line, so no, he wasn't an overlay...he was dead on fairly priced IMO...thus no bet...
I bet on Lookin At Lee...the real overlay...but I'm lookin at mothballs...
Chad Brown at 14-1.
Now THAT is an overlay!
:headbanger::headbanger::headbanger:
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