Best tracks for long shots?

[stavros]

Hi everyone not been on here for while and rarely post so apologies! in fact not played the g's g's for two years! so i am even for 2015 2016 best years ive ever had :D i bet on the exchanges over here in the uk and i intend to start up again this year and was hoping maybe some of you guys would share your thoughts on what tracks return more long shots as a percentage compared to others? i only bet in penny's literally (when i do) and i am currently working on something that is way way outside the box! no pp's required (good job do not have the numbers to buy them) when i have worked out what the best tracks for value are then il post up some tips if it shows promise after a few day's? cheers...

[Track Collector]

Posted on another thread that may be of some help:

Because I have nothing better to do at 2:00 a.m. :), listed below is the type of info I think you are looking for. The info is from my year 2016 database, and takes into consideration only races with 7 or more starters. The average $2 payouts listed are for general consideration only, as a more realistic comparison between each needs to reflect the average field at the specified tracks as well as the track's Win Pool takeout rate. Also keep in mind that the smaller the number of winners in the sample size, the less reliable the average $2 payout number is. Data is of course also subject to change from one year to the next.

The format is Track // Sample Size // $2 Payout:

Alb // 241 // 13.08
AP // 402 // 12.11
Aqu // 568 // 13.55
ArP // 172 // 11.19
AsD // 160 // 11.54
Bel // 616 // 13.90
BTP // 482 // 11.57
Cby // 395 // 11.84
CD // 572 // 12.81
Cls // 74 // 9.58
GPW (Crc) // 289 // 12.83
CT // 1042 // 12.86
DeD // 793 // 13.84
Del // 411 // 11.90
Dmr // 366 // 13.42
ElP // 205 // 12.29
EmD // 417 // 12.31
EvD // 578 // 13.02
Fer // 17 // 13.31
FE // 157 // 11.76
FG // 650 // 13.34
FL // 590 // 12.27
FMT // 67 // 10.24
Fno // 22 // 15.52
Fon // 215 // 12.07
FP // 146 // 9.48
GG // 621 // 13.37
GP // 1718 // 13.65
Haw // 386 // 11.73
Hou // 234 // 14.24
HP // 130 // 11.34
Hst // 221 // 13.83
Ind // 770 // 14.70
KD // 49 // 14.20
Kee // 246 // 14.49
LaD // 455 // 12.88
LA // 205 // 12.70
LRC // 161 // 13.52
Lrl // 1023 // 14.63
LS // 333 // 11.27
Med // 67 // 16.16
Mnr // 914 // 11.72
Mth // 361 // 10.84
MVR // 714 // 13.18
NP // 286 // 12.33
OP // 482 // 14.81
Pen //1018 // 12.48
Prx // 1067 // 14.13
PID // 450 // 13.96
Pim // 207 // 12.56
Pln // 87 // 12.89
PM // 248 // 13.16
PrM // 355 // 11.73
Ret // 180 // 11.88
RP // 486 // 13.60
Rui // 82 // 10.69
Sac // 22 // 10.44
Sar // 278 // 14.18
SA // 790 // 13.67
SRP // 131 // 11.18
SR // 45 // 12.30
Suf // 46 // 14.58
Sun // 331 // 12.90
Tam // 771 // 13.67
Tdn // 551 // 11.53
Tim // 36 // 8.82
TP // 508 // 13.29
TuP // 739 // 11.25
WO // 970 // 14.07
WRD // 202 // 11.99
Zia // 246 // 12.01


...

[stavros]

Many thanks track master il stick it in my spread sheet :)

[Thomas Roulston]

Tracks with grossly unfair post-position scenarios at certain distances, like Belmont's 1 1/16th-mile Inner Turf races - frequently produce longshot winners at those distances (and favorites who underperform).

[stavros]

thanks thomas for the info it will all go in the bonce! (south english slang for head) starting to capture a few biggies lately over here on the exchanges already:headbanger:how long will it last? time will tell cheers!

[EasyGoer89]

Seems like the tracks who have unusually low numbers are also tracks that house and permit Supertrainers to 'ply their trade'