Friday 4/14 Pickem

[Unicorn]

R2 Gulf # :7: Frost Proof

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #2:

#6

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #2:

#6

If is stays at 3-1 or higher.

[Unicorn]

R2 Keeneland # :3: Amigo's Affair

[Chris Longshot]

Hey Uni...GL...:ThmbUp:

KEEN 2

:1:JUST THE FACTS

[Chris Longshot]

R2 Keeneland # :3: Amigo's Affair

Nice Uni...:ThmbUp:

[jay68802]

R2 Keeneland # :3: Amigo's Affair

Hit # 1

[Unicorn]

R2 Laurel # :7: Lemon Lover

[Unicorn]

R2 Keeneland # :3: Amigo's Affair

Win$13.60 Place$6.40 Show$3.60

[Unicorn]

Thanks amigos. :ThmbUp:

[Unicorn]

There we go! Heating up!

[Unicorn]

R3 Tampa # :6: Taverni Bay

[jay68802]

R2 Laurel # :7: Lemon Lover

Get this guy a Corona to go with his lemon!

[Unicorn]

R2 Laurel # :7: Lemon Lover

Win$6.40 Place$2.80 Show$2.60

[Chris Longshot]

TAMPA 2

:5:TWICED OAKED

:3:SKY SURFER

[jay68802]

R3 Tampa # :6: Taverni Bay

Give him he head bob

[Unicorn]

OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!! COME ON!

[Unicorn]

That's ok I'll take place and show.

[Unicorn]

R3 Tampa # :6: Taverni Bay

Place$14.20 Show$4.20

[Unicorn]

R3 Gulf # :1: Tonina.... Gaffalione was dominant yesterday with a few winners. Let's see how this one goes.

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 3

:5:SOUTH

:3:BALLYHOO MOON

Keep it up Uni...:ThmbUp:

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 3

:5:SOUTH



Keep it up Uni...:ThmbUp:

:5: won $27.60

[jdhanover]

So I pop open PA and what do I see? CL hits another! Nice going! :headbanger:

[jay68802]

GULF 3

:5:SOUTH

:3:BALLYHOO MOON

Keep it up Uni...:ThmbUp:

Good one!

[oughtoh]

Don't know how he does it, but CL hits those long prices everyday.

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 3

:2:TIMIDO

Thanks Guys. Hopefully more to come...:ThmbUp:

[jdhanover]

TAM 4 :10:

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 3

:2:TIMIDO

Thanks Guys. Hopefully more to come...:ThmbUp:

Arrogant ride by the jock cost him...Thought he had secretariat under him...:D

[Chris Longshot]

TAMPA 4

:10:SMOOTH COOKIE

:11:SHES GOT THE LUCK

[jdhanover]

AQU3 :5:

[Chris Longshot]

Looked at the next race at the dump? Why do they even bother running? :rip:

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 1

:10:DREAMANDAPRAYER

:5:DELTA CHANCE

[jdhanover]

OP1 :9: Summersweet Road

[jdhanover]

GP4 :5: (not quite what I call a longshot, but if off over 4/1....)

[jay68802]

Race #5 at Tampa, barn bet on the #9.

[jdhanover]

KEE4 :1: :11:

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 4

:5:GIADA VEGAS

:11:CAUSE IOYA

[Unicorn]

R4 Keeneland # :5: Giada Vegas

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #4:

#7

[Unicorn]

R4 Laurel # :10: Hadeea

[Unicorn]

R5 Tampa # :9: Big Daddy B

[Chris Longshot]

LAUREL 4

:10:HADEA

:1:WHAT THE CHUB

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 2

:3: QUIET RY

:7:EDDINGTON'S STAR

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #4:

#7

$29.00 Winner

[Chris Longshot]

TAMPA 5

:2:OXFORD STREET

:5:REGAL PAL

Nice call Jay...:ThmbUp:

[jdhanover]

TAM5 :7:

[Unicorn]

Taking a break after this one
R4 Aqueduct # :3: Emiliana's Hope

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 2

:7:EDDINGTON'S STAR

:7: won $26.60

[jay68802]

OAKLAWN 2

:3: QUIET RY

:7:EDDINGTON'S STAR

And nice call Chris.

[Chris Longshot]

AQUADUMP 4

:3:EMILYNA'S HOPE

[jdhanover]

Nice CL!

I haven';t hit the side of the barn from the inside (as Dad would say)...one of these races will go the way I want.

AQU4 :5: :9:

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 5

:6:EISENORDELOSCIELOS

:2:EQUILIBRIUM

It will come JD, have had plenty struggles myself...Happens, its a hard game...:bang:

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 5

:7:ARCTIC SLOPE

:1:COPUS

[jdhanover]

GULF 5



It will come JD, have had plenty struggles myself...Happens, its a hard game...:bang:


I know CL...it is the nature of picking longshots....you hit losing streaks. Just annoying!

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 3

:10:NEW LUCK PENNY

:1a:STELLASTELLASTELLA

[Chris Longshot]

LAUREL 2

:2:NO MORE TALK

[Chris Longshot]

I know CL...it is the nature of picking longshots....you hit losing streaks. Just annoying!

Its a roller coaster ride really, just you hope at some point your payoffs are inflated on your winners, at least enough to make up for the losers and still show a profit...It's a challenge but what makes it fun...:ThmbUp:

[Unicorn]

Hey you guys see that pick 6 at SA $2 minimum. That is really chasing the dream lol.

[Chris Longshot]

AQUADUMP 5

:4:DUBLIN EXPRESS

:9:MARTINO

[Unicorn]

Iv'e played pick 3's and 4's... Never really bothered with the 5's and 6's. You hit one of those you may be set for life?

[Unicorn]

R6 Gulf # :5: Nile's Angel

[jdhanover]

GP6 :1: One Tough Angel

[oughtoh]

Kee Race 6 - #1

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #6:

#1

[Unicorn]

TVG #1 rated # :2: at Gulfstream hits. How the hell did we pass that one up? :bang:

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 6

:7:ACCESS CODE

:1:WHOLEHEARTED

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 4

:12:STEELMAN GO

:6:LANGDOM

[Unicorn]

R6 Keeneland # :1: Wholehearted

[jdhanover]

LRL6 :1:


Time to walk the dog...maybe that will help! :lol:

[Chris Longshot]

LAUREL 6

:7:TRUTH IN LIES

:1:GOOD ROLL

[Unicorn]

R6 Laurel # :6: Littlemissperfect

[jay68802]

Tampa Bay Race #7:

#7

[Chris Longshot]

TAMPA 7

:2:BOY SCOUT

[oughtoh]

Kee r7- 5 & 3

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 7

:2:GRAPHITE STRIKE

:7:EXPRESS JET

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #7:

Pick 3: 3,10,11,12,14 / 2,4,7,8 / 6

[jay68802]

I like the #14 at Keeneland the best, will be flying late.

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 7

:5:VAGABOND PRINCESS

:6:GONE AWAY

[jdhanover]

Let's try this again.....

LRL7 :9:

TAM8 :1:

[jay68802]

Tampa Race #8:

#10

[Chris Longshot]

OAKLAWN 6

:2:ABRAHAM

:8:BATTLE TAP

[jay68802]

Gulfstream Race #8:

#9

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 8

:2:DUBAI BOB

:9:ALL ABOUT YASOM

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 8

:2:STARSHIP ZEUS

:6:PROMOTE

[Chris Longshot]

Let's try this again.....

LRL7 :9:

TAM8 :1:

Cant hit jack lately either...:bang:

[Unicorn]

R3 SA # :1: Lucky Dolly

[Unicorn]

Wow runs right into the hind of the :5:.

[jdhanover]

Cant hit jack lately either...:bang:

Hate days like these...but sometimes they turn around quick. That is the thing about playing longshots. Today I am a whopping 0-13. Hit a 15-1 shot and it is all even. And you (in particular) and me (sometimes) hit these.


TAM9 :2: Rava Din

[Chris Longshot]

AQUADUMP 8

:3:BOSS LADY PLATINUM

:1:QUEEN OF SPADES

[jdhanover]

AQU WP on the :6: and ebx with the fave :10:

[Chris Longshot]

Hate days like these...but sometimes they turn around quick. That is the thing about playing longshots. Today I am a whopping 0-13. Hit a 15-1 shot and it is all even. And you (in particular) and me (sometimes) hit these.


TAM9 :2: Rava Din

0-13 for me is nothing, Ive been 0-50, posting probably 0-100 maybe more...:lol:
The other day I posted losers all day long than hit 3 plus $30 winners in a row. How it goes sometimes, BTW EVD looks good tonight...:ThmbUp:

[Chris Longshot]

GULF 9

:3:STARSHIP ZORRO

:1:IAN SMITH

[jdhanover]

0-13 for me is nothing, Ive been 0-50, posting probably 0-100 maybe more...:lol:
The other day I posted losers all day long than hit 3 plus $30 winners in a row. How it goes sometimes, BTW EVD looks good tonight...:ThmbUp:

Yep and here is why - not hard to have 20-30 losses in a row if your hit rate is 7-10%. If it is but you get 15-1 or more on average then you will be ahead...but need to endure these streaks:

Assume
win prob: 10%

Lose in a row Prob 10 35% / 20 12% / 30 4% / 40 1% / 50 1%

(read that as there is a 35% of losing 10 straight if your hit rate is 10%)

Assume
win prob: 7%

Lose in a row Prob 10 48% / 20 23% / 30 11% / 40 5% / 50 3%



GP9 :5:

[jay68802]

Keeneland Race #9:

#2

[jdhanover]

KEE9 :2: W
:9: W (if over 4/1)
ebx :2: :9:

[Tom]

KEE Makers Mile R9 - :8: Inspector Lynley

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 9

:10:BALLAGH ROCKS

:6:CONQUEST PANTHERA

[098poi]

Keeneland R9

Win :2: and :4:

[jdhanover]

KEE9 :2: W
:9: W (if over 4/1)
ebx :2: :9:

too bad the race wasn't just 6f - was running 2 - 9 ....been that kind of day :mad::mad:

[jdhanover]

LRL9 :5: Win
Ebx :5: :8:

[jay68802]

too bad the race wasn't just 6f - was running 2 - 9 ....been that kind of day :mad::mad:

I agree, I though speed was doing well on the turf, and today it is not.

[Chris Longshot]

LAUREL 9

:3:ENCHANTED EVENING

:5:ROYAL BROWN

[jay68802]

Last one Oaklawn Park Race #8:

Pick 3: 3,5,6,7,8,10 / 3 / 1,6,7,12

[jdhanover]

LAUREL 9

:3:ENCHANTED EVENING

:5:ROYAL BROWN


We get 2d on that :5:...but wasnt long enough odds to warrant a place bet.

The O-for- continues ......... :mad:

[jdhanover]

GP10 :2: :4:

[Chris Longshot]

We get 2d on that :5:...but wasnt long enough odds to warrant a place bet.

The O-for- continues ......... :mad:

Damn stretch is forever on the Laurel Turf...:mad:

[jay68802]

My favorite cure for the 0 fer streak is to play a all / pick your horse double, that way you hit 1 race.

[098poi]

Oaklawn R8

Win :5: and :10:

[Chris Longshot]

OAK 8

:7:DUTCH PARROT

:1:CHANEL'S LEGACY

[jdhanover]

OAK 8

:7:DUTCH PARROT

:1:CHANEL'S LEGACY

thought you had that :1: home...grrrr

[Chris Longshot]

OAK 8

:1:CHANEL'S LEGACY

Damn should have went with the juice! :bang:

[jdhanover]

GP10 :2: :4:


Finally!! Got knocked down to only 7-1,...but I will take it $16.40 according to my ADW. Long way to go to breakeven but it is a start!

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 10

:6:STONE MOUNTAIN

:10:WATCH ME WHIP

[jdhanover]

KEE nightcap :1: :3:

[Chris Longshot]

Finally!! Got knocked down to only 7-1,...but I will take it $16.40 according to my ADW. Long way to go to breakeven but it is a start!

WTG...A hot streak is on the way for you! :headbanger:

[098poi]

Hawthorne R3

Win :4: and :6:

[jdhanover]

KEEN 10

:6:STONE MOUNTAIN

:10:WATCH ME WHIP

I pushed you to get one, eh? ;) Nice hit...think you just missed the big exacta as the 6 got caught at the wire (I think, but hope not).

[Chris Longshot]

KEEN 10

:10:WATCH ME WHIP

:10: won $23.00

Thanx JD, no worries didn't play the exacta but if I did would have been a really tough beat for sure...:mad:

[098poi]

Hawthorne R3

Win :4: and :6:

:6: $9.60 4.80 4.00 $2 ex $58.80 I only played the win :ThmbUp:
:4:
:3:


Nice Chris!!

[Chris Longshot]

:6: $9.60 4.80 4.00 $2 ex $58.80 I only played the win :ThmbUp:
:4:
:3:


Nice Chris!!

Nice picks POI...

[jdhanover]

not a great price but FON6 :4:

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINE 1

:3:GENTLEMEN'S GIRL

:7:PERFECT GIANT

[jdhanover]

EVD1 :6:

[jdhanover]

EVD1 :6:

2d to even money fave



FON7 :4:

[098poi]

GG R7

Win :3: and :6:

[098poi]

GG R7

Win :3: and :6:


:3: $6.00 Vanna White Big money

[098poi]

Penn R3

Win :2: and :3:

[098poi]

Penn R3

Win :2: and :3:

Lost by a nose

SA R7

Win :5: and :7:

[jdhanover]

sa7 :1:

[098poi]

Lost by a nose

SA R7

Win :5: and :7:

:7: just got beat damn :bang:

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINI 2

:6: CLANCY'S PEPPER

[098poi]

Hawthorne R5

Win :5: and :12:

[Chris Longshot]

HAWTHORNE 5

:5: SATURDAYBYBERNIES

:11: GREELEY'S SPECIAL

[jdhanover]

HAW5 :3: WP :7: W

[098poi]

GG R8

Win :3:

[098poi]

GG R8

Win :3:

Someone tell :3: the race has started. Thank you

[Chris Longshot]

PENN NAT 4

:6:GOLDMAKESMESMILE

:7:BANKS PROMISE

[098poi]

Penn R4

Win :5: and :7:

[Chris Longshot]

SANTA 8

:10:BOBBY Z

:6:MARTINI UP

[jdhanover]

SANTA 8

:10:BOBBY Z

:6:MARTINI UP

Exactly my picks too....lets gooooooo!


Yuck....nearly both were dead last... grrrrrrr

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINI 3

:6:ELI'S HONEY

:9:BONECRUSHERVINCENT

[Chris Longshot]

Exactly my picks too....lets gooooooo!


Yuck....nearly both were dead last... grrrrrrr

Didn't run a lick...WTF...:D

BTW Pretty much convinced any horse can come in at EVD...Odds irrelevant...

[jdhanover]

Chris - we missed that $131 horse at EVD.... we shouldn't! :p

FON9 :6:

[jdhanover]

Chris - we missed that $131 horse at EVD.... we shouldn't! :p

FON9 :6:

For a moment in mid-stretch I thought I might catch this (37-1) ended up 3d

Just that kinda day.....

[Tee]

:11: :4:

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINI 4

:13:MIMOSA MORNING

:6:THORNOFAROSE

[Tee]

:1: :3: :7:

[Chris Longshot]

PENN NAT 6

:1:DYNA SUE

:4:YES MZ OLGA

[TRACKER]

Hello every one .
EVANGELINE DOWNS

Race #5---:11:-:4:-:2:-:3:

Results----11-5-9

[Racetrack Playa]

Hello and GL yall
EVD 5th
:7: Super Chase
:5::3::11:

[Tee]

:4: :8:

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINI 5

:7:SUPER CHASE

:2:CIAO FOR NOW

[Chris Longshot]

Hello and GL yall
EVD 5th
:7: Super Chase
:5::3::11:

Wut Up Playa..Where ya been?

[TRACKER]

EVANGELINE Race #6

:6:-:3:-:5: 8

Results----3-8-5

Win $10.60
Exacta $32.10
Tri----$27.45 ($.50)

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINI 6

:6:LOVEDATBABY

:4:CARENCRO SPECIAL

[Tee]

:6:

[jdhanover]

EVD6 :4: and ebx :4::5:

[Tee]

:2:

[TRACKER]

Penn National Race #8

:4::8::3::6:

Result 4-3-2

[Chris Longshot]

PENN NAT 8

:1:READ IT AND WEEP

:6:MY FAVORITE CITY

[TRACKER]

EVANGELINE Race #7

:7: :8: :9: :2:

[jdhanover]

EVD7 :4: :6:

[098poi]

EvD R7

Win :5: and :8:

[Racetrack Playa]

EvD 7
:10: North Huulon
:8::9::2:

[Tee]

:2: :5: :8:

[098poi]

EvD R7

Win :5: and :8:

:10:
:8:
:5:

:mad:

[jdhanover]

CT6 :2:

[098poi]

EvD 7
:10: North Huulon
:8::9::2:


:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

[Tee]

:6: Stormy's Honor

[098poi]

CT R6

Win :1: and :6:

[TRACKER]

Nice Call RP

[098poi]

:6: Stormy's Honor

1 pick 1 winner!!!

[TRACKER]

EVANGELINE Race #:8:

:11:--:8:--:4:--:7:

[Tee]

:7: :9:

[jdhanover]

EVD8 DD :2: :7: :8: / :8: :11:

[Chris Longshot]

EVANGELINE 8

:9:BIG GAME BABY

:8:JAVIERA

[jdhanover]

EVD8 DD :2: :7: :8: / :8: :11:

Halfway home with a $19.00 front end.... 8 & 11 will be bombs tho.



CT7 :6:

[oughtoh]

Nice call JD. Hope you get the second half.

[jdhanover]

Nice call JD. Hope you get the second half.

Thx, me too! ;) Been a horrible, no good, rotten day of loser after loser for the most part.

8= $532 (for the $1)
11 = 1008 (before taxes...hey, I can dream for the next 11 minutes :lol: )

[Tee]

TYVM!! :)

1 pick 1 winner!!!

[Tee]

:4: :9: :7: / :1: :2: :8: :10:

[098poi]

EvD R9

Win :1: and :4:

[Chris Longshot]

EVD 9

:2:MAYSON HEART

:1:SASSY MALLORY

[Chris Longshot]

That kind of day...:ThmbDown: Later boys!!! :ThmbUp:

[jdhanover]

Thx, me too! ;) Been a horrible, no good, rotten day of loser after loser for the most part.

8= $532 (for the $1)
11 = 1008 (before taxes...hey, I can dream for the next 11 minutes :lol: )

nope - 4th and 5th at 83/1 and 99/1

[oughtoh]

your 11 was up there at the turn

[Tee]

:5: Caminaconloscodos