Big M, Friday 5/19

[Ray2000]

The USTA doesn't publish ROIs, (maybe they don't believe in gambling):)
but I thought these ROIs with most starts for the BigM are interesting for 2017.

*Positive Returns

Drivers Starts W% ROI%
Marohn J 380 17% *9%
Callahan 338 17% -32%
Bongiorno 323 11% -52%
Miller, B 300 21% -25%

Trainers
Burke, Ron 166 17% -9%
Harmon, Patty 131 15% -1%
Russo, Mike 109 9% -51%
Dane, Rick 92 12% -30%
Foster, Eric 90 18% *12%


So if I bet these, I should make money. Right?:D
Marohn Drives tonight
R1 #3 (15/1)
R2 #2 (15/1)
R7 #3 (5/1)
R10 #7 (15/1)
R12 #7 (15/1)

Foster Trains (tomorrow)
R5 #4 (8/1)
R9 #6 (6/1)
R12 #10 (15/1)

GLA

[Jess Hawsen Arown]

The USTA doesn't publish ROIs, (maybe they don't believe in gambling):)
but I thought these ROIs with most starts for the BigM are interesting for 2017.

*Positive Returns

Drivers Starts W% ROI%
Marohn J 380 17% *9%
Callahan 338 17% -32%
Bongiorno 323 11% -52%
Miller, B 300 21% -25%

Trainers
Burke, Ron 166 17% -9%
Harmon, Patty 131 15% -1%
Russo, Mike 109 9% -51%
Dane, Rick 92 12% -30%
Foster, Eric 90 18% *12%


So if I bet these, I should make money. Right?:D
Marohn Drives tonight
R1 #3 (15/1)
R2 #2 (15/1)
R7 #3 (5/1)
R10 #7 (15/1)
R12 #7 (15/1)

Foster Trains (tomorrow)
R5 #4 (8/1)
R9 #6 (6/1)
R12 #10 (15/1)

GLA

R1 - You are clearly ignoring the trainer with that selection. However, the odds should be astronomical and the likely contenders, 1,2,5 all have been known to do the their Jumping Frogs of Calaveras County routine. I'm tempted with #6 Evelyn as Ake has been hot recently. But will avoid Takter's Feed Your Head who will be overbet.
R2 - I must admit that with these kinds of selections, you don't have to hit many.
R7 - I hit this one last week at 13-1, Not impossible here. I'm leaning to Appomattox here.
R10- This one is also a plus driver change from Tony Dinges. He was a late toss for me. A more interesting longshot is Designated Drinker with Chris Lems. Check your ROI on Lems at M1 last year.
R11- I was going to make a wise-ass comment about you being the only one betting the 12th race, but I make way too many typos to have an attitude. I don't think Full Explosion has much of a chance in the 11th. The fave (#1) should be too good. Possible surprises are Galarina #6 at 8-1 and the possibility of a mega-bomb with Jenjen's Dragon #9 at 20-1. Why does JJD have a prayer? She struggled on the turns at Freehold.

As for your Jimmy Marohn, Jr. theory, the numbers lie. Why? Because he piled up his tremendous winning percentage while the likes of Gingras and Dave Miller and Tim Tetrick were not around. Jimmy is nice young driver who is on the improve, but he cannot win at his previous high percentage while the boys are back in town.

Good luck, tonight -- and don't forget Celebrity Ruth in the 9th.

[Ray2000]

I should have said I'm not betting these...only posted them as a laugh ":D" in order to show some strange positive ROIs on Jim and Eric. That won't last long.

GL, Jess


....This is a Hockey night for me...GO PENS