Belmont Gap Analysis -- Morning Line 2/1's winless in last 12 on Dirt !!!

[TheOracle]

I have been starting to look at the gaps between wins for certain Morning Line Favorites and came across the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year

The Morning Line 2/1's have been 0 for their last 12 attempts on the Dirt at Belmont since October 22nd 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrt.jpg

The streak is currently 12 races in a row with no wins

Let's see if that ends today with this Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt:

3rd race
#3 Tale of Silence

Let's see if the streak stops for opening day at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

I have been starting to look at the gaps between wins for certain Morning Line Favorites and came across the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year

The Morning Line 2/1's have been 0 for their last 12 attempts on the Dirt at Belmont since October 22nd 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrt.jpg

The streak is currently 12 races in a row with no wins

Let's see if that ends today with this Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt:

3rd race
#3 Tale of Silence

Let's see if the streak stops for opening day at Belmont!!!


Well it just goes to show we can't be wrong all the time.

We finally got one right as #3 Tale of Silence won the 3rd race at Belmont today paying $13 across the board per $2 win place and show wager!!!

Hopefully a nice streak of wins will come next for the Morning Line 2/1's after going 0 for 12!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Well it just goes to show we can't be wrong all the time.

We finally got one right as #3 Tale of Silence won the 3rd race at Belmont today paying $13 across the board per $2 win place and show wager!!!

Hopefully a nice streak of wins will come next for the Morning Line 2/1's after going 0 for 12!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!


Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get a win streak going there are 2 listed today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

3rd race
#5 Ackeret

5th race
#2 Hard Study


Let's see if one or both of these can get a win today at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get a win streak going there are 2 listed today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

3rd race
#5 Ackeret

5th race
#2 Hard Study


Let's see if one or both of these can get a win today at Belmont!!!



Well we were only half right today but, as I always say, sometimes you just have to take what they give you

Since yesterday the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt have yielded a profit of 84% per $2 win wager

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtmain.jpg


Although #5 Ackeret was off the board, #2 Hard Study came through for the win and paid $10.10 across the board!!!

I am looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

I have come across more gaps regarding the 2/1 Morning Lines on the Dirt at Belmont towards the end of the season last year

The Morning Line 2/1's are 0 for their last 8 in Maiden races on the Dirt since October 10th 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelmdndrt.jpg

Hopefully a nice streak of wins will emerge for the Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races

I will pay special attention to this situation especially when it comes to Maiden Claimers!!!

[TheOracle]

Well we were only half right today but, as I always say, sometimes you just have to take what they give you

Since yesterday the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt have yielded a profit of 84% per $2 win wager

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtmain.jpg


Although #5 Ackeret was off the board, #2 Hard Study came through for the win and paid $10.10 across the board!!!

I am looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can keep it going today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!


There is a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race
1st race
#4 Diversify


Let's see if #4 Diversify can make it back to back wins for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt!!!

[TheOracle]

Let see if the Morning Line 2/1's can keep it going today on the Dirt at Belmont!!!


There is a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race
1st race
#4 Diversify


Let's see if #4 Diversify can make it back to back wins for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt!!!


Well we didn't get back to back wins which I was hoping to happen as #4 Diversify finished 2nd in the 1st race today at Belmont

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtapr.jpg

This brings the return on the win profit down to 38% but I am hopeful that the next attempt will result in a win as the pattern has started to be a win in every other race

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get the win in the next attempt on the Dirt at Belmont

I was looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts but now I don't think that will happen!!!

[TheOracle]

Well we didn't get back to back wins which I was hoping to happen as #4 Diversify finished 2nd in the 1st race today at Belmont

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtapr.jpg

This brings the return on the win profit down to 38% but I am hopeful that the next attempt will result in a win as the pattern has started to be a win in every other race

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get the win in the next attempt on the Dirt at Belmont

I was looking for 2 more wins within the next 4 attempts but now I don't think that will happen!!!

The 2 wins will have to combine for more than an $8 win payout within the 4 attempts per $2 win wager

[TheOracle]

The 2 wins will have to combine for more than an $8 win payout within the 4 attempts per $2 win wager

I missed posting these 2 Morning Line 2/1s today


Race 2
5
Kohlhase



Race 8
5
Gypsum Johnny

Let's see if one of these can get the win for today at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

I missed posting these 2 Morning Line 2/1s today


Race 2
5
Kohlhase



Race 8
5
Gypsum Johnny

Let's see if one of these can get the win for today at Belmont!!!

Well I was hoping for back to back wins today but that just wasn't the case as #5 Kohlhase finished 2nd in the 2nd race today at Belmont

However, #5 Gypsum Johnny came through with the win today and paid $11.40 across the board!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtmay.jpg

If you stuck with playing the Morning Line 2/1s since opening day on the Dirt you are getting a 37% return so far on your money per $2 win wager!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and was able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Well I was hoping for back to back wins today but that just wasn't the case as #5 Kohlhase finished 2nd in the 2nd race today at Belmont

However, #5 Gypsum Johnny came through with the win today and paid $11.40 across the board!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtmay.jpg

If you stuck with playing the Morning Line 2/1s since opening day on the Dirt you are getting a 37% return so far on your money per $2 win wager!!

Congratulations to those who saw the play and was able to make a profit!!!



These Morning Line 2/1's are available on the Dirt after scratches today at Belmon

4th race
#6 Tickled Pink

6th race
#1 Bustin It

8th race
#2 Shes So Fine


Right now the across the board percentage for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt is right at 50% will jump off of the 2/1 train when the win place and show percentage starts to get near 30% then wait for another winless streak at around 4 to 5 in a row


Let's see what these do today!!!

[TheOracle]

These Morning Line 2/1's are available on the Dirt after scratches today at Belmon

4th race
#6 Tickled Pink

6th race
#1 Bustin It

8th race
#2 Shes So Fine


Right now the across the board percentage for the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt is right at 50% will jump off of the 2/1 train when the win place and show percentage starts to get near 30% then wait for another winless streak at around 4 to 5 in a row


Let's see what these do today!!!



Well the only winner for the day was #1 Bustin It and with today's losses it really ate into the profits from opening day

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtsofar.png

However, I will still keep an eye on the Morning Line 2/1's since their win percentage is still over 30% once it falls below that it is time to move on to another streak

Unbelievable how #6 Tickled Pink lost in a 3 horse race

*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink

Congratulations to those who saw the #1 Bustin It play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Prior to today the Morning Line 5/2's on the Dirt over a wet surface had been winless in 8 starts and I saw that the streak had extended to 9 losses in a row as of today's 8th race.


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml fivetwobelwet.jpg


Finally, there was a break through in the 9th race with a win by #14 Vilma in the 9th race


I will watch the Morning Line 5/2's over the next few days as there has been substantial rain fall in the New York area.

Hopefully there will be win streaks coming through for the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation!!!

[TheOracle]

Prior to today the Morning Line 5/2's on the Dirt over a wet surface had been winless in 8 starts and I saw that the streak had extended to 9 losses in a row as of today's 8th race.


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml fivetwobelwet.jpg


Finally, there was a break through in the 9th race with a win by #14 Vilma in the 9th race


I will watch the Morning Line 5/2's over the next few days as there has been substantial rain fall in the New York area.

Hopefully there will be win streaks coming through for the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation!!!



Let's see if these Morning Line 5/2's will come through with some wins today as the track is listed as Muddy for Belmont

3rd race off Turf
#9 Broken Engagement

5th race
#6 Sweetrayofsunshine

8th race
#7 Lucky Lotto

9th race
#1 Beckers Galaxy

Let's see what happens!!!

[TheOracle]

Let's see if these Morning Line 5/2's will come through with some wins today as the track is listed as Muddy for Belmont

3rd race off Turf
#9 Broken Engagement

5th race
#6 Sweetrayofsunshine

8th race
#7 Lucky Lotto

9th race
#1 Beckers Galaxy

Let's see what happens!!!


Well we had 2 wins and a place finish with the Morning Line 5/2's today on the Dirt

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l fivetwowetbel.jpg


Both #9 Broken Engagement and #6 Sweetrayofsunshine won their respective races!!!

It would have been nice if #1 Beckers Galaxy could have also gotten a win but it was not the case today

You got a 58% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 5/2's over the wet surface today at Belmont not too shabby!!!

Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

As of yesterday the Morning Line 5/2's have won 3 of their last 6 races over a wet surface at Belmont after a gap of 9 races in a row without a win going back to October 23rd 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/m l fivetwowetbelmay.jpg

I will continue to keep track of the gaps between wins regarding the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation

Once the win percentage hovers at close to 30% I will do like Kramer and ....sell sell sell.... and get off of the train before it drowns me hopefully leaving with a profit

[TheOracle]

Well the only winner for the day was #1 Bustin It and with today's losses it really ate into the profits from opening day

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtsofar.png

However, I will still keep an eye on the Morning Line 2/1's since their win percentage is still over 30% once it falls below that it is time to move on to another streak

Unbelievable how #6 Tickled Pink lost in a 3 horse race

*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink

Congratulations to those who saw the #1 Bustin It play and were able to make a profit!!!


We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtaprmay.jpg

So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!

[TheOracle]

We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtaprmay.jpg

So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!

Correction 1 out of 2 losses today would put the Morning Line win percentage at 41%

However 2 losses will put the win percentage at 33% in which case we abandon ship

[TheOracle]

We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtaprmay.jpg

So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!



My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtwptrnd.jpg

It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

[TheOracle]

My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtwptrnd.jpg

It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink there was no payout for 2nd place on that day

[TheOracle]

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnbel.jpg

I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

[TheOracle]

My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbeldrtwptrnd.jpg

It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

There is another Morning Line 2/1 listed in the first race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#1 Saratoga Mischief

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get close to a 50% win percentage with a win today!!!

A loss today would put the win percentage at 38% at which point I will abandon ship with this situation until I see a gap of 4 or more losses between wins!!!

[TheOracle]

There is another Morning Line 2/1 listed in the first race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#1 Saratoga Mischief

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get close to a 50% win percentage with a win today!!!

A loss today would put the win percentage at 38% at which point I will abandon ship with this situation until I see a gap of 4 or more losses between wins!!!

Well we got another one right today as #1 Saratoga Mischief came through today with the win to keep the win percentage over 40%

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonebeldrt.jpg

So the Morning Line 2/1's have been profitable since opening day at Belmont but back to back wins have been elusive and in looking at the pattern the next Morning Line 2/1 will lose

As of now, you are getting a 35% return per $2 win wager and 11 of 13 have finished no worse than 2nd

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Well we got another one right today as #1 Saratoga Mischief came through today with the win to keep the win percentage over 40%

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonebeldrt.jpg

So the Morning Line 2/1's have been profitable since opening day at Belmont but back to back wins have been elusive and in looking at the pattern the next Morning Line 2/1 will lose

As of now, you are getting a 35% return per $2 win wager and 11 of 13 have finished no worse than 2nd

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Here are today's Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#6 Street Heat

6th race
#6 Toga Challenger

If the pattern holds it looks like #6 Street Heat should lose and #6 Toga Challenger should win

However, we have not had back to back wins from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation on the Dirt at Belmont so maybe #6 Street Heat has a chance!!!

Let's see if one of these can get the win today!!!

Two losses here would put the win percentage at exactly 40% so we would continue watching until a 3rd loss where we will abandon ship since that would put the win percentage at 33% and violate the 40% rule!!!

[TheOracle]

Here are today's Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#6 Street Heat

6th race
#6 Toga Challenger

If the pattern holds it looks like #6 Street Heat should lose and #6 Toga Challenger should win

However, we have not had back to back wins from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation on the Dirt at Belmont so maybe #6 Street Heat has a chance!!!

Let's see if one of these can get the win today!!!

Two losses here would put the win percentage at exactly 40% so we would continue watching until a 3rd loss where we will abandon ship since that would put the win percentage at 33% and violate the 40% rule!!!

Well we got both right today as both #6 Street Heat and #6 Toga Challenger both won their respective races paying a combined $20.80 across the board

If you played both to win you got $10 per $2 wager a 150% return on your money

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesdrtbel.jpg

The overall win return is up to 51% per $2 wager had you played all of the Morning Line 2/1's to win since opening day at Belmont

We will continue with the trend until the win percentage drops close to 30%


Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnbel.jpg

I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

I will be looking at these Morning Line 2/1's today on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#1 Formal Summation

3rd race
#2 Brooklyn Gerty

5th race
#1 No Hayne No Gayne

8th race
#2 Heckuvashot

However, I will be paying particular attention to #2 Brooklyn Gerty in the 3rd race today as The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

Let's hope the Morning Line 2/1's can start a win streak in Maiden races after a winless 2016 since October 10th, for this situation on the Dirt!!!


Let's see what happens!!!

[TheOracle]

I will be looking at these Morning Line 2/1's today on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#1 Formal Summation

3rd race
#2 Brooklyn Gerty

5th race
#1 No Hayne No Gayne

8th race
#2 Heckuvashot

However, I will be paying particular attention to #2 Brooklyn Gerty in the 3rd race today as The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

Let's hope the Morning Line 2/1's can start a win streak in Maiden races after a winless 2016 since October 10th, for this situation on the Dirt!!!


Let's see what happens!!!

Well we got out butts handed to us today as all of the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt finished off the board they went 0 for 3 today wiping out half of the profits made from yesterday


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelsnpdrt.jpg

However, as the win percentage is 44% I will continue to track them on the Dirt at Belmont


If they go 0 for the next 3 or 1 for the next 4 that will bring the win percentage down below 40% and then we abandon ship on the trend

[TheOracle]

Well we got out butts handed to us today as all of the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt finished off the board they went 0 for 3 today wiping out half of the profits made from yesterday


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelsnpdrt.jpg

However, as the win percentage is 44% I will continue to track them on the Dirt at Belmont


If they go 0 for the next 3 or 1 for the next 4 that will bring the win percentage down below 40% and then we abandon ship on the trend

Correction 1 for the next 5 brings the win percentage below 40%

[TheOracle]

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnbel.jpg

I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

With the latest lost by #2 Brooklyn Gerty yesterday the winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's has extended to 9 in a row at Belmont in Maiden races

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsbelwet.jpg

Including 0 for 6 over a wet surface in Maiden races as well since the track will be Sloppy today

We have this Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today on the Dirt:
1st race
#4 Cookie Crisp

Let's see if we can snap that losing streak today in the 1st race at a wet Belmont and hopefully a new win streak will emerge!!!

[TheOracle]

With the latest lost by #2 Brooklyn Gerty yesterday the winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's has extended to 9 in a row at Belmont in Maiden races

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsbelwet.jpg

Including 0 for 6 over a wet surface in Maiden races as well since the track will be Sloppy today

We have this Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today on the Dirt:
1st race
#4 Cookie Crisp

Let's see if we can snap that losing streak today in the 1st race at a wet Belmont and hopefully a new win streak will emerge!!!

I was hoping the streak would be broken today but the winless streak continues as #4 Cookie Crisp finished 2nd


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsbelstrkwet.jpg

There was by far plenty of rain to ensure that racing tomorrow will be over a wet surface once again and we will see if the Morning Line 2/1's can snap the winless streak in Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

[castaway01]

While I know you don't like being questioned, why would WANT a win streak of 2-1ML horses to start? Most of those horses that win end up paying about $3.20. Even if you believed these weren't just random streaks (which they but for some reason you think the ML has power to start win streaks). But why would you want a series of $3.20 horses? We make money when those horses lose, not when they win. Unless you know which ones are going to win in advance...which you don't.

[TheOracle]

While I know you don't like being questioned, why would WANT a win streak of 2-1ML horses to start? Most of those horses that win end up paying about $3.20. Even if you believed these weren't just random streaks (which they but for some reason you think the ML has power to start win streaks). But why would you want a series of $3.20 horses? We make money when those horses lose, not when they win. Unless you know which ones are going to win in advance...which you don't.

Well well cast, it has been quite some time since I have heard from you

By all means feel free to ask any questions that you want of me I will be most happy to answer you

Believe me I am not opposed to being questioned

You ask why do I bother chasing the series of win payouts that amount to chump change i.e. $3.20, $4 etc.

For years I've spent an enormous amount of time trying to beat the favorite or sift out some big price by various methods of handicapping and it just never worked for me

Eventually I had to admit to myself that the amount of time and effort I put in, even when I won, did not result in a payback that was in line with the energy that I used to finally cash a ticket

So then I decided if I can't beat the favorites then why not just join them but then, the question became, how do I go about doing that

I decided to track the Morning Line Favorites since for me it was much easier to track than tracking the actual Favorites on a daily basis

What I eventually found was that in many instances there were consistencies in the number of wins and win payouts that resulted in profits based on certain Morning Line Favorites

I decided to try to see if I could take advantage of these instances as they occurred and in doing so I found that I have cashed more tickets now than I previously ever have in the past and at times I actually make a small profit

It also became a great way for me to document wins as well as profits and losses

So you are correct, I don't know when the next Morning Line Favorite will win.

The best I can do is to keep track of when they do win or lose and try to take advantage of instances where I believe it is best to play them

Instead of following the horse I now follow the situation

Also, stop it, I am very well aware that there is no mystical power surrounding the Morning Line Favorites it was just a phenomenon that I spotted and chose to share the results

[TheOracle]

I was hoping the streak would be broken today but the winless streak continues as #4 Cookie Crisp finished 2nd


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsbelstrkwet.jpg

There was by far plenty of rain to ensure that racing tomorrow will be over a wet surface once again and we will see if the Morning Line 2/1's can snap the winless streak in Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

There is another Maiden race with a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today at Belmont

1st race
#3 Cache

Let's see if the losing streak continues or if this will be the start of a win streak for the Morning Line 2/1's today at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

There is another Maiden race with a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today at Belmont

1st race
#3 Cache

Let's see if the losing streak continues or if this will be the start of a win streak for the Morning Line 2/1's today at Belmont!!!

#3 Cache was scratched today

[TheOracle]

I was hoping the streak would be broken today but the winless streak continues as #4 Cookie Crisp finished 2nd


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsbelstrkwet.jpg

There was by far plenty of rain to ensure that racing tomorrow will be over a wet surface once again and we will see if the Morning Line 2/1's can snap the winless streak in Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont!!!


There are 2 Maiden races with a Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt at Belmont today:

1st race
#6 Guick

4th race
#1 Frost Wise

Let's see if the losing streak continues or if this will be the start of a win streak for the Morning Line 2/1 Maidens on the Dirt at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

There are 2 Maiden races with a Morning Line 2/1 on the Dirt at Belmont today:

1st race
#6 Guick

4th race
#1 Frost Wise

Let's see if the losing streak continues or if this will be the start of a win streak for the Morning Line 2/1 Maidens on the Dirt at Belmont!!!


Well the streak was snapped today for the Morning Line 2/1 Maidens on the Dirt as #6 Guick won and paid $9.70 across the board

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnbeldrt.jpg

However, #1 Frost Wise could not keep the streak going with back to back wins and finished 2nd in the 4th race at Belmont today!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's did much better on the Turf than on the Dirt today at Belmont

Congratulations to those who saw the #6 Guick play and was able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Well the streak was snapped today for the Morning Line 2/1 Maidens on the Dirt as #6 Guick won and paid $9.70 across the board

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnbeldrt.jpg

However, #1 Frost Wise could not keep the streak going with back to back wins and finished 2nd in the 4th race at Belmont today!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's did much better on the Turf than on the Dirt today at Belmont

Congratulations to those who saw the #6 Guick play and was able to make a profit!!!

There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden race on the Dirt at Belmont tomorrow

3rd race
#4 Rarest Quality

Let's see if the quality comes true tomorrow!!!

[TheOracle]

There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden race on the Dirt at Belmont tomorrow

3rd race
#4 Rarest Quality

Let's see if the quality comes true tomorrow!!!


Well #4 Rarest Quality finished off the board in the 3rd race today

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelmdndrtstrk.jpg

The Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races on the Dirt now have only 1 win in their last 13 attempts

They are also 0 for their last 9 over a wet surface in this situation

I will continue to follow this situation for the rest of the Belmont season!!!

[n.c]

separate MSW vs mcl
MSW should be more reliable than a mcl morning line when it comes to win and place, since MCL horse is for sale( just my thinking)

MCL - the payouts should be better since all horses for sale and they have possible physical and mental issues..they are not reliable, so you will get crazy outcomes:p especially on TURF

[TheOracle]

separate MSW vs mcl
MSW should be more reliable than a mcl morning line when it comes to win and place, since MCL horse is for sale( just my thinking)

MCL - the payouts should be better since all horses for sale and they have possible physical and mental issues..they are not reliable, so you will get crazy outcomes:p especially on TURF

Hey N. C.

You are right on the money regarding the Maiden Claimers on the Turf

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/maidenclmstrfbel.jpg

There was a 100+ horse on opening day at Belmont right off the bat to start the season!!!

You are getting huge prices this year in this situation!!!

*All/5 = (1/5, 2/5,,,,9/5)

So far, this is where the money is on Turf at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

Well #4 Rarest Quality finished off the board in the 3rd race today

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelmdndrtstrk.jpg

The Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races on the Dirt now have only 1 win in their last 13 attempts

They are also 0 for their last 9 over a wet surface in this situation

I will continue to follow this situation for the rest of the Belmont season!!!

There's a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#6 Happy Match

Let's see if #6 Happy Match can snap the winless streak at 3 today for this situation!!!

[TheOracle]

There's a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#6 Happy Match

Let's see if #6 Happy Match can snap the winless streak at 3 today for this situation!!!

The 1st race today is a Maiden Claiming race on the Dirt at Belmont

[TheOracle]

There's a Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#6 Happy Match

Let's see if #6 Happy Match can snap the winless streak at 3 today for this situation!!!

The winless streak was snapped for the Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races on the Dirt on June 2nd

However, #6 Happy Match was off the board yesterday

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mltwoonemdnbel.jpg/[IMG]http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/mltwoonemdnbel.jpg

They have now gone 2 for their last 8 in this situation

Let's keep track of this one to see if it turns around to yield positive returns!!!

[TheOracle]

Well #4 Rarest Quality finished off the board in the 3rd race today

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesbelmdndrtstrk.jpg

The Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden races on the Dirt now have only 1 win in their last 13 attempts

They are also 0 for their last 9 over a wet surface in this situation

I will continue to follow this situation for the rest of the Belmont season!!!
Since this post The Morning Line 2/1's have won 2 of their last 16 Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdndrtbel.jpg

However, in Maiden Special Weight races they are 0 for their last 9 on the Dirt

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsplbeldrt.jpg


There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden Special Weight race on the Dirt today in the 6th race

6th race
#5 Dancing All Night


Let's see if #5 Dancing All Night can get a streak started in a positive direction on the Dirt at Belmont for the Morning Line 2/1's!!!

[TheOracle]

Since this post The Morning Line 2/1's have won 2 of their last 16 Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont


http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdndrtbel.jpg

However, in Maiden Special Weight races they are 0 for their last 9 on the Dirt

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonemdnsplbeldrt.jpg


There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden Special Weight race on the Dirt today in the 6th race

6th race
#5 Dancing All Night


Let's see if #5 Dancing All Night can get a streak started in a positive direction on the Dirt at Belmont for the Morning Line 2/1's!!!


Well #5 Dancing All Night danced into the finish line and won paying $9,50 across the board!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnsplbeldrt.jpg

This snaps an 0 for 9 winless streak in this situation for the Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden Special Weight races on the Dirt at Belmont

Let's hope this can turn into a nice win streak for this situation

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Well #5 Dancing All Night danced into the finish line and won paying $9,50 across the board!!!

http://www.insidethenumbers.net/images/comments/ml twoonesmdnsplbeldrt.jpg

This snaps an 0 for 9 winless streak in this situation for the Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden Special Weight races on the Dirt at Belmont

Let's hope this can turn into a nice win streak for this situation

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden Special Weight race today at Belmont on the Dirt in the 4th race

4th race
#5 Marshall Plan


Let's see if Marshall Plan has a plan to get to the winners circle in the 4th today at Belmont!!!

[TheOracle]

There is a Morning Line 2/1 in a Maiden Special Weight race today at Belmont on the Dirt in the 4th race

4th race
#5 Marshall Plan


Let's see if Marshall Plan has a plan to get to the winners circle in the 4th today at Belmont!!!

Well, the Marshall Plan did not work today as he finished 2nd in the 4th race

The Morning Line 2/1's in Maiden Special Weight races on the Dirt are now 1 for 11 at Belmont